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Morgan Stanley cuts GM rating, lowers price target on potential market share loss

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 09/25/2024, 09:20 AM
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GM
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On Wednesday, Morgan Stanley revised its stance on General Motors (NYSE:GM) shares, downgrading the automotive giant's stock from Equalweight to Underweight. The firm also adjusted the price target for GM shares to $42.00, marking a decrease from the previous target of $47.00.

The downgrade is primarily driven by concerns over potential market share losses, pricing pressures, and various risks including those related to the Chinese market, regulatory compliance, and electric and autonomous vehicle sectors.

According to the investment firm, these factors are likely to affect General Motors' profitability, leading to a reduction in normalized earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) margins and 'Other' income. Consequently, this could result in lower normalized earnings and valuation for the company. The firm's analysts have projected a significant 16.4% reduction in normalized earnings per share (EPS), which diverges from the consensus EPS forecast for the fiscal year 2025.

This revised rating and price target reflect Morgan Stanley's expectations for General Motors as the end of the decade approaches. The anticipated greater share loss, combined with price and mix headwinds, are key elements influencing the firm's outlook. Moreover, the risks associated with the electric vehicle (EV), autonomous vehicle (AV), rest of world (ROW), and other segments are considered to have a potential impact on the company's financial performance.

The adjustment in General Motors' stock rating and price target by Morgan Stanley comes as the automotive industry faces a transformative period, with companies grappling with the shift towards electric and autonomous vehicles, as well as navigating complex regulatory environments across different markets. The firm's updated valuation of GM shares is a response to these industry-wide challenges and specific risks perceived for the automaker.

General Motors, a leading player in the global automotive market, will continue to operate under the scrutiny of investors and analysts as it adapts to the evolving landscape of the industry and strives to maintain its competitive position amidst the challenges highlighted by Morgan Stanley.

In other recent news, Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER) has partnered with Chinese self-driving technology firm WeRide to launch robotaxis in the United Arab Emirates, marking WeRide's first venture with a global ride-hailing platform. This initiative, set to begin in Abu Dhabi in 2024, follows Uber's previous collaborations with Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL)'s Waymo and General Motors' robotaxi unit Cruise.

Meanwhile, General Motors faces potential layoffs at its Fairfax Assembly plant in Kansas, affecting approximately 1,700 workers. This decision aligns with the company's broader restructuring strategy and its preparation for the production of new vehicle models.

Recent developments also indicate that General Motors and Ford Motor (NYSE:F) may have to halt exports of China-assembled vehicles to the United States due to a proposed rule by the U.S. Commerce Department. This rule aims to tighten restrictions on Chinese software and hardware, potentially necessitating significant changes in the companies' business operations.

Furthermore, the U.S. Commerce Department has proposed a ban on certain Chinese software and hardware in connected vehicles, which could prevent most Chinese cars from entering the U.S. market.

Lastly, members of Unifor, the Canadian labor union, have approved a new contract with General Motors for workers at the CAMI Assembly and Battery Assembly plants in Ontario. This agreement is expected to bring financial benefits to the workforce, ensuring continued operations at these facilities.


InvestingPro Insights


In light of Morgan Stanley's recent downgrade of General Motors (NYSE:GM), it is crucial to consider additional financial metrics and insights that could provide a broader perspective on the company's current standing.

According to InvestingPro data, GM boasts a strong market capitalization of $54.0 billion and a compelling price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 5.4, which is even more attractive when adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, at 4.81. This low P/E ratio, in relation to near-term earnings growth, suggests that the stock may be undervalued.

Moreover, GM's revenue growth has been steady, with a 4.93% increase over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, indicating a consistent upward trajectory in sales. The company has seen a dividend growth of 33.33% over the same period, which is an important factor for income-focused investors. With analysts predicting profitability for the current year and considering GM's prominent position in the Automobiles industry, these factors could potentially offset some of the concerns highlighted by Morgan Stanley.

InvestingPro Tips further reveal that management has been aggressively buying back shares, which can be a sign of confidence in the company's future prospects. Furthermore, with 7 additional tips available on InvestingPro, investors can gain deeper insights into GM's financial health and future outlook. To explore these insights in more detail, visit the dedicated page for General Motors on InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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