On the recent third quarter 2024 earnings call, Hyzon Motors (NASDAQ: HYZN) CEO Parker Meeks provided an update on the company's advancements in commercializing its Class 8 fuel cell electric trucks and 200 kW single-stack fuel cell systems. The company has initiated production of both products and secured North America's first contract for hydrogen-powered refuse trucks with GreenWaste. Despite a net cash burn of $8.2 million in Q3, Hyzon anticipates reducing this figure by year-end and continues to focus on converting trial successes into commercial agreements.
Key Takeaways
- Hyzon Motors has started production of its Class 8 fuel cell electric trucks and 200 kW fuel cell systems.
- The company secured a contract with GreenWaste for 12 hydrogen-powered refuse trucks, with deliveries expected to begin in Q4 2025.
- Hyzon's Bolingbrook facility is now producing 700 fuel cell systems annually and has received ISO 9001-2015 certification.
- The U.S. market shows strong support for clean energy initiatives, which may benefit Hyzon.
- Hyzon reported a net cash burn of $8.2 million in Q3 2024, with plans to reduce it to approximately $6.5 million by year-end.
Company Outlook
- Hyzon anticipates growth with over 20 Class 8 and refuse truck trials potentially leading to commercial agreements.
- The company targets an order book of over 500 trucks by Q1 2025.
- Future hydrogen fuel prices are expected to decrease, potentially to $10 per kilogram by 2025.
Bearish Highlights
- Significant non-operating expenses were reported, including high insurance premiums and increased legal and consulting costs.
- The average recurring monthly net cash burn is expected to be around $6.5 million by the end of 2024.
Bullish Highlights
- Hyzon's fuel cell electric trucks are reported to outperform competitors in weight, range, and performance.
- The performance of the trucks in trials has exceeded expectations, demonstrating up to 50% better fuel efficiency than diesel for Class 8 trucks and 300% for refuse trucks.
Misses
- In Q3 2024, Hyzon reported modest revenues of $0.1 million against a net cash burn of $8.2 million.
Q&A Highlights
- Parker Meeks discussed the strong demand for zero-emission solutions in the refuse and Class 8 trucking sectors.
- Hyzon has completed 10 successful trials and is securing commercial agreements with major fleets.
- The company is negotiating multiple contracts based on successful trials, including a recent order from GreenWaste.
In summary, Hyzon Motors is making significant strides in the heavy-duty transportation sector with its fuel cell electric trucks, which are now in production. The company has achieved key milestones, including a landmark contract with GreenWaste and the commencement of producing 700 fuel cell systems annually at its Bolingbrook facility, which now boasts ISO 9001-2015 certification. Hyzon remains focused on capitalizing on the supportive U.S. market for clean energy and converting its trial successes into substantial commercial agreements. Despite facing financial challenges, the company is optimistic about its future growth and commercialization efforts.
InvestingPro Insights
Hyzon Motors' recent developments in fuel cell electric truck production and commercialization efforts are reflected in some of the financial metrics and insights provided by InvestingPro. Despite the company's progress, investors should be aware of several key factors that could impact its future performance.
According to InvestingPro Data, Hyzon's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 stood at $10.59 million, with an impressive revenue growth of 1237.25% over the same period. This aligns with the company's reported advancements in production and recent contract wins, such as the GreenWaste deal mentioned in the article.
However, the company's financial health presents some concerns. An InvestingPro Tip indicates that Hyzon is "quickly burning through cash," which is consistent with the reported net cash burn of $8.2 million in Q3 2024. This burn rate is significant given the company's market capitalization of just $8.8 million. On a positive note, another InvestingPro Tip reveals that Hyzon "holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet," which could provide some financial flexibility as it pursues growth opportunities.
The stock's performance has been challenging, with InvestingPro Data showing a 6-month price total return of -94.18% and a 1-year return of -97.07%. This poor performance is reflected in an InvestingPro Tip stating that the stock is "trading near 52-week low." Despite these headwinds, analysts anticipate sales growth in the current year, as noted by another InvestingPro Tip, which could be driven by the company's expanding order book and production capabilities.
