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Domino's shares target cut by $90, retain buy rating

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 07/19/2024, 09:10 AM
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On Friday, TD Cowen adjusted its outlook on Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ), reducing the stock's price target to $520 from the previous $610, while still recommending the stock as a buy. The firm's analysis suggests that Domino's has the strongest potential to outperform second-half 2024 U.S. comparable sales estimates within the quick service restaurant sector.

This optimism is underpinned by several factors, including a partnership with Uber (NYSE:UBER), new menu items, and a focus on value offerings.

The revised price target comes alongside a slight decrease in earnings projections for the years 2024 and 2025, with an estimated 3% reduction for each year. Despite this adjustment, TD Cowen continues to favor Domino's within the quick service and large-cap restaurant categories. The firm's confidence in the company's strategy is evident, as it is expected to drive performance and shareholder value.

Domino's Pizza's strategy includes leveraging its relationship with Uber, which is anticipated to have an increasing influence on the company's performance. Additionally, the introduction of new products and a consistent emphasis on value are seen as key components that will contribute to the company's success in beating market expectations for the latter half of 2024.

The revised earnings per share (EPS) estimates and price target reflect a more conservative financial outlook for Domino's Pizza in the coming years. Despite the lowered expectations, the company's strategic initiatives are regarded as strong enough to maintain a positive forecast and a buy rating from TD Cowen.

In summary, while TD Cowen has scaled back its price target and EPS estimates for Domino's Pizza, the firm maintains a positive stance on the stock's potential. The strategic measures that Domino's is implementing are expected to yield favorable results, keeping it at the forefront of the quick service restaurant industry.

In other recent news, Domino's Pizza has seen a flurry of analyst activity following its second-quarter earnings report. The company exceeded profit expectations with earnings per share of $4.03, surpassing the anticipated $3.68, and reported a gross margin increase to 39.8% from 39.5% the previous year. However, the company's second-quarter sales growth of 4.8% was slightly below the projected 4.91%.

In response to these developments, several analyst firms have adjusted their outlook on the pizza chain. Loop Capital maintained its Hold rating but lowered its price target for Domino's to $419, while Stephens, JPMorgan, and Evercore ISI revised their price targets to $430, $450, and $500 respectively. Baird upgraded the company's shares from Neutral to Outperform, raising its price target to $580.

Due to flat growth forecasts, Domino's Pizza Enterprises announced plans to close several underperforming stores in Japan and France, a move expected to impact earnings projections in the near term. Following this announcement, Morgan Stanley and Macquarie adjusted their earnings estimates downwards.

InvestingPro Insights

As Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ) navigates its growth strategy amidst shifting market conditions, real-time data from InvestingPro reveals a nuanced picture. With a market capitalization of $14.25 billion and a P/E ratio standing at 26.38, the company demonstrates substantial size and a valuation reflecting investor confidence in its earnings capacity. Notably, the P/E ratio has remained stable, with a slight adjustment to 26.33 when looking at the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. Moreover, the company's revenue growth for the same period shows a modest decline of 0.24%, yet quarterly growth paints a more positive picture with a 5.88% increase, indicating potential resilience in its business model.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Domino's Pizza has a track record of raising its dividend for 10 consecutive years, signaling a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Additionally, the stock's recent dip into oversold territory, as suggested by the RSI, may catch the attention of value investors seeking entry points. For those looking to delve deeper into Domino's financial health and future prospects, InvestingPro offers further insights, including 12 additional tips on the stock's performance and valuation metrics. Interested investors can enhance their research with these insights and may consider using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro.

The combination of Domino's dividend consistency and the recent adjustments in stock price could be of particular interest to investors following TD Cowen's updated analysis. These real-time metrics and additional tips from InvestingPro provide a richer context for evaluating the company's potential as it strives to outperform in the competitive quick service restaurant sector.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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