🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Forex - Weekly outlook: August 8 - 12

Published 08/07/2016, 07:16 AM
© Reuters.  U.S. dollar rallies after robust jobs report
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CHF
-
DX
-

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar rallied against a basket of major currencies on Friday, hitting a one-week high after data showed U.S. employment increased more than expected in July, raising the probability of an interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve this year.

The U.S. economy added 255,000 jobs last month, well above expectations for 180,000, the Labor Department said on Friday. June’s number was revised up to 292,000 jobs compared with the previous estimate of 287,000.

Meanwhile, the unemployment rate held steady at 4.9%, as more people entered the labor market.

The report also showed that average hourly earnings rose month-on-month by 0.3%, beating expectations for a 0.2% gain. They were up 2.6% on the year.

The upbeat data reignited speculation that the Federal Reserve will lift interest rates this year. Fed funds futures are currently pricing in a 15% chance of a rate hike by September. December odds were at around 44%, up from 33% ahead of the report.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, surged to a one-week high of 96.50 in wake of the stronger-than-expected jobs report. It was at 96.19 by late Friday, up almost 0.5% for the day.

Against the yen, the dollar rose around 0.6% to 101.79 by late trade. The greenback fell to a three-week low of 100.67 earlier in the week as investors were disappointed by details of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s fiscal stimulus package.

The euro, meanwhile, slid to a more than one-week low of 1.1046 against the dollar before ending at 1.1086, down 0.4% on the day and 0.8% lower for the week.

The greenback also hit a one-week high of 0.9830 against the Swiss franc. The dollar was last at 0.9810 by close of trade Friday, up more than 0.7%. The pair rose 1.2% on the week.

Elsewhere, the British pound slumped to a three-week low of 1.3022 against the dollar before climbing back to settle at 1.3070, down 0.3%.

Sterling tumbled 1.2% on the week after the Bank of England cut interest rates to a record-low 0.25% on Thursday and launched fresh easing measures in a bid to buffer the economy from a downturn following the Brexit vote.

In the week ahead, investors will continue to focus on U.S. economic reports to gauge if the world's largest economy is strong enough to withstand a rate hike in the coming months, with Friday’s retail sales data in the spotlight.

Meanwhile, China is to release what will be closely watched trade and inflation data amid ongoing concerns over the health of the world's second biggest economy.

Elsewhere, Germany is to publish preliminary data on second quarter economic growth on Friday for further hints on the strength of the euro zone's economy.

In the U.K., traders will be eying a report on manufacturing production for fresh clarity on the health of the economy in wake of Britain’s decision to leave the European Union.

Outside the G7, traders will be awaiting a monetary policy announcement from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand on Wednesday amid growing expectations for a cut in interest rates.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, August 8

Japan is to release data on the current account.

China is to publish a report on the trade balance.

Canada is to report on building permits.

Tuesday, August 9

Australia is to release private sector data on business confidence.

China is to produce data on consumer and producer price inflation.

The U.K. is to publish data on industrial and manufacturing production as well as a report on the trade balance.

Wednesday, August 10

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glen Stevens is to speak at an event in Sydney.

Thursday, August 11

Financial markets in Japan will remain closed for a national holiday.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is to announce its benchmark interest rate and publish its rate statement, which outlines economic conditions and the factors affecting the monetary policy decision. The announcement is to be followed by a press conference.

The U.S. is to release the weekly report on initial jobless claims.

Friday, August 12

New Zealand is to publish data on retail sales.

China is to release data on industrial production and fixed asset investment.

Germany is to publish a preliminary estimate on second quarter gross domestic product.

The U.S is to round up the week with a string of reports on retail sales, producer prices and a preliminary look at consumer sentiment.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.