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Credit Suisse, Citi cut 2022 year-end target for S&P 500

Published 10/03/2022, 06:20 AM
Updated 10/03/2022, 06:27 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The logo of Swiss bank Credit Suisse is seen at a branch office in Bern, Switzerland September 26, 2022.   REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
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(Reuters) - Credit Suisse and Citigroup (NYSE:C) became the latest brokerages to bring down their 2022 year-end targets for the S&P 500 index, as U.S. equity markets bear the heat of aggressive central bank actions to tamp down inflation.

Credit Suisse cut its target for the benchmark index by about 10% to 3,850 points on Monday, citing the impact of rising interest rates and slowing economic growth on third-quarter earnings.

Citigroup trimmed its year-end target by a more modest 4% to 4,000.

The S&P 500 has shed about 25.6% from its all-time peak of 4,818.62 hit in early January. It closed at 3,585.62 on Friday and has been in a bear market for most of this year along with its other two main peers.

For 2023 year-end, however, Credit Suisse expects a near 13% upside from current levels in the index and has set a target of 4,050 points.

It said 2023 would be a year of weak, non-recessionary growth and falling inflation.

"We expect a reversal of spreads and volatility, leading to 1-2x multiple points of rerating through year-end. By contrast, 2023 returns should be driven primarily by earnings growth," Credit Suisse analyst Jonathan Golub said.

Citigroup, on the other hand, expects the index to end 2023 at 3,900 points.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The logo of Swiss bank Credit Suisse is seen at a branch office in Bern, Switzerland September 26, 2022.   REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo

"A gradual shift in the Fed's rate policy during H1 2023 provides valuation support to U.S. equities," the brokerage said.

Last month, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) cut its year-end 2022 target for the S&P 500 by about 16% to 3,600 points, as the U.S. Federal Reserve shows little signs of stepping back from its aggressive rate-hike stance.

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