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Citi sees upside in Apple stock despite mixed third-party iPhone data

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 01/06/2025, 05:15 AM
© Reuters.
AAPL
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On Monday, Citi analysts maintained their positive stance on Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) shares, reiterating a Buy rating and a price target of $255.00. The tech giant, currently valued at $3.68 trillion, trades near its 52-week high of $260.10.

According to InvestingPro analysis, Apple shows strong financial health with a GOOD overall rating, though current valuations suggest the stock may be trading above its Fair Value. The endorsement follows the release of December revenue figures by Hon Hai (TW:2317), indicating strong year-over-year growth in Smart Consumer Electronics, largely attributed to Apple's performance.

Despite a roughly flat total revenue for Q4 compared to the previous year, which slightly missed Citi's projection of a 1% increase in iPhone sales and the street's 2% expectation, the firm remains optimistic about Apple's quarterly results.

Sensor Tower's data showed a robust 15% year-over-year growth in App Store revenue during the fourth quarter, surpassing Apple's own guidance for its total Services revenue, which anticipated a double-digit increase of around 13%. This continued momentum in the Services sector supports Citi's expectation that Apple's Q4 results will align with forecasts. InvestingPro data reveals Apple maintains impressive profitability with a 46.2% gross margin and generated $391 billion in revenue over the last twelve months.

Citi's analysis also addresses concerns regarding a potential decline in iPhone sales in the December quarter, as suggested by third-party data. The firm emphasizes that historically, such third-party trackers have varied from Apple's actual results.

An example cited by Citi is the March 2024 sales report, which turned out better than feared. Moreover, no production cuts have been reported from the supply chain, reinforcing the firm's decision to maintain its Buy rating on Apple stock.

Investors and stakeholders in Apple Inc. can anticipate the company's Q4 results to meet expectations, backed by robust growth in App Store revenues and the absence of any reported supply chain disruptions. Citi's continued endorsement reflects confidence in Apple's performance amidst the data released by Hon Hai and Sensor Tower.

With the next earnings report scheduled for January 30, 2025, investors can access comprehensive analysis and 14+ additional ProTips through InvestingPro's detailed research reports, available for over 1,400 US stocks.

In other recent news, Apple Inc. has made significant strides in its corporate structure and market positioning. The company recently appointed Kevan Parekh as its new Chief Financial Officer, a transition that was previously announced.

Parekh's salary has been increased to $1 million, with additional benefits including performance-based restricted stock units. In the background of these developments, Apple has reported a robust $391 billion in revenue and a 46.2% gross profit margin over the last twelve months.

Apple has also been involved in legal matters, settling a Siri privacy lawsuit for $95 million. The lawsuit alleged that Apple's voice-activated assistant Siri had violated user privacy by unintentionally recording private conversations. Despite agreeing to the settlement, Apple has denied any wrongdoing.

Analysts have offered mixed views on Apple's outlook. Bernstein has maintained an Outperform rating on Apple's stock, citing potential for growth, while UBS has moderated its outlook on Apple due to weaker iPhone sales. Despite this, Apple's financial health remains strong, with a market capitalization of $3.79 trillion.

In the international market, Huawei, Apple's biggest smartphone rival in China, reduced the prices of its high-end devices during a "Super Brand Day" promotion on JD (NASDAQ:JD).com. This move is seen as a strategic maneuver in the competitive tech market. These are among the recent developments that continue to shape the trajectory of Apple Inc.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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