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Nightmare Quarterly Earnings Await Wall Street

Published 07/12/2022, 05:58 AM
Updated 05/27/2024, 01:10 PM
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EU and US futures are in the red today. NASDAQ Futures -0.60%, S&P 500 Futures -0.80%, DAX -1%, FTSE MIB -0.60%. Tomorrow will be a crucial day for the markets as the June inflation data in the United States is expected.

The quarterly season is about to arrive, a particularly delicate moment because companies could report terrible numbers after six consecutive quarters of strong growth, profits, and profitability records reached in the fourth quarter of 2021. 

Shabsie Levy, the founder of Shifl, a supply chain management platform, told CNBC tonight that shipping rates between China and the United States have been down for a few months. Prices fall because wholesalers have full warehouses, and final demand shows weakness in all sectors.

Hot Stocks and Instruments

Twitter (NYSE:TWTR), down 5%: Elon Musk has withdrawn from the acquisition. The price ($35) is now a long way from the $54.20 offer presented by Musk in April. A tough legal battle is expected between the social network and the billionaire.

Natural gas: A delicate moment in Europe. The potential negative repercussions of the Nord Stream maintenance shutdown were mitigated by Canada's decision to allow the delivery of a turbine that should restart Russian gas supplies to Germany. Starting today, the Nord Stream will be stopped for scheduled maintenance, and the activity should resume, assuming the turbines arrive, starting Jul. 21.

Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) -7% was fined, along with other Chinese Internet companies, by the monopoly supervisory authorities in Beijing. Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU.O) -6% and Pinduoduo (NASDAQ:PDD) also sanctioned.

Conclusion

In previous articles, I had said that the Twitter-Musk deal would not be concluded at that price. So it was. Regarding the point of fake users, whether or not they are present, the court will decide. Indeed, the news is awful for the stock, which was already very overrated. The stock is worth $15, so there is plenty of room to go down.

Concerning gas, in a few days, we will know if Russia will close the taps on Europe. This, combined with the intense heat present in the United States, is significantly boosting natural gas prices, as expected.

If Russia closes the taps, the chances of seeing new highs for gas in the $10 zone are very high, as European demand for gas will increase.

Regarding Alibaba, the news is not very serious, but as always, the stock market exaggerates negatively and positively. According to my models, the stock is worth $110-120, so only in the case of new descents could we consider a purchase.

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