Currency Markets Do Not Share Trade Optimism

www.investing.com/analysis/currency-markets-do-not-share-trade-optimism-200485536

By Alexander Kuptsikevich | Nov 15, 2019 04:45AM ET

Saved. See Saved Items.

This article has already been saved in your Saved Items

US500

+0.01%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

USD/ARS

0.00%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

USD/CLP

0.00%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

USD/CNY

+0.17%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

+0.24%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

USD/BRLT

+0.69%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

Key US indices continue to rush historical highs. Futures on S&P 500 crossed the 3100 mark, adding one third to the price against the lows of the end of last year. Again the growth was based on the promises of Larry Kudlow, the White House economic advisor, said that US and China ‘getting close’ to trade deal. As many times before, he did not provide any details and did not give promises.

To see the full picture, we should also take into account that Trump still promises to raise tariffs if the deal is not reached. However, Kudlow’s optimistic tone after his meeting with Trump increased stocks purchases.

SPX took another round level

The US dollar retreated 0.3% on Thursday, which also indicates a potentially increased demand for risky assets. Although, the dynamics of other markets set up to a cautious touch of highs rather than a broad market rally.

On Friday, Asian indexes grew to Thursday closing levels, but lose a significant part of the growth from the initial jump on the opening. The Chinese yuan traded close to 7.0, but shy grew further from this point, which looks like a significant line on the sand. It is worth mentioning the suffering of South American currencies. The Chilean peso lost 2% on Thursday, bringing the losses since the beginning of the week to 7.7%. The Brazilian real and Argentinian peso are also under increased pressure this week.

DXY retreated from recent highs

The cautious mood in the markets also applies to the Egyptian pound, Russian ruble, Turkish lira. Each case has its miseries. However, often in periods of genuinely massive optimism, investors are building up positions in these currencies due to their high yield.

What even more alarming is the increased demand for the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc to the US dollar this week. In both cases, the markets failed to cross the line in the form of 200-day average, which often acts as an indicator of the trend for large investment banks. Demand for this currencies often considered as a sign of uncertainty of currency market players in the context of the main trends break, finding the peak of trading optimism as an opportunity to buy “safe havens” somewhat cheaper.

USDJPY turned down from 200DMA, despite stocks run

The FxPro Analyst Team

Disclaimer: This material is considered to be marketing communication only and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice and/or an investment recommendation and/or, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments; any decision to enter into a specific transaction shall be made by the Client following an assessment by him/herself of their situation. Prices, quotes and all the related data may change without further notice.\\r\\n\\r\\nTrade Responsibly. 78.87% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

USD/JPY Declines as BoJ Core CPI Climbs to 2.2% By Kenny Fisher - Feb 26, 2025

The Japanese yen is slightly lower on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 148.92, down 0.07% on the day. What is the best performing G-10 currency...

EUR/USD: A Clean Breakout Above 1.05 Remains the Base Case Scenario By Fawad Razaqzada - Feb 26, 2025

EUR/USD remains resilient after dipping below 1.05, hinting at a potential breakout. Weak US data and stagflation fears fuel Fed rate cut bets, pressuring the dollar. A break...

WTI crude oil plunges below diagonal line By Trading Point - Feb 27, 2025

· Will WTI crude oil hit 67.00 key level? · MACD and stochastics indicate further losses WTI crude oil futures dived below the long-term descending trend line...

Add a Comment

We encourage you to use comments to engage with other users, share your perspective and ask questions of authors and each other. However, in order to maintain the high level of discourse we’ve all come to value and expect, please keep the following criteria in mind:

Enrich the conversation, don’t trash it.
Stay focused and on track. Only post material that’s relevant to the topic being discussed.
Be respectful. Even negative opinions can be framed positively and diplomatically. Avoid profanity, slander or personal attacks directed at an author or another user. Racism, sexism and other forms of discrimination will not be tolerated.
Use standard writing style. Include punctuation and upper and lower cases. Comments that are written in all caps and contain excessive use of symbols will be removed.
NOTE: Spam and/or promotional messages and comments containing links will be removed. Phone numbers, email addresses, links to personal or business websites, Skype/Telegram/WhatsApp etc. addresses (including links to groups) will also be removed; self-promotional material or business-related solicitations or PR (ie, contact me for signals/advice etc.), and/or any other comment that contains personal contact specifcs or advertising will be removed as well. In addition, any of the above-mentioned violations may result in suspension of your account.
Doxxing. We do not allow any sharing of private or personal contact or other information about any individual or organization. This will result in immediate suspension of the commentor and his or her account.
Don’t monopolize the conversation. We appreciate passion and conviction, but we also strongly believe in giving everyone a chance to air their point of view. Therefore, in addition to civil interaction, we expect commenters to offer their opinions succinctly and thoughtfully, but not so repeatedly that others are annoyed or offended. If we receive complaints about individuals who take over a thread or forum, we reserve the right to ban them from the site, without recourse.
Only English comments will be allowed.
Any comment you publish, together with your investing.com profile, will be public on investing.com and may be indexed and available through third party search engines, such as Google.

