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Analysts admit missing on iPhone shipment estimates

Published 05/02/2018, 10:26 AM
© Reuters.  Analysts admit missing on iPhone shipment estimates
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  • Many analysts missed the mark predicting the iPhone shipments in Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) earnings report and have said so in notes to clients.
  • Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty wrote, “Weaker iPhone supplier results suggested meaningful downside in the June quarter which didn’t come to fruition.”
  • Huberty notes that the firm originally forecasted 42M iPhone shipments in the quarter but had since dropped its estimate to 34M. Apple reported 39M units.
  • Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) reiterates Overweight rating and $200 price target, an 18% upside to yesterday’s close.
  • BofAML analyst Wamsi Mohan notes that iPhone demand shifted to the cheaper phones, as evidenced by the lower-than-expected iPhone ASP of $728 (consensus: $742).
  • BofAML reiterated its Buy rating and increased its price target from $220 to $225.
  • Citi Research analyst Jim Suva agrees with ASP showing strong demand for older iPhones. Suva also notes that the iPhone X “super cycle” won’t happen this year since a 3% Y/Y shipment increase “stops short of investor expectations for a super cycle.”
  • Apple shares are up 4.4% to $176.49.
  • Previously: Apple +4.4% after Q2 beats on rev, EPS, device shipments, and Services rev (May 1)
  • Previously: Apple suppliers pop after Q2 beats (May 1)
  • Previously: Apple earnings call: X most popular iPhone, Services has best quarter ever (May 1)
  • Now read: Apple Just Keeps Going For Trillion: iPhone X's Paradigm Shift, Revenue Diversification, And 0 Billion In Buybacks


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