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BMO maintains Microsoft Outperform rating with steady target

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 10/16/2024, 10:03 AM
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BMO Capital Markets maintained its Outperform rating on Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), while keeping the price target steady at $500.00. The firm's decision to remove Microsoft from its list of top picks is based on a projection of limited near-term growth. BMO anticipates that over the next few quarters, there won't be significant upward revisions to the current top-line estimates for Microsoft.

The firm's analysis suggests that the response to Microsoft 365 Copilot has been subdued, which is expected to constrain any potential revenue growth for the Productivity and Business Processes segment before its reclassification. This tempered feedback is a contributing factor to BMO's outlook.

Furthermore, BMO points out that Microsoft is likely to face challenges in expanding its profit margins due to high capital expenditures and depreciation costs. These financial commitments are projected to persist, as previously noted by the firm.

Despite these near-term headwinds, BMO continues to express confidence in Microsoft's long-term prospects. The firm's analyst acknowledges the strength of the company's fundamental business, which supports the continued Outperform rating.

While BMO remains positive on Microsoft's long-term future, it has tempered expectations for the company's performance in the coming quarters. This outlook has led to the removal of Microsoft from the firm's list of top stock picks, although the Outperform rating and $500 price target remain unchanged.

Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) is closing in on Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) in terms of market capitalization, reaching $3.39 trillion, in part due to a strong start to the third-quarter earnings season. Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Inc.'s Google has signed a deal with Kairos Power for electricity supply from small modular reactors (SMRs), with plans for the first reactor to be operational by 2030.

Google's agreement with Kairos Power is set to meet the increasing energy demands of Google's artificial intelligence operations. The tech sector has seen a surge in such agreements, as companies seek to support their energy-intensive data centers. Kairos Power is currently in the process of securing necessary permits from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

Microsoft has been the subject of analyst attention, with Deutsche Bank reiterating its Buy rating on the tech giant's shares. Despite concerns about the profitability of Microsoft's artificial intelligence infrastructure and increased competition, Deutsche Bank has expressed confidence in Microsoft's potential to navigate through the current skepticism.

Tech companies including Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta (NASDAQ:META), and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) have proposed an alternative power payment plan for data centers in Ohio. The proposal aims to establish a more equitable framework for power payment, accommodating the growing energy needs of data centers while addressing utility companies' concerns.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement BMO Capital Markets' analysis, recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context on Microsoft's financial position. The company boasts a substantial market capitalization of $3.11 trillion, underscoring its dominant position in the tech sector. Microsoft's P/E ratio stands at 35.14, which aligns with BMO's observation of limited near-term growth potential, as the stock is trading at a premium compared to earnings.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Microsoft's strong financial health and consistent performance. The company has raised its dividend for 19 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns even as it navigates high capital expenditures. This is further supported by a dividend yield of 0.79% and an impressive dividend growth of 22.06% over the last twelve months.

While BMO notes challenges in expanding profit margins, Microsoft's financials remain robust. The company reported a revenue of $245.12 billion with a 15.67% growth rate, and an adjusted operating income of $109.43 billion, translating to a healthy operating income margin of 44.64%. These figures suggest that despite near-term headwinds, Microsoft's fundamental business strength persists.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 14 additional tips on Microsoft, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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