Sanctions on Iran and the ‘broken’ trade deal are still negatively affecting vulnerable, riskier assets. This creates a good environment for the correction on some of those instruments. As an example, we give you indexes. What is interesting, when you look at the chart of for example S&P 500, is that there is a huge correlation with the chart of Oil. This is nothing new as, from time to time, both instruments follow the same path but knowing when, can be a useful tool for trading. Currently, this huge correlation is with us at least since the beginning of the year.
Both instruments are currently above the long-term up trendlines. Crude looks slightly much better as the price is creating an inverse head and shoulder pattern. This may be a good start of an upswing but to see the rise, we need to witness the breakout of the neckline first. S&P 500 looks a bit more negative as the price is putting constant pressure on the up trendline, which may indicate a willingness for the breakout. In both cases, price closing a day below the black lines will be an invitation to go short.
Third instrument mentioned here will be the EUR/USD. The volatility dropped recently and clearly we are looking for a direction. The main pair is in the symmetric triangle pattern waiting for a proper impulse. Scenario in those cases is pretty simple. Price closing a day above the upper line will be a buy signal and price closing a day below the lower line of the triangle will be invitation to go short.