Dow Theory In A New Light: Practical Application

Published 04/18/2016, 08:03 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
NDX
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DJI
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AAPL
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DE30
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CL
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Today we will consider several trading chances this week by using the Dow Theory.

FDAX

In the daily chart we can see a relatively young uptrend with a correction zone between 9900 points and 9394 points on the lower side. The last correction stopped at 9472 points and has been increasing up until now. The price is currently very close to the last point two – 10153 points – and as soon as the price creates a new point two above 10153 points, we can expect a high probability of a trend continuation.
FDAX Chart

Nasdaq 100

In the tech index we see a dangerous situation. Why? Because the trend is very, very mature. As you can see in the chart, we are in the eighth correction arm and were just in the seventh movement. The current correction zone goes from 4543.17 points down to 4426.35 points, making this zone very large. The expectations, therefore, are headed more towards the lower side next week.

Nasdaq 100 Chart


Light Sweet Oil

The so-called “black gold” was able to rebound since the first of April. The current high lies at $43.33 and the correction zone runs from $42.25 to $41.24. The last decrease led the price precisely to the lower edge of this green zone, where it then turned around. With a stop slightly below the correction zone, we can speculate on a trend continuation.

Oil Chart


Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL)

In the medium trend size in the hourly chart, we see a price that is in its fifth correction arm. We can also see that the price was unable to overcome the last point two at $112.19 with a close. This is a very strong indication that more sellers are in the market than buyers. The probabilities for next week are more on the lower side, but as long as the price does not undercut the green correction zone with a close, the trend will be able to continue each time.

AAPL Chart

For presentation purposes the trading software "AgenaTrader" has been used.

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