The German DAX Index, the leading stock market index in Germany but also Europe, is inches away from all-time highs. The index briefly touched the 12374 point in April of 2015. Friday’s close was at 12312 points—less than 0.5% from all-time highs.
Last month, we alerted readers that the German DAX index is important because it tends to lead global stock indexes. Right now, the index is trading at a decision point, and investors better pay attention to what happens around this price level.
Last year, we came out with a Bullish DAX Stock Market Index Forecast For 2017. So far, the DAX has followed the path higher which we forecasted. Because of that, European stock markets started a 15 pct rally.
However, now it becomes very interesting because a breakout is not given at this point. A double top is still in the cards. This is not a time to become very aggressive although it is still a possibility that the DAX breaks out.
The key takeaway is whether the DAX will or will not break out. That is not only important for investors that are envisioning positions in Germany, but also in Europe and even global stock market investors.
A failure to break out above 12300 for at least three consecutive weeks will be huge. The opposite is true as well: if the 12400 level is cleared for at least thee weeks in a row, then the breakout would be for real.
