On Thursday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities reiterated its positive stance on Uber Technologies Inc . (NYSE:NYSE:UBER), maintaining an Outperform rating and a price target of $90.00. The firm's analysis indicates that Uber's commitment to growth investments is poised to yield favorable results despite market apprehensions.
Mizuho's findings suggest that concerns regarding the growth of Uber's Mobility segment may be exaggerated. The firm anticipates that the Fiscal Year 2025 Gross Bookings (GB) growth will continue at a high-teens rate, which is slower than the second half of 2024 but still robust. Volume is expected to sustain above 20%, although a shift towards markets and products with lower Average Selling Prices (ASP) might temper the growth rate.
The analysts project that Uber's EBITDA will align with the targets set during the company's Analyst Day, with Free Cash Flow (FCF) per share increasing to $5. This growth comes even as Uber leans into investments for expansion, with economies of scale and heightened efficiency expected to balance any potential margin risks.
The valuation of Uber's stock is considered attractive at 13 times the projected FY26 EBITDA, which is lower than its industry peers. This discount is largely attributed to the persistent uncertainties surrounding the Robotaxi sector. Nonetheless, Mizuho believes that if the Autonomous Vehicle (AV) industry becomes more fragmented over time, and companies like Waymo begin licensing their technology to Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs), investor sentiment towards Uber could see a rapid improvement.
In summary, Mizuho stands by its Outperform rating and $90 price target for Uber, based on the assessment that the company's fundamentals are solid. However, they caution that the stock's multiples may remain within a certain range in the near term due to the factors discussed.
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