Last week’s review of the macro market indicators suggested, as the calendar turned to December that the Equity markets were showing signs of divergence or rotation but with continued strength. Elsewhere looked for Gold to continue lower, resuming its downtrend while Crude Oil also continued lower. The US Dollar Index and US Treasuries looked strong though and were biased to continue to the upside. The Shanghai Composite was also strong and looked to continue higher while Emerging Markets were consolidating in what may be a bearish pattern. Volatility looked to remain subdued keeping the bias higher for the equity index ETF’s SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ARCA:IWM) and PowerShares QQQ (NASDAQ:QQQ). Their charts showed continued strength in the QQQ, with the SPY a bit stretched short term but looking good on the intermediate timeframe, while the IWM continued to consolidate in the longer consolidation range.
The week played out with Gold running sideways but falling to end the week lower while Crude Oil reversed back lower as well. The US Dollar resumed its move higher while Treasuries found trouble at that overhead resistance and pulled back before a bounce. The Shanghai Composite found rocket fuel and exploded higher while Emerging Markets dropped early and then consolidated at the low. Volatility made a new two month low and still looks weak. The Equity Index ETF’s drifted higher with the SPY ending at a new all-time high and the QQQ less than a point away from recent highs. Even the IWM improved on the week after a shaky start. What does this mean for the coming week? Lets look at some charts.
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