Perpetrators of spam or abuse will be deleted from the site and prohibited from future registration at Investing.com’s discretion.

I have read Investing.com's comments guidelines and agree to the terms described.

I Agree

Write your thoughts here

Are you sure you want to delete this chart?

Delete Cancel

Post

Post also to:

Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?

Replace Cancel

1000

Comment Guidelines

Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.

Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.

Thanks for your comment. Please note that all comments are pending until approved by our moderators. It may therefore take some time before it appears on our website.

<div id="comment">
				<div class="comment js-comment" data-comment-id="{commentID}" id="comment-{commentID}" data-user-id="">
    <div class="mainComment js-content">
       <div class="commentInnerWrapper">
        <a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link"><img src="{userImage}" width="33" height="33" alt="{usernameAlt}" class="img" onerror="this.src='https://i-invdn-com.investing.com/defaultUserMaleTmp.png';"></a><div class="commentBody">
                					<span class="commentUsername">
                    	<a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link js-user-name">{username}</a>
					</span>
                                <span class="js-date" comment-date="{dateFormat}" comment-date-formatted="{dateFormatted}" title="{dateTitle}">Just Now</span>
                <div class="commentDropDown js-commentDropDownWrapper " data-user-id="" data-cid="{commentID}">
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="threeDotsIconSmall js-thinDropdownArrow"></a>
	<div class="tooltipPopup commentActionsPop noHeader js-commentDropDownOptions displayNone">
		<div class="addRow js-option share">
			<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-commentSharePopup" data-cid="{commentID}" data-curl="{commentLink}"><span class="smallShareIcon middle"></span>Share</a>
		</div>

<div class="js-option addRow follow">
            <div class="js-follow-post-button" data-reg_ep="follow comment">
                <span class="alertfollowIcon middle"></span>Follow this post            </div>
            <div class="js-unfollow-post-button displayNoneImp">
                <span class="alertUnfollowIcon middle"></span>Unfollow this post            </div>
        </div>

<div class="addRow js-option save"  data-reg_ep="save comment">
		<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-save-item-btn" data-item-type="comments" data-item-id="{commentID}">
			<i class="saveItemBigIcon middle"></i>
			Save		</a>
	</div>
	<div class="addRow saveItemsConfirmation noHover displayNone js-saveItemResult">
		
<div class="content js-saveItemSuccess displayNone">
	<span class="mediumGreenSuccessIcon"></span><span>Saved. See <a href="/members-admin/saved-items" target="_blank">Saved Items</a>.</span>
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="bugCloseIcon js-close"></a>
</div>
<div class="content js-saveItemAlreadySaved saveItemAlreadySaved displayNoneImp">
	<span>This comment has already been saved in your <a href="/members-admin/saved-items" target="_blank">Saved Items</a></span>
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="bugCloseIcon js-close"></a>
</div>
	</div>

<div class="addRow shareButtons js-sharePopup displayNone">
			<div class="js-shareComment"><span class="js-shareCommentSpan"></span></div>
		</div>
	</div>
</div>
                 <div class="commentAuthor js-comment-by-author"><span class="commentAuthorIcon"></span>Author's response</div>             </div>
		<div id="commentText-{commentID}" class="js-text-wrapper commentText withImage">
							<div id="commentBigChart{commentID}" class="commentBigChart js-comment-chart" onclick="openViewChartPopup('{commentID}')">
					<img src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImage}" alt="{commentAlt}">
					<i class="newMagnifyChartIcon"></i>
				</div>
						<span class="js-text">{commentContent}</span>
			<div class="clear"></div>
							<div class="commentButtons js-not-master-user">
					<a href="javascript:void(0)" class="reply js-reply-btn" data-real-parent-id="{commentID}" data-to-user-name="{username}" data-to-user-id="">Reply</a>
					<div class="inlineblock likeDislikeBox js-like-dislike-box" data-item-id="{commentID}">
	<input class="js-like-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="Yes" id="like_{commentID}">
	<label for="like_{commentID}" class="like" title="I agree"></label>
	<span class="numOfLikes js-like-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
	<input class="js-dislike-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="No" id="dislike_{commentID}">
	<label for="dislike_{commentID}" class="dislike" title="I disagree"></label>
	<span class="numOfDislikes js-dislike-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
</div>

<div class="reportComment js-flag float_lang_base_2">
                            <a href="javascript:void(0);" id="commentFlag_{commentID}">
                                <span class="reportCommentIcon middle"></span><span class="inlineblock middle">Report</span>
                            </a>
                        </div>
                    				</div>
					</div>
	   </div>
	</div>
	</div>			</div>
			<div id="reply">
				
