Stocks Extend Record Run, Dollar Consolidation Ahead Of FOMC Minutes

Published 11/23/2016, 02:52 AM
Updated 03/09/2019, 08:30 AM
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Stocks extended recent bullish run with the three major US indices making new records highs again overnight. DJIA rose 67.18 pts, or 0.35%, to close at 19023.87, above 19000 handle. S&P 500 gained 4.76 pts, or 0.22%, to close at 2202.94. NASDAQ jumped 17.49 pts, or 0.33%, and ended the day at 5386.35. Positive sentiments carry on in Asian session with most Asian indices trading up while Japan is on holiday. Treasury yields turned into consolidations but remained resilient. 10 year yield closed slightly down by -0.018 at 2.321. 30 year yield dropped -0.004 to close at 3.009, above 3.000 handle. WTI crude oil lost some momentum ahead of 50 handle and is back below 48. Gold stayed in tight range around 1210.

In the currency market, Dollar continues to consolidate against other major currencies with dollar index staying in tight range around 101. Commodity currencies are generally firm this week as lifted by risk appetite and rebound in commodity prices. Meanwhile, Yen remains the weakest one, followed closely by Swiss Franc and Dollar. Technically,Yen's development is worth a watch in the coming days. EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY are trading close to near term resistance level at 118.45 and 138.81 respectively. Both crosses are losing upside momentum ahead of these levels and there are risks of a set back in near term.

FOMC minutes for the November 1-2 meeting will be the main focus today. According to Bloomberg's calculation, futures are pricing in 100% chance of rate hike in December 13-14 meeting. According to CME website, fed fund futures are pricing in 93.5% chance. Markets will be looking at the pre-election discussion among policy makers regarding the economy and policy paths. The details should very likely affirm the expectation of a December hike. Dollar could be lifted if FOMC member express a more optimistic view on the economy for the next year. Otherwise, the greenback will stay in consolidation as markets turn into holiday mood.

On the data front, Eurozone PMIs will be the main feature in European session. US will release durable goods orders, jobless claims, house price index and new home sales.

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