👀 Ones to watch: The MOST undervalued stocks to buy right nowSee Undervalued Stocks

Goldman's analysts see 11% upside to average S&P 500 stock over the next 12 months

Published 04/11/2024, 10:59 AM
© Reuters
US500
-

Analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a note Thursday that they see 11% upside to the average S&P 500 stock over the next 12 months, similar to last quarter.

S&P 500 stocks have been less correlated over the past six months than any time over the past five years. However, Goldman Sachs believes this provides an "excellent backdrop" for investors that focus on idiosyncratic opportunities.

"The ratio of Index to Single stock options prices suggests idiosyncratic opportunities will continue over the next 6 months," wrote the bank.

Goldman sees a 26% probability of a 5% SPX up-move in the next month based on the macro and fundamental environment, although they highlight that SPX options are only pricing an 8% probability of a 5% up-move.

In addition, the bank says puts also appear undervalued, pricing in just a 15% probability of a 5% decline vs their model at 22%.

"The S&P 500 has risen 8% over the past three months and price targets have risen 7.5%," added Goldman. "Biotech stands out with the highest risk adjusted upside."

Elsewhere, the investment bank said that retail investor activity has declined, as evidenced by a significant fall in single stock options volumes.

They expect lower activity to embolden short sellers in companies with weak fundamentals, especially those where retail has historically been most active.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.