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Daily Insight: NZD/CAD Continues Gains, AUD/NZD Remains Above Lows

Published 07/14/2014, 05:13 AM
Updated 08/22/2024, 06:01 PM
EUR/USD
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USD/JPY
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GBP/CHF
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AUD/NZD
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GBP/AUD
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NZD/CAD
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Asia Roundup

As to be expected on a Monday with little news, trading was relatively subdued across the board

  • NZD/CAD provided one of the cleaner charts to continue gains from last Friday, following poor employment data from Canada.
  • AUD/NZD remained above last week’s lows and above critical support
  • NZ homes saw a modest contraction of house prices at -0.3% but above the previous rate of -1.2%.
  • JPY revised industrial production beat estimates to come in at 0.7%,a 2-month high

Bank of Japan began its 2-day policy meeting today which initially saw the Yen lower

UP NEXT:
UP NEXT

  • EUR industrial production is expected to grow at a slower rate. However as German and French industrial production are released earlier and account for 50% of the Eurozone Economy, it has already provided us an indication of today’s number. 
  • Draghi’s speech will be used for clues in regards to future monetary policy. With EUR/USD clearly within range and restricted volatility EUR/USD is best left for the lower timeframes until more direction (and volatility) presents itself. 

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: 

GBP/AUD: Finds support at 10-day sMA  
GBP/AUD

This follows up on a post form last Thursday but the setup is essentially the same. Price has continued to respect the internal trendline (between the 1.775-1.836 sideways trading-range). Due to the range being well established I expect a price reaction at the highs if we make it there, so I have decided not to try and anticipate a bullish breakout just yet.

Thursday’s candle closed with a long-legged Doji which respected the 1.816 support level to suggest a swing low has formed.

Whilst we remain above the trendline then you could considering entering live at market above the trendline, or setting a buy-limit to achieve a [potentially] higher reward/risk ratio.

A break of the trendline invalidates the setup and will be put aside until we see a direct break below 1.080
 
GBP/CHFA good candidate for ‘buying the dip’

GBP/CHF

Since breaking to new highs GBP/CHF has floated down towards support and now very much in my bullish watchlist. The higher-highs and lows are well formed and volatility has reduced enough to warrant a buy-stop (something I rarely do these days).

If we break below 1.525 then we may find stringer support at 1.5126 as this is the 50-day / 200-week MA. Until such an event I can only assume the near-term bullish trend will continue.

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