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United States 30-Year Bond Yield

NYSE
Currency in USD
4.773
-0.037(-0.77%)
Real-time Data

United States 30-Year Discussions

inverse H&S to 5.5?
Probably checking for late sellers. Hypothesis: Banks have to capitulate higher yielding treasuries for lower yielding treasuries without triggering another sell off.
Swap will be aboutt 5.2, I think I know the sell side & buy side ... 3 mo contract @ 5.2% very short duration note. May be lower that 5.2 because of gains on the buy.
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Going over 5% look at the 30 year chart investors demand a higher yeild
undervalued, congress is hawkish, bond market lost in heavy speculation!
Highly undervalued bond market. Congress is now hawkish.
Still a buy unemployment will reverse this soon.
Free Money Again! Buy!
Free Money. BUY!
lowet
Friday 13th coming up next.
Up 365 points on 300,000 contracts? You can't possibly make this chit up
8% or no deal
wont happen this year
whats✨upp
what💥supp
America is a funny country, the rich people short its own country treasury to show they are smart and make poor people pay more money for everything, and they also expect the poor people to use their lives to protect their wealth....
i think they intentionally want to crash the market. higher yeilds mean higher mortgage rates, meaning homebuilders can't sell their homes. because they can't sell their homes, they will finish houses in the pipeline then stop buidling homes and start laying off people. Building permits and housing starts are at recession levels. The construction sector employs 8.2 million people, which is around 5% of workers. Also, there will be a large wave of investment grade bond and junk bond refinance in 2025 and 2026. If yields stay elevated, they will have to refinance their debts at higher rates, the interest expense will be larger, their profits will be lower, shareholders will get less profit or they have to cut their expenses (probably overheads) to increase their margins. In this scenerio, it will not end well.
Any government should not tolerate some one made $1 trillion dollar in treasury shorts
5 handle incoming
The fed has intervened again
Lol one day +3% another -3% strange
Special tax for who shorts US treasuries！
Apply special tax to people who shorts US treasuries?
this rate rise is a little bit political?
4.6% on 10Y. not the Fed but the bond market will kill the US economy. 7+% mortgage rates? 1x% on junk bonds? 3x% on credit card debts?
Govermnet spending continues. Tax reductions were promised. Traders anticipate that Trump presidemcy can curb up inflation and goverment spending.
The market is leaning toward a Trump victory, which has caused yields to return to levels seen before the Federal Reserve cut rates. This is because the long end of the yield curve does not respond directly to changes in the Fed Funds rate; instead, it reacts to shifts in long-term inflation expectations. The prevailing narrative suggests that if Trump wins, yields will rise to compensate for inflation and deficit risk. Additionally, if we avoid a recession, the Fed may slow down its rate cuts, leading to lower short-term yields while long-term yields increase to normalize the yield curve.
Higher yields are negatively impacting homebuilders, the real estate market, the junk bond market, and consumer loans, which are influenced by Treasury yields. If Trump wins and the market believes yields should remain elevated, homebuilders in certain states will struggle to sell their homes, companies needing to refinance their junk bonds will face higher rates, and consumers will encounter higher interest rates on their loans.
Why TF is this rising?
Bad outlook for years to come ?
Damian OBrien Only if Harris wins.
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