Stocks Rally After CPI, but How Far Can They Go?

Published 12/13/2022, 11:16 AM

The S&P 500 bounced on Monday, and today it’s trading much higher after the better-than-expected CPI data.

Will the uptrend resume?

The broad stock market index gained 1.43% yesterday, as it went the highest since last Tuesday. Last week on Monday it reversed lower after a positive ISM Services PMI reading, and on Tuesday it was as low as 3,918.39 (going down from its last week’s local high of 4,100.51).

The market will be now waiting for tomorrow’s FOMC release. It still looks like a weeks-long consolidation within an uptrend. However, last week on Tuesday the index broke below its two-month-long upward trend line, as we can see on the daily chart:

Futures Contract Rallies to New High

Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the E-mini S&P 500 futures contract. It broke above the previous local highs on the inflation release. The support level is now at 4,050-4,100, marked by the recent resistance level.

Conclusion

Stocks are about to open much higher this morning on lower than expected consumer inflation release. So the S&P 500 index will likely get back above the 4,000 level. Tomorrow we will have the important FOMC release, and there will likely be even more volatility.

Here’s the breakdown:

  • S&P 500 index got close to the 4,000 level yesterday, and today it will break above it.
  • Stock prices may resume their two-month-long uptrend.

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The information above represents analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak & Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be subject to change without notice. At the time of writing, we base our opinions and analyses on facts and data sourced from respective essays and their authors. Although formed on top of careful research and reputably accurate sources, Paul Rejczak and his associates cannot guarantee the reported data's accuracy and thoroughness. The opinions published above neither recommend nor offer any securities transaction. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading his reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits' employees, affiliates as well as their family members may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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