⏳ Final hours! Save up to 60% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Breaking Down New Bullish Market Calls

Published 07/07/2020, 03:44 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
XAU/USD
-
XAG/USD
-
US2000
-
DIA
-
SPY
-
QQQ
-
IBB
-
DX
-
GC
-
SI
-
NG
-
GLD
-
IWM
-
IXIC
-
KRE
-
XRT
-
LQD
-
JNK
-
IYT
-
VIX
-
SMH
-
CNY/CNH
-
VXX
-

While there was a big boost from NASDAQ on Monday, the “inside” sectors are not yet believing the tech sector tells the whole story.

For example, the financial sector continues to underperform S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY) and tech-partly because of the lower dividends, inability to buy back their own stocks but also as a general concern for the overall economy and that the public is saving more and borrowing less.

This week is critical for the financial sector and especially the next 2 weeks as earnings season begins with the banks.

The transportation sector also well underperforming, but at least showing some promise as airlines have rallied a bit.  The hopefulness of the economy moving again has to reflect in goods and people moving again.

The small caps or Russell 2000 are also lagging-with 2000 stocks mainly in the manufacturing industries.

This “supply” side index has to hang in there as well even with the improvement in the non-manufacturing index-the small caps barely rose.

Retail-especially brick and mortar retail show the most promise and the only reason to believe the market and the economy will continue to have legs.

But again, as retail has been behind for years, I would have to see some real leadership as we are still a consumer-based economy.

Volatility, even with NASDAQ's new highs, also holding up so the fear is still there and legitimately so.

Since the early start to the day, the market including NASDAQ sold off.

The market is not just about COVID and rising cases as the death rate remains low-but also social unrest, the upcoming election which is sure to bring volatility possibly engendering more protests with the ever-widening divide between the richest and poorest Americans.

COVID cases should not shut down the already opened businesses. And the silver lining is that more might take the social distancing and mask-wearing seriously. But what the market cannot afford is a new shut down or out of control spike in deaths.  That remains an X factor

Another factor is China, the trade deal and the dollar. For one, China sanctioned that their stocks should be bought-even the Fed here does not do that!

China is bolstering the yuan while the US dollar falls. Any risk of the dollar losing its world reserve currency status would be devastating.

On the Buffett deal and natural gas-that traded to its lowest levels, so the investment is smart. Moreover, it is more of a confidence in a commodity rather than the economy.

Stagflation is on the way-gold and silver showing it-plus food future levels have bottomed-especially the grains

We are still at historical levels as far as the stocks to commodities ratio-and that will continue to reverse that ratio with food hoarding, de-globalization, low supply chain and smaller labor force.

S&P 500 (SPY) 318.22 is a gap that must fill. 315 support then 310

Russell 2000 (IWM141 support 146.50 resistance

Dow (DIA) Sitting on the 200-DMA-must stay there

Nasdaq (QQQ) Rockets propel on bubbles…fun if you’re in it-

KRE (Regional Banks) Inside day, inside week-this has to hold up-and could be a great trade into earnings if does

SMH (Semiconductors) 155 support-160 target

IYT (Transportation) 161.50 pivotal support 170 resistance

IBB (Biotechnology) 136-141 range now

XRT (Retail) 43.40 huge support to hold

Volatility Index (VXX) 31.00 support and over 32.70 troubling

Junk Bonds (JNK104.50 resistance 101.50 support

LQD (iShs iBoxx High yield Bonds) New highs-watch 134.90

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.