For investors considering Hyzon Motors, it's worth noting that InvestingPro offers 15 additional tips that could provide further insights into the company's financial position and market performance. These additional tips could be particularly valuable given the company's evolving situation in the competitive clean energy transportation sector.
Full transcript - Hyzon Motors Inc (NASDAQ:HYZN) Q3 2024:
Operator: Good morning, and welcome to Hyzon's Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. All participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's remarks, we'll have a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Tom Cook, Managing Director at ICR. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Tom Cook: Thank you, operator. And good morning, everyone. Welcome to Hyzon's third quarter 2024 earnings call. With me on the call today are Parker Meeks, Chief Executive Officer; and Steve Weiland, Chief Financial Officer. As a reminder, you can find a press release detailing our financial results and the presentation accompanying today's call in the investor relations section of our website. Today's discussions include forward-looking statements regarding future plans and expectations. Actual results might differ materially from those stated, and factors that could cause actual results to differ are explained in the forward-looking statements at the end of the press release and Page 2 of our earnings presentation. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. You are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements. With that, I will turn the call over to our CEO, Parker Meeks. Parker.
Parker Meeks: Good morning. And thank you for joining our 2024 third quarter earnings call. I am pleased to be sharing significant updates from the quarter, which show continued commercial and technology advancement, including several major milestone achievements. At the beginning of the year, we laid out our core objectives for 2024 on the back of a successful 2023. Among those, we highlighted achieving start-up production of both our leading Class 8 fuel cell electric truck and our 200kW single-stack fuel cell system technology, launching trial programs with major fleets on both our Refuse and Class 8 truck platforms, and securing orders with some of those customers on the back of successful trials. I am proud to sit before you today. On behalf of our tremendous Hyzon team to showcase their strong execution, as we achieve these goals and more during the quarter, and have importantly transitioned to the next phase of growth, commercialization and with it another significant inflection point. We committed to significant milestones in 2023 and 2024, and Hyzon has done what we said we would do. Accomplishing all publicly stated milestones to-date, over the past two years with confidence, we will complete the final two that remain in 2024 by year end, both being commercial in nature. Additionally Hyzon’s performance in the third quarter shows significant advancement in commercialization and maturation of both Hyzon and the customer and market landscape, evidenced in four key areas. First Hyzon continues to deliver on our commitments across technical, commercial and financial. Second, Hyzon large fleet trial program has exceeded expectations, proving to our customers that the Class 8 tractor and refuse fuel cell, electric trucks are ready to perform today with clear market leadership. Third, the hydrogen fuel supply market is improving significantly, and at levels that allow Hyzon fuel cell electric trucks to be operating cost competitively now, due to our fuel efficiency advantages. And fourth, our latest commercial agreement with GreenWaste, the first ever in North America for a fuel cell electric refuse truck is a clear proof point. Beginning now with just that, our building momentum and commercialization. We recently announced our purchase agreement with GreenWaste, a leader in recycling and sustainability for North America's first hydrogen-powered refuse collection vehicles. This order for 12 fuel cell, electric trucks, all had successful trials throughout the Bay area and Silicon Valley, where our vehicles demonstrated exceptional performance across critical refuse collection industry metrics, including payload capacity, can lifts, and range requirements, all essential elements for the demanding duty cycles or waste collection. What makes this partnership particularly compelling is GreenWaste, track record of leadership and sustainable innovation. Seven years ago, they made history by commercially operating the world’s first full size electric side-loading waste collection truck. Now, they're the first company in North America under contract, to commercially deploy hydrogen-powered refuse vehicle. Refuse sector represents an ideal application for our high performance fuel cell technology, where the demands for power, payload and reliable operation, align with the capabilities of our 200 kW fuel cell system and power train to run a full day shift without refueling or recharging. As you might recall, we are executing this program in partnership with New Way Trucks, a leading refuse truck body manufacturer combining their deep industry expertise with our zero emission technology. Together in August, we embarked on a North American trial program to prove real world viability of the technology, through which we believe is shown with the completion of each successful trial, and further evidence with the