50% Off! Beat the market in 2025 with InvestingProCLAIM SALE

S&P 500: Buying Monday's Breakout Was a Mistake

Published 02/01/2024, 02:02 AM
US500
-
MSFT
-
GOOGL
-
GOOG
-

The S&P 500 corrected 1.6% on Wednesday.

S&P 500 Index-Daily Chart

It was a perfect storm between “disappointing” earnings from big techs and Powell telling investors the Fed doesn’t have plans to cut rates in March.

None of these things were bad; in fact, Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) earnings were actually good.

Unfortunately, stocks have gotten so expensive that good is no longer good enough, and anything short of great leads to disappointment.

As I wrote Monday, I bought the 4,900 breakout, so this wave of selling wasn’t great for my position. Luckily, I bought it early Monday and had a nice profit cushion protecting my backside. As I wrote readers Monday evening:

I have no idea how long this rally will last, but given Monday afternoon’s nice gains, my stops have already been lifted to my entry points, turning this into a low-risk trade.

If this turns out to be a climax top and prices crash next week, no big deal. I pull the plug at my stops and follow the market in the other direction. But until that actually happens, I’m riding Monday’s wave higher.

Sure, I will be the first to admit buying Monday’s breakout was a mistake. But since I entered that trade early and lifted my stops to my entry points, this mistake didn’t cost me anything.

It’s like a free lottery ticket. If it works, great. If it doesn’t, no big deal, I get out near breakeven and try again next time.

If a person can’t handle being wrong, this is definitely the wrong game to be playing. For the rest of us, we come at this with a proactive trading plan that protects us when things don’t work out.

And to be honest, I don’t even like calling Monday’s buy a mistake because it was a good trade, and I’d do it again every chance I get. Sure, it didn’t work this time. But do it often enough, and several of those trades will bring in nice profits.

Coincidentally enough, this is exactly what I did at the 4,400, 4,600, and 4,800 breakouts. Batting 0.750 isn’t bad. If that’s what being wrong looks like, I’m happy to be wrong.

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.