Selloff or Market Correction? Either Way, Here's What to Do NextSee Overvalued Stocks

EUR/USD extends gains amid massive equity, bond rout on both continents

Published 02/08/2016, 05:31 PM
Updated 02/08/2016, 05:41 PM
EUR/USD gained more than 0.50% on Monday to close above 1.12
EUR/USD
-
FCHI
-
C
-
JPM
-
CBKG
-
WFC
-
DX
-
DE2YT=RR
-
DE10YT=RR
-
PT10YT=RR
-

Investing.com -- EUR/USD rose considerably on Monday, extending sharp gains from last week as bond yields in the euro zone fell deeper into negative territory amid continued declines in oil prices and a major sell-off in financial stocks on both continents.

The currency pair traded in a broad range between 1.1086 and 1.1216 before settling at 1.1202, up 0.0128 or 0.52% on the session. Since plunging nearly 1% on the final session of January, the euro has surged more than 3.25% versus the dollar over the first week of the month. The euro opened 2016 just below 1.09 against its American counterpart after plunging nearly 10% a year earlier.

EUR/USD likely gained support at 1.0538, the low from December 3 and was met with resistance at 1.1496, the high from Oct. 15.

A host of stocks among prominent European financial firms, including Deutschebank, Commerzbank (DE:CBKG), HSBC and BNB Paribas, plummeted anywhere between 3 and 7% on Monday, amid mounting fears on the impact of negative interest rates and persistently low oil prices. Several days after soaring more than 8% last Wednesday on hopes of a dramatic reduction in OPEC and non-OPEC production, crude slipped back below $30 a barrel, applying further pressure on banks and the high-yield market. Last month, JPMorgan Chase & Co (N:JPM), Citigroup Inc (N:C) and Wells Fargo & Company (N:WFC) all warned that they could incur credit losses in the hundreds of millions in oil and gas loans later this year if oil prices continued to weaken.

In Europe, the sell-off in bank stocks dragged down the major indices, as the Stoxx Europe 600, France CAC 40 and Germany Dax all fell by more than 3% on Monday, pushing the overall indices to their lowest levels in 16 months. It came as the cost of insuring the subordinate debt of European financial firms jumped by more than 12% on the session to its highest level since April 2013. The cost of insurance for both subordinate and senior debt for European banks has skyrocketed more than 40% in the last week.

Equity markets in the euro zone have struggled over the last two months, amid continued withdrawals from key markets, a flattening yield curve and indications on the strong likelihood of imminent asset write-downs.

Yields on the Germany 10-Year fell eight basis points to 0.22%, while government bond yields on the German 2-Year bunds dropped as low as negative 0.506%, their lowest level on record. Meanwhile, bond prices in Portugal tumbled on Monday, pushing Portuguese10-Year yields to 3.14%, their highest level in more than a year.

The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies, closed at 96.76, retreating to near three-month lows from last week. On Friday, the U.S. Commodities and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) reported that long positions in the dollar fell for the week ending on Jan. 2, marking the sixth straight week of such declines.

Investors await an appearance by Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen before the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday morning for further indications on the pace of the Fed's tightening over the next several months. A spate of dovish comments from the Fed on the possibility of a gradual upward move, has led to heightened concerns among banks of declining profits due to lower lending growth.

Any rate hikes by the Fed this year are viewed as bullish for the dollar, as foreign investors pile into the greenback in an effort to capitalize on higher yields.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.