Foes Oppose Us

Published 08/16/2019, 12:43 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
NDX
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ESH25
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Another terrific day! Even though we had ad bounce in the market, leading to a green ES and NQ, I turned out another nice profit, thanks to my well-chosen positions. I remain entirely short, and aggressively so, at 200%.

Let’s take a look at what the ES has done over the past few months:

Emini S&P 500

Here is what I am observing:

  • The green tint is where we got our first principal trend break, back in October of last year; in retrospect, this was a crucial change in tone;

  • The cyan tint is where, in the midst of a daily push to lifetime highs, the short-term momentum waned and, unbeknownst to any of us, we were laying down the final chunk of a distribution top;

  • The yellow tint is where we struggled vis a vis the intermediate-term trendline, and on Wednesday the market finally succumbed to that trendline failure.

One item that demands observation: the banks. I think we’ve got an incredibly exciting break here. Keep an eye on it, friends!

SPDR S&P Bank

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