🥇 First rule of investing? Know when to save! Up to 55% off InvestingPro before BLACK FRIDAYCLAIM SALE

NASDAQ 100 / NASDAQ Volatility Ratio At Critical Level

Published 02/03/2022, 02:07 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
NDX
-
MSFT
-
TWTR
-
VXN
-
FNGU
-

I last wrote about the NDX:VXN ratio in my post of January 23.

At time of writing yesterday, it was trading in between two important price levels, namely, 500 and 550, as shown on the following daily ratio chart.

The RSI is sitting just below the 50 level, the MACD has formed a bullish crossover, and the PMO is preparing to cross over to the upside.

However, a recent bearish moving average Death Cross formation awaits above, as mentioned in my post above.

Failure of this ratio to break and hold above 550, then break and hold above the 200-day moving average (currently around 668), will signal more weakness, indecision, and volatile swings ahead for the Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX).

A drop and hold below 500 will signal extreme weakness in the NDX and the Technology Sector.

NDX vs VXN Ratio Chart

The MicroSectors™ FANG+™ Index 3X Leveraged ETN (NYSE:FNGU), mentioned in my post above, managed to hold above 20.00, then break back above 25.00, as shown on the following monthly chart.

Price action in between major resistance at 30.00 and major support at 25.00 is very thin, and there's not much to stop it from retesting the 20.00 level, or plunging even lower.

The February candle is being supported, thus far, by weak Buyers, as depicted on the Balance of Power indicator below.

FNGU ETN Monthly Chart

So, watch for a drop and hold below 500, then 400 for the NDX:VXN ratio and a drop and hold below 25.00, then 20.00 for FNGU as a sign that extreme weakness is in store for the Nasdaq 100 Index and the Technology Sector.

Otherwise, look for further volatility and extreme swings in both directions in the NDX, the Technology Sector, the NDX:VXN ratio, and the FNGU ETN for the foreseeable future.

P.S. By the way, apparently Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) has been replaced by Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) in the FNGU ETN basket of stocks. The following revised one-year daily chart-grid of FNGU and its 10 stocks incorporates this update.

FNGU ETN + Stock Holdings

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.