💙 🔷 Not impressed by Big Tech in Q3? Explore these Blue Chip Bargains insteadUnlock them all

NYCB gets third credit downgrade as CRE exposure worries spill to Europe

Published 02/08/2024, 08:08 AM
Updated 02/08/2024, 03:56 PM
© Reuters. A trader works at the post where New York Community Bancorp stock is traded on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., February 7, 2024.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
NYCB
-

By Manya Saini and Niket Nishant

(Reuters) -Embattled New York Community Bancorp (NYSE:NYCB) faced its third credit-rating cut on Thursday while default worries from exposure to the beleaguered U.S. commercial real estate (CRE) took its toll on lenders in Europe and Asia.

Morningstar DBRS on Thursday downgraded NYCB's credit rating due to "outsized" exposure to CRE, which the lender has pledged to reduce in the coming months. Rating agencies Fitch and Moody's (NYSE:MCO) have already cut their ratings.

The bank’s shares were recently down 7%. They have fallen around 60% since last week, when the lender posted a surprise fourth-quarter loss and cut its dividend to deal with tough regulations.

"Liquidity appears sufficient, but given the bank failures last spring, we remain cautious given that the adverse headline risk, including a significant decline in NYCB's stock price, could eventually spook customer and depositor confidence," Morningstar DBRS said.

The bank’s management has tried to bolster investor confidence. NYCB's newly appointed executive chairman Alessandro DiNello on Wednesday said the bank will consider the sale of loans in its CRE portfolio or let them run off the balance sheet naturally.

If needed, the lender would also shrink its balance sheet by selling non-core assets to bolster its common equity tier 1 ratio, a key measure of financial strength.

Some analysts have been encouraged by the bank's recent messaging.

"Announcements on strategic priorities and progress thus far are positive and have helped provide some transparency," wrote Bernard von-Gizycki of Deutsche Bank, calling the updates "a step in the right direction."

Others, however, saw the potential for more pain in the sector. Analysts have for months warned that CRE-tied borrowers are at risk of defaulting on loans due to high interest rates and low occupancies.

"There are certainly elements that are specific to NYCB, but there are also elements that are reflective of the broader risks in the banking system," said Steve Lynch, vice president and analyst with Moody’s Investors Service.

"Negative events at one bank can negatively impact confidence sensitivity in the sector and spread to other banks that may have either similar risks," he said.

The KBW Regional Banking index was up 0.2% on Thursday.

The week-long sell-off in NYCB shares has soured sentiment on banks both in the U.S. and abroad while stirring worries over global contagion from CRE exposure.

Germany's Deutsche Pfandbriefbank (PBB), whose 15% of total loans is tied to the CRE sector, called the situation "the greatest real estate crisis since the financial crisis". The lender said it has enough funds to cope with a downturn in the real estate segment, even as its shares and bonds fell again. In Asia, shares of Japan's Aozora Bank pared losses after falling to a three-year low last week as 6.6% of the bank's loan portfolio was exposed to office real estate in the United States.

In the U.S., however, there was little evidence that banking worries were denting confidence in the broader stock market. The S&P 500 was unchanged on Thursday after hitting a fresh record high the day before.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Thursday she expects additional stress on banks and some financial losses from weakness in the U.S. commercial real estate market, but that banking regulators are working with banks to address these risks.

© Reuters. A trader works at the post where New York Community Bancorp stock is traded on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., February 7, 2024.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Last year’s banking woes showed regulators and central banks have the tools to prevent a systemic crisis and would be quick to act if conditions worsen, said Mohit Kumar, chief economist, Europe, for Jefferies.

"While we cannot rule out more concerns emerging over individual names, we do not think that there is a systemic crisis in the making,” he said.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.