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2 Of The Most Economically Sensitive Sectors Warn What’s Coming

Published 11/01/2018, 01:56 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
US500
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XHB
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HYG
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VIX
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GPR
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The bounce is now ending.

Credit has been leading stocks during this recent bout of volatility. Credit isn’t “buying into” this bounce at all, having already broken back down into the gap up from yesterday’s rally.

S&P 500 Vs. HYG

S&P 500 (black), iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond

By the way, in October, Junk Bonds posted their worst monthly return since the depth of the 2008 crises. That should give you an idea of the environment we’re in right now.

Indeed, when you consider what Housing and Gasoline are suggesting about the economy, it becomes clear stocks have a LONG ways to catch up on the downside. Gasoline suggests the S&P 500 should be in the 2,500s… Housing is down in the 2,200s.

S&P 500 Vs. XHB Vs. Gasoline

Stocks (black), Homebuilders (blue), Gasoline

Bottomline: we are officially in a bear market, and stocks are going to collapse in a BIG way.

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