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Powell's Elephant In The Market

Published 06/18/2020, 12:49 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
US500
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“I don’t see us wanting to run through the bond market like an elephant snuffing out price signals, things like that.” These were the words of Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell, in reference to the central bank's plan to expand its purchase of bonds beyond ETFs, and into individual assets.

The implication is that the Fed plans to buy corporate bonds, but allow the market to dictate the pace of when and how much.

Therefore, that statement has become the elephant in the market.

Raul (our pup) is there just because he’s cute. Heck, something needs to look cute after staring at the screens all day!

On the market itself, QQQs (NASDAQ:QQQ) may have filled the island gap, but it still has a reversal top from the high at 247.82.

Hence, we are not surprised to see the pressure come into the other indices and sectors, especially given the underwhelming performance this week of the "Economic Modern Family" that I have written about this week.

So speaking of elephants in the market, The Russell 2000 (IWM) weakened even further below both the 50 and 200-week moving averages.

However, it could trade down to 135 and still wind up okay.

Regional Banks (NYSE:KRE) looks weaker as well. A move back under 40.00 not so good. Yesterday, that level held as support.

Here we are. Who wins? Raul the cutie pie, or the immovable stone elephant? 

  • S&P 500 (SPY) Inside day. 312.50 pivotal. 320 big resistance 302 support
  • Russell 2000 (IWM) Inside day. 147.20 resistance with support at 141
  • Dow (NYSE:DIA) Inside day and hovering on the 200-DMA
  • Nasdaq (QQQ) No more island top 240-247.82 range
  • Regional Banks (KRE) 41.45 resistance 40.00 support
  • Semiconductors (NYSE:SMHInside week- 139.78 last week’s low-155 resistance
  • Transportation (NYSE:IYTInside day 158 support 168 resistance
  • Biotechnology (NASDAQ:IBB131 support 134 resistance
  • Retail (NYSE:XRT200-DMA 40.50 support to hold 43.50 resistance
  • Volatility Index (NYSE:VXX) 34.50 support-through 38.50 better

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