What’s the Better Move - Buying Rivian’s Breakout or Nvidia’s Dip?

Published 03/28/2025, 12:48 AM

During corrections, one must assess which presents less or more risk. 

Should you buy the dip on high flyers hoping you catch a bottom? 

And, as I wrote on March 11th, do you keep buying the dip on high flyers, thereby buying a falling knife and increasing the loss instead of leveraging the gain? 

Or, in current market conditions, is it better to buy an instrument that has already bottomed out, evidence by a period of consolidation. 

And then, wait for the breakout above the consolidation hence, giving the investor a much more logical risk point? 

Let’s compare and contrast Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN) with Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). Rivian Daily Chart

Rivian has found solid support at $10.00 for nearly a year. 

During the recent sell-off, Rivian did not make new lows but rather held its ground. 

RIVN consolidated from early March until last week in a range while other instruments failed. 

The Real Motion indicator has shown bullish momentum and divergence for some time. 

RIVN has taken leadership over the benchmark since mid-March. 

Today, Rivin tested the 2 major moving averages and the January 6-month calendar rage low. 

Should those levels clear- 

Your risk? 

Long term under 10. Shorter-term, under 11.75. 

Nivida, on the other hand… NVDA-Daily Chart

The MAG1, sexy company, one that analysts love to tout, one that has noting but a blue-sky future, one that is always a generational buy opportunity and one that few ever consider cyclical, has been hard on the bulls and the buy the dippers. 

NVDA is in a bear phase. 

It is under the low January 6-month calendar range. 

The momentum, as seen by the circles, has been flashing a bearish divergence since September 2024. 

NVDA has underperformed the SPY for some time. 

And while there was a bottom formation on March 11th, my blog on it here, 

A move under that March 11th low would hurt the dip buyers and possibly most of the market, including Rivian. 

For now, the bigger point is to buy strength and not weakness, as oversold can get more oversold.

ETF Summary

(Pivotal means short-term bullish above that level and bearish below.)  

S&P 500 (SPY) 574 the 200-DMA resistance 566 support to hold 

Russell 2000 (IWM) 200-210 the range to watch 

Dow (DIA) 420 the support to hold 

Nasdaq (QQQ) 450 next looking more likely  

Regional banks (KRE) 55-60 the trading range to watch 

Semiconductors (SMH) 213 support and 233 resistance 

Transportation (IYT) 63 support to hold 

Biotechnology (IBB) 130 support 140 to clear  

Retail (XRT) 67 major support 70 pivotal, through 72 better 

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.