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Wells Fargo highlights favorable risk-reward for Core & Main stock post-30% drop

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/23/2024, 06:14 AM
CNM
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On Monday, Wells Fargo initiated coverage on Core & Main Inc. (NYSE:CNM), a prominent distributor of water, sewer, storm drain, and fire protection products in the United States, assigning an Overweight rating to the company's stock. The firm also set a price target of $52.00 for the stock.

The new rating comes after a notable decline in Core & Main's share price, which has dropped 30% since mid-May, while the S&P 500 index has seen a 7% increase during the same period. Wells Fargo suggests that the current risk-reward balance makes it an appealing long-term entry point for investors.

The analyst from Wells Fargo noted that near-term estimates for Core & Main already factor in deflationary pressures and do not account for a potential top-line recovery in fiscal year 2025 excluding mergers and acquisitions, which is considered a reasonable expectation.

Furthermore, the valuation of Core & Main based on its projected 2025 price-to-earnings ratio is approximately four times lower than its specialty distributor peers, which may limit potential margin compression.

Despite the near-term volatility, Wells Fargo views Core & Main's business mix, which is focused on waterworks categories, as inherently stable. The company is believed to have multiple long-term structural levers that could drive its performance in the future.

The Overweight rating reflects a positive outlook on the stock's potential, suggesting that Wells Fargo sees Core & Main as a stock likely to outperform the broader market or its sector in the near future.

In other recent news, Core & Main, reported a 6% increase in net sales in the second quarter, reaching $1.96 billion. However, due to lower-than-expected end-market volumes, the company has revised its full-year net sales and adjusted EBITDA projections downwards.

Loop Capital, Truist Securities, RBC Capital, and Baird have all adjusted their outlook on Core & Main shares, lowering the price target while maintaining a neutral to positive rating.

The company's second-quarter performance was affected by adverse weather conditions and a slowdown in demand, leading to delays in municipal projects and a decline in new lot development. Despite these challenges, Core & Main announced a $500 million share repurchase program and completed several acquisitions, with two more announced post-quarter.

These recent developments indicate that while Core & Main is facing short-term hurdles, it remains focused on its growth strategy. Analysts from RBC Capital and Baird, despite lowering their price targets, anticipate potential positive developments for Core & Main in the longer term. As always, investors are advised to consider these facts while making investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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