GreenWaste purchase order representing the first commercial agreements on the back of a refuse truck trial. With delivery scheduled to begin as soon as Q4, 2025 the GreenWaste agreement represents more than just a single order. It's a crucial validation of our technology, and yet another demanding heavy duty application. It demonstrates the growing recognition that hydrogen fuel cells offer a compelling solution for hard to decarbonize sectors where battery electric alternatives face significant operational constraints. Moreover, it positions Hyzon at the forefront of innovation in the waste management industry, an industry that is showing substantial market opportunity for our technology given its advantages, combined with many California City and County end customers requiring zero emission trucks in their upcoming RFPs for refuse collection services. This milestone adds to our growing commercial momentum and showcases our ability to pioneer zero emission solutions in sectors that are essential to our economy, but historically difficult to decarbonizes. We believe this first mover advantage in the refuse sector, combined with our proven technology and strong partnership approach positions us well to capture additional opportunities as more waste management fleet operators look to transition to zero emission truck solutions. As announced on our second quarter call, we had 25 trials scheduled for both our Class 8 fuel cell electric truck, and our refuse fuel cell electric truck. We have completed 10 of these trials in the first three months of the program, and all have been deemed a success, based on the objectives set forth by the customers’ trialing them. As a reminder, the trial typically two to three weeks in length, is most often the final step in our development process with fleets, after which we move into commercial negotiations and activation. Commercial negotiations can vary in duration to reach an agreement and order, driven by factors, including fuel pricing and availability, which is proposed by Hyzon’s field partners in parallel, along with internal large fleet approval processes. Noting that conditions on both of these fronts have improved materially in the past three to four months, particularly fuel pricing and availability providing what we hope is improved timing to contracts. Feedback from the trials has been overwhelmingly positive from drivers, fleet managers, and executives. Drivers have a full range of typically strong positive feedback including the combination of the trucks quiet, low vibration and odor free operation with its ability to perform all the work of combustion without compromise. Even with added safety improvements, such as our trucks ability to drive at the speed of passenger car traffic when entering the freeway, or when climbing steep grades with a full load, both high risk situations for diesel trucks. Fleet managers have noted our refuse trucks, fuel efficiency, and potential for operating cost parity with diesel at fuel prices as high as $12 per kilogram, along with our Class 8, 200 kW trucks, combination of power and lightweight, as the lightest zero emission Classic 8 truck on the market with at least 250 miles range and up to 5000 pounds lighter than some competitors. And fleet executives have noted the positive response from end customers, such as cities and counties, along with citizens and communities who experience our trucks in trial, a key component of their buying decision and the revenue generating potential for fleets, where zero emission trucks are part of upcoming RFPs for refuse collection services. And that situation, Hyzon providing not only a zero emission technology and truck, but also a potential source of competitive advantage, revenue and market share for fleets. From a performance perspective, our latest generation fuel cell electric trucks have also been operating with near 100% uptime, with range, hill climb and fuel efficiency performance it is far beyond our and our customers’ expectations and experience in zero emission trucks. Our trucks have been executing well on a variety of different use cases and situations. The strong uptime and performance is a result of over three years of technology and powertrain development, testing and optimization, which now includes over 300,000 miles of on road experience for the Hyzon fuel cell powertrain globally since 2021. For example our refuse collection truck stellar performance includes operating routes with significant inclines, up to 27% picking up trash with high daily bin counts over 1300 or more bins per day through neighborhoods along with heavy trash, which is akin to yard waste, holding well, over 25 tons of trash in a single day without refueling. These results both match diesel's performance and go far beyond the range of any battery electric refuse truck on the market today, where most battery electric trucks can only perform 50% to 60% of the work our fuel cell electric refuse truck can perform in a day before needing to stop and recharge overnight. Our Hyzon refuse truck in some fleet operations has comparatively completed two full-day schedules without having to refuel, meaning fleets would need to buy 50% to 75% more battery electric refuse trucks to do the same work as a Hyzon fuel cell refuse truck. Reliability and range are paramount, and we have seen strong performance for our deployed trial vehicles. Our Class 8 200 kW fuel cell electric truck has shown similarly impressive results in customer