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Long-Term Exit Signals In Play

Published 02/13/2018, 07:28 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
US500
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EFA
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IYR
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DBC
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JNK
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TLT
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Some of our Financial Planning/RIA customers ask us to send them long-term moving averages on a weekly basis, because it helps them make long-term asset allocation decisions.

This 6-pack was created to give perspective on a diverse set of assets. It includes government and junk bonds, real estate, DBC as well as global stocks and the S&P 500. Numerous long-term moving averages have been crossed lately and here's our asset allocation model.

Asset Allocation

TLT, IYR, JNK and DBC are now all below both the 100- and 200-day moving averages.

EFA and the S&P 500 remain above the 200 MA lines, yet below the 100 MA lines.

I haven’t seen our 6-pack below this many long-term moving averages in a while! In time, it could be important for long-term asset allocation models.

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