    <div class="commentReply js-comment js-comment-reply" data-comment-id="{commentID}" id="comment-{commentID}" data-user-id="">
		<div class="commentInnerWrapper"><a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link"><img src="{userImage}" width="33" height="33" alt="{usernameAlt}" class="img" onerror="this.src='https://i-invdn-com.investing.com/defaultUserMaleTmp.png';"></a><div class="commentBody js-content">
            				<span class="commentUsername">
					<a href="{userLink}" class="commentUsername js-user-link js-user-name" onMouseOver="">{username}</a>
				</span>
                        <span class="js-date" comment-date="{dateFormat}" comment-date-formatted="{dateFormatted}" title="{dateTitle}">Just Now</span>
			 <div class="commentAuthor js-comment-by-author"><span class="commentAuthorIcon"></span>Author's response</div> 			<div class="commentDropDown js-commentDropDownWrapper " data-user-id="" data-cid="{commentID}">
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="threeDotsIconSmall js-thinDropdownArrow"></a>
	<div class="tooltipPopup commentActionsPop noHeader js-commentDropDownOptions displayNone">
		<div class="addRow js-option share">
			<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-commentSharePopup" data-cid="{commentID}" data-curl="{commentLink}"><span class="smallShareIcon middle"></span>Share</a>
		</div>

</div>
		<div id="commentText-{commentID}" class="js-text-wrapper commentText withImage">
							<div id="commentBigChart{commentID}" class="replyBigChart displayNone js-comment-chart">
					<img src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImage}" alt="{commentAlt}">
					<i class="newMagnifyChartIcon"></i>
				</div>
				<span id="commentSmallChart{commentID}" class="commentSmallChart pointer js-comment-chart" onclick="openViewChartPopup('{commentID}')">
                    <img src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImageSmall}" width="116" height="52" alt="{commentAlt}">
                    <span class="chartMagnifyOverlay displayNone"></span>
                    <span class="searchGlassIcon chartMagnify displayNone"></span>
                </span>
						<span class="js-text">{commentContent}</span>
			<div class="clear"></div>
							<div class="commentButtons js-not-master-user">
					<a href="javascript:void(0)" class="reply js-reply-btn" data-real-parent-id="{commentID}" data-to-user-name="{username}" data-to-user-id="">Reply</a>
					<div class="inlineblock likeDislikeBox js-like-dislike-box" data-item-id="{commentID}">
	<input class="js-like-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="Yes" id="like_{commentID}">
	<label for="like_{commentID}" class="like" title="I agree"></label>
	<span class="numOfLikes js-like-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
	<input class="js-dislike-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="No" id="dislike_{commentID}">
	<label for="dislike_{commentID}" class="dislike" title="I disagree"></label>
	<span class="numOfDislikes js-dislike-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
</div>

Are you sure you want to delete this chart?

Delete Cancel

Post

Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?

Replace Cancel

1000

Comment Guidelines

Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.

Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.

I feel that this comment is:

Spam

Offensive

Thank You!

Your report has been sent to our moderators for review

Central Banks

Interest Rates

Next Meeting

FED

4.50%

Mar 19, 2025

ECB

2.90%

Mar 06, 2025

BOE

4.50%

Mar 20, 2025

SNB

0.50%

Mar 20, 2025

RBA

4.10%

Apr 01, 2025

BOC

3.00%

Mar 12, 2025

RBNZ

3.75%

Apr 09, 2025

BOJ

0.50%

Mar 19, 2025

CBR

21.00%

Mar 21, 2025

RBI

6.25%

Mar 10, 2025

PBOC

3.10%

BCB

13.25%

Mar 19, 2025

US 30	43,560.5	+126.2	+0.29%
US 500	5,987.6	+31.4	+0.53%
Dow Jones	43,433.12	-188.04	-0.43%
S&P 500	5,956.06	+0.81	+0.01%
Nasdaq	19,075.26	+48.88	+0.26%
S&P 500 VIX	18.10	-1.00	-5.24%
Dollar Index	106.580	+0.251	+0.24%

Crude Oil WTI	68.94	+0.32	+0.47%
Brent Oil	72.44	+0.37	+0.51%
Natural Gas	3.958	-0.001	-0.03%
Gold	2,894.81	-35.79	-1.22%
Silver	31.968	-0.304	-0.94%
Copper	4.5970	+0.0105	+0.23%
US Soybeans	1,029.13	+4.13	+0.40%

U.S. 10Y	4.294	+0.045	+1.06%
U.S. 30Y	4.542	+0.035	+0.78%
U.S. 5Y	4.120	+0.043	+1.05%
U.S. 3M	4.317	+0.015	+0.35%
US 10Y T-Note	110.56	-0.28	-0.25%
Euro Bund	132.67	-0.27	-0.20%
10-2 Yield Spread	19.61	-2.98	-13.19%

Apple	240.36	-6.68	-2.70%
Alphabet A	172.73	-2.69	-1.53%
Tesla	290.80	-12.00	-3.96%
Amazon.com	214.35	+1.55	+0.73%
Netflix	990.06	+12.82	+1.31%
Meta Platforms	673.70	+16.20	+2.46%
Bank of America	43.94	0.00	0.00%

Currency Markets Do Not Share Trade Optimism

Related Articles