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Macro Week In Review/Preview: February 5, 2016

Published 02/07/2016, 12:42 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM
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Last week’s review of the macro market indicators found, after completing a horrible January at least it ended on a good note in the equity markets. On to February and look for for gold to continue higher in the short run while crude oil maintains a short run bias higher in the downtrend. The US dollar index continues to look ready to explode higher while US Treasuries may be ready to consolidate in the uptrend. The Shanghai Composite still looks like it is headed lower while Emerging Markets are biased to the upside in their downtrend.

Volatility is drifting lower towards normal levels relieving some of the pressure on the equity index ETFs N:SPY, N:IWM and O:QQQ. Their charts all had great moves higher Friday and look to continue in the short term, while the weekly charts showed strong signals of reversals higher. The QQQ is the only short term chart that did not break resistance. Use this information as you prepare for the coming week and trad’em well.

The week played out with gold driving higher while crude oil pushed lower before a small bounce. The US dollar broke short term consolidation to the downside while Treasuries moved up to 10 month highs. The Shanghai Composite seems to have found some short term support while Emerging Markets remained muddled in a tight range just above the lows.

Volatility made a ticked higher but not to the excited levels of early January. The Equity Index ETFs moved generally sideways for the week ending at the lower end of their recent ranges, with the exception of the QQQ which took a header as it dumped Friday. What does this mean for the coming week? Lets look at some charts.

Disclaimer: The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog. Please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.

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