trials, including climbing 3,000 foot inclines with full customer loads, keeping up with diesel trucks, and in some cases keeping up with passenger car traffic, a significant safety benefit, as mentioned before. The Class 8 200 kW has been fully tested across a full range of challenging routes, operating days, and customer use cases, and has performed at least as well as diesel in all cases, including performing over 500-mile days and tackling routes that no other major OEM battery truck has been able to complete. Additionally, fuel efficiency, a critical metric for total cost of ownership and economic viability of zero-emission trucks, has outperformed our expectations. Our refuse collection vehicle has shown fuel efficiency that is 2.3 times to 3 times better than diesel, which means fleets can absorb a $10 to $12 per kilogram price of fuel, which is available today, and still be at the same operating cost as diesel trucks. Our Class 8 200 kW trucks are also showing material benefits in fuel efficiency and operating costs, with 25% to 50% better fuel efficiency than diesel in customer trials to date. This performance in real customer operations provides our fleet customers confidence that the economics of our trucks can meet diesel and operating costs and total cost of ownership today with subsidies available, and have a direct path to meeting cost parity with diesel as we scale manufacturing over the coming years. Moving to technology. We're thrilled to announce several significant milestones that underscore Hyzon's leadership in zero-emission, heavy-duty transportation, and fuel cell technology specifically. On October 8th, National Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Day, we announced the start of production, or SOP, for our revolutionary single-stack 200 kW fuel cell system at our Bolingbrook, Illinois facility. This achievement marks a pivotal moment in our journey, establishing one of the largest fully-integrated fuel cell production facilities in the United States. Our proprietary technology, including the in-house design and production of our seven-layer Membrane Electrode Assembly, or MEA, enables us to manufacture standardized fuel cell systems at volume, accelerating the decarbonization of heavy-duty industries. We have worked tirelessly to bring this facility online and completed 25 A and B sample units, 27 C sample and pre-production units, durability testing, and additional design and supply chain validation to finally reach this point. This milestone falls closely on the heels of another crucial development, the start of production for our innovative Class 8 200 kW fuel cell electric truck, announced on September 16th. Through our collaboration with Fontaine Modification in Charlotte, North Carolina, we've successfully transitioned from prototype to production. Our 200 kW fuel cell system, which is 30% lighter and smaller, and 25% more cost-efficient than two 110 kW systems combined, allows for a compact yet powerful vehicle that meets the demanding operational requirements of heavy-duty road transport while adding the significant fuel efficiency advantages previously mentioned. Underpinning all of this, we're proud to report that our commitment to quality and excellence has been recognized with ISO 9001-2015 certification for our fuel cell manufacturing, design, and research and development activities. This certification validates that our development and production processes meet the highest international standards for quality. It reflects our dedication to delivering cutting-edge hydrogen fuel cell solutions that are safe, reliable, and of the highest quality that our customers expect. Additionally, it positions Hyzon well on our primary strategic path in the future to supply fuel cell systems to truck OEM partners and stationary power projects at the level of quality those partners require. These achievements collectively represent a new chapter for Hyzon and for the decarbonization of heavy-duty industries. Our Bolingbrook facility is now capable of producing 700 fuel cell systems per year over a three-shift operation, all passing through rigorous quality gates and end-of-line tests. As we scale up production, we're not just manufacturing products. We're setting new standards for zero-emission technology in the United States. These milestones reinforce our position as a leader in high-performance zero-emission solutions and underscore our commitment to building a cleaner, more sustainable future for heavy-duty transportation. Before wrapping up with what we expect for the balance of the year and beyond, I'd like to spend a minute on the broader market. We continue to see a U.S. market that remains supportive of clean energy initiatives, with several significant programs in place. These include the EPA's $2.6 billion Clean Ports program, which just awarded over $475 million to hydrogen projects across six ports, including hydrogen-powered drayage trucks and fueling. California's HVIP program, and the $40,000 Commercial Clean Vehicle Tax Credits under IRC Section 45W. The DOE's Hydrogen Hub Program has begun funding the seven awarded regional hubs, with a notable $12.6 billion agreement, including the up to $1.2 billion in federal funding for California's ARCHES project, among the landmark Hydrogen Ecosystem Funding Agreements that are now being reached. Hyzon has been actively engaging with these opportunities, supporting clean ports applications that could lead to substantial orders, and