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Can Major ETFs Sustain Short-Term Uptrend In The Week Ahead?

Published 07/11/2022, 03:05 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
US500
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US2000
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SPY
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QQQ
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IWM
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OEF
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KBE
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XLY
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XLP
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MDY
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SMH
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The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM) is a tough read. If the bulls really start to run with the market, it could push back up to the magenta-colored retracement, which is the next Fibonacci higher.

IWM Chart

Banks, through the SPDR S&P Bank ETF (NYSE:KBE), are quite clearly broken, in spite of higher interest rates.

KBE Chart

The SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF (NYSE:MDY) has a beautiful top, but again, it might have a bit more strength (see price gaps). Those two horizontals each represent potential exhaustion points for a rally.

MDY Chart

The iShares S&P 100 ETF (NYSE:OEF) has one gap left to close.

OEF Chart

The Fibonacci is trickier with the NASDAQ, via Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ), because the prices don’t seem quite as obedient with respect to those lines. The most important object at this point is the price gap, marked with a dotted line.

QQQ Chart

An important element in any NASDAQ bounce will be the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH), which has been in an exquisitely clean downturn.

SMH Chart

The biggest one of them all, the SPDR® S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY), has one more gap left to potentially fill, which is the anchor point for that dashed line.

SPY Chart

Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLP) is a messier chart, but keep an eye on that horizontal, which is this week’s peak.

XLP Chart

Finally, consumer discretionary (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLY)) is quite a clean chart, with the price gap being the obvious exhaustion point.

XLY Chart

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