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Guggenheim cuts DraftKings target to $51, retains buy rating

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 08/02/2024, 01:47 PM
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On Friday, Guggenheim maintained its buy rating on shares of DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DKNG) but reduced the price target from $52 to $51. The adjustment followed DraftKings' second-quarter earnings report, which revealed revenues of $1.104 billion, representing a 26% increase year-over-year but falling slightly short of both Guggenheim's and the consensus estimates of $1.120 billion and $1.113 billion, respectively.

The revenue growth for the quarter was attributed to several factors, including robust customer engagement and retention, efficient acquisition of new customers, the introduction of new products that resulted in higher hold percentages, expansion into new markets, and the acquisition of Jackpocket. Despite these positive drivers, DraftKings' EBITDA came in at $128 million, which was below Guggenheim's expectation of $143 million and the consensus estimate of $132 million.

DraftKings' management has updated its financial guidance for 2024, raising the revenue outlook but lowering the EBITDA forecast. This revision reflects various impacts, such as the Illinois tax rate changes, the anticipated losses from the newly acquired Jackpocket, and the launch in Washington D.C., as well as unfavorable sports betting outcomes and aggressive customer acquisition strategies.

Despite the lowered EBITDA guidance, the underlying consumer demand for DraftKings' offerings remains robust, with no significant macroeconomic effects observed to date. The company's management is reportedly continuing to prioritize cost control and operational efficiencies. Additionally, the Board of Directors has authorized a $1 billion share repurchase program for the company's Class A common stock, although the repurchase activity is expected to be modest in the second half of 2024.

In other recent news, DraftKings Inc. has seen a series of significant developments. The company's financial performance has been strong, with second-quarter revenues reaching $1.1 billion, marking a substantial increase from the previous year. This growth was driven by a 50% surge in Monthly Unique Players to 3.1 million. In response to these results, DraftKings has raised its full-year revenue expectations to $5.15 billion.

DraftKings also announced a $1 billion stock repurchase program and increased its revenue forecast for 2024. The company's growth can be attributed to customer engagement, expansion into new jurisdictions, and the acquisition of Jackpocket Inc.

In addition, the company received an upgrade from CFRA, which cited the firm's strong financial position and innovative platform as key drivers. Analysts at BMO Capital Markets maintained their Outperform rating, with a steady price target of $54, emphasizing the company's robust standing in the digital gaming space.

DraftKings continues to expand its geographical footprint, with plans to launch in Washington D.C. and Puerto Rico. These moves highlight the company's strategy to grow its sports betting operations across North America. However, Truist Securities lowered its price target on the company's shares to $53 due to potential legislative changes in Illinois. These are the recent developments for DraftKings.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Guggenheim's rating and the recent second-quarter earnings report for DraftKings Inc. (NASDAQ: DKNG), InvestingPro provides additional context that may be of interest to investors. Analysts are forecasting a brighter horizon for DraftKings, with net income expected to grow this year and sales growth anticipated in the current year, signaling a potential uptick in the company's financial performance. Despite not being profitable over the last twelve months, analysts predict the company will turn a profit this year.

From a financial metrics standpoint, DraftKings boasts a market capitalization of $15.34 billion and has demonstrated impressive revenue growth of 57% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. The company operates with a moderate level of debt but is trading at a high revenue valuation multiple and a high Price / Book multiple of 20.7. These figures underscore the market's expectations for future growth and profitability, despite the stock's volatility and the recent downward revisions in earnings by some analysts.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, providing deeper insights into DraftKings' performance and outlook. Visit InvestingPro for DraftKings to explore these tips and consider their relevance in the context of your investment strategy.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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