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S&P 500 Snapshot: The Election Rally Ends With A Modest Loss

Published 11/12/2016, 11:47 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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The downtrend in the S&P 500 that started Thursday afternoon continued at this morning's open with the index hitting its -0.69% intraday low near the end of the second hour of trading. The bounce that followed took the index to a relatively narrow trading range in the shallow red through the afternoon. A rise in the final hour raised the possibility that the pre/post-election rally would extend to a fifth day day, but it was not to be. The intraday high of -0.07% was close to logging day five, but the session ended at -0.14%.

The bond market was closed for Veterans Day.

Here is a snapshot of the past five sessions.

a snapshot of the past five sessions

Here's a weekly chart of the index. The 3.80% weekly gain is the largest in over two years.

S&P 500 Weekly Chart

A Perspective on Drawdowns

Here's a snapshot of selloffs since the 2009 trough.

S&P 500 Drawdowns

Here is a more conventional log-scale chart with drawdowns highlighted.

S&P 500 Log Scale Snapshot

Here is a linear scale version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages.

S&P 500 Current Market Snapshot

A Perspective on Volatility

For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. We've also included a 20-day moving average to help identify trends in volatility.

S&P 500 Intraday Price Volatility

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