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Goldman lowers Hypera SA shares forecast amid rising competition and weaker earnings

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 08/13/2024, 03:52 AM
HYPMY
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On Tuesday, Goldman Sachs adjusted its stance on Hypera SA (HYPE3:BZ) (OTC: HYPMY), downgrading the stock from Buy to Neutral and reducing the shares target to R$37.00 from R$39.00. The change in rating comes as Goldman Sachs revises its earnings estimates for Hypera for the years 2024 and 2025.

The firm now anticipates a 3% and 5% decrease in earnings for the respective years, attributing the revision primarily to heightened promotional activities and stiffer competition which may affect profitability.

The financial institution expressed concerns regarding the competitive landscape for Hypera, noting recent strategic moves by the company's rivals across various categories. These market dynamics have led to a more cautious outlook for Hypera's mid-term growth and profit margins.

Goldman Sachs also highlighted potential challenges for Hypera in meeting its 2024 guidance, emphasizing the pivotal role of fourth-quarter results, which are expected to be more favorable for Hypera compared to the third quarter.

The downgrade reflects Goldman Sachs' analysis of Hypera's performance against broader market indices. Since the previous upgrade to Buy on October 17, 2022, Hypera's shares have declined by 37.7%, which contrasts with the Bovespa index's 15% gain. The firm's revised outlook is partly due to weaker-than-expected earnings trends observed in recent quarters.

Goldman Sachs' new price target of R$37.00 is based on a 12-month forward-looking perspective. The firm's projections are slightly below the company's own guidance and the consensus for the year 2024, by approximately 3%.

The report by Goldman Sachs suggests that the company's ability to reach its financial targets for 2024 may largely depend on its performance in the final quarter of the year.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Goldman Sachs' recent downgrade of Hypera SA, investors may find additional context from InvestingPro real-time data and insights. According to InvestingPro, Hypera is trading at a low earnings multiple with a P/E ratio of 11.26 and an adjusted P/E ratio of 11.18 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This valuation implies a strong free cash flow yield, aligning with the company's history of maintaining dividend payments for 9 consecutive years, which is particularly notable in the current market environment. The dividend yield as of the latest data stands at a healthy 3.25%.

Despite a slight decrease in revenue growth of -1.06% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, Hypera remains a prominent player in the Pharmaceuticals industry. With a gross profit margin of 61.86% and an operating income margin of 31.22% in the same period, the company's profitability appears robust. Analysts predict that the company will be profitable this year, which is corroborated by the fact that Hypera has been profitable over the last twelve months.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available on the platform, which delve deeper into Hypera's financial health and future prospects. These tips can provide valuable guidance for those considering an investment in Hypera SA. To explore these insights further, visit InvestingPro’s dedicated page for Hypera at https://www.investing.com/pro/HYPMY.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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