supporting fleets and several other subsidy and grant programs. Additionally, we are seeing strengthening demand for fuel-cell electric trucks from large fleets, particularly in the refuse industry, driven by their end customers, the cities, counties, and other entities who contract refuse collection services. Many of those entities have a strong commitment to decarbonization, and are including either requirements for zero-emission refuse collection and or Class 8 trucks in future contracts, or scoring bidder responses higher if zero-emission trucks are included. Given Hyzon's fuel-cell electric trucks are materially outperforming battery electric trucks, and that Hyzon's refuse collection truck is the only fuel-cell electric refuse truck in the market today, several customers see Hyzon's trucks and fuel-cell technology as a market share and revenue enabler, not just a decarbonization enabler. Finally, a brief update on a critical enabler for our commercial pathway, fuel availability and economics. Hydrogen fuel has been a significant challenge, which we have commented on over the past year. We have seen very positive progress in both fuel availability and pricing, and our fleet customers are seeing the same as we work with them to finalize potential hydrogen fuel-cell truck contracts alongside fuel agreements with our hydrogen fueling partners. While available fuel pricing spiked to about $40 per kilogram as recently as six months ago, we are now seeing fuel pricing quotations for 2025 dispense supply that is in some cases as low as $10 per kilogram dispense, which enables cost structures that many fleets can't absorb today while looking forward to further price declines as additional lower-cost supply comes online. Before handing the call over to Steve, I'd like to provide some thoughts on the balance of the year and into 2025. We expect to make continued progress on the commercial front as we seek to turn trial success into firm commercial orders. On the commercial front, we expect to continue executing more than 20 remaining Class 8 and refuse truck trials, driving the total of 30-plus trial opportunities to commercial negotiations on the back of those trials, each providing an opportunity for major commercial agreements and backlog building. As a reminder, we target 50-plus truck multi-year agreements with large fleets, so even a 40% success rate in converting trials to contracts of that scale could lead to a 500 plus truck potential order book in Q1 of 2025. On the technology side, in the fourth quarter, we will continue advancing our ongoing durability testing and continuous improvement activities for the fuel cell system and powertrain, including incorporation of results and learnings from our expanding customer trial programs, activities will continue into the first half of 2025. We plan to provide updates on our durability, cost, and design optimizations for our next-generation 200 kW fuel cell system next year. From a product perspective, in the fourth quarter, we will drive manufacturing planning and execution for the Class 8 200 kW truck with Fontaine. Additionally, we have launched development of our next-generation 200 kW fuel cell electric refuse truck, which will be the production intent of the refuse truck platform at its SOP. The refuse collection truck is already achieving tremendous performance results in line with combustion and fuel efficiencies that are up to three times better than diesel with a 110 kW fuel cell system, and we expect to see even better performance, including materially better fuel efficiency and range, from the production intent 200 kW fuel cell refuse truck once it achieves its SOP. As always, we are going to continue to remain laser-focused in positioning this business to be an attractive investment for shareholders and manage our cash resources appropriately to ensure our longevity. With that, I'll hand it over to Steve to discuss our financial results in more detail. Steve?
Steve Weiland: Thank you, Parker. Just to reiterate, we are excited for what's to come after reaching these SOP milestones for our revolutionary single-stack, U.S. manufactured 200 kW fuel cell system and Class 8 200 kW fuel cell electric truck that we were able to complete on time and within budget. These important milestones support our commercialization as we transition to the new 200 kW platform and focus on converting our active trial program into contracts with customers. I'm also personally very enthusiastic about our unique refuse collection, FCET, the only one in the industry. Our trial partners are not only telling us that it is delivering performance unmatched by other zero-emission vehicles, but also that it is delivering fuel efficiency significantly better than diesel. During the quarter, we made substantial progress on the wind-down of our operations in Australia and Europe. In terms of status, the wind-down of these operations is now largely complete in support of our strategic focus on the North American market and cost reduction goals. We remain on track for our previously stated target of reaching an average monthly recurring net cash burn of approximately $6.5 million a year end. To put that in perspective, our average monthly net cash burn in the first quarter of 2023 was $15.4 million. While our cost reduction journey has been difficult, I'm very proud of our entire team and especially in the leadership I see from our accounting, finance, and IT professionals driving this forward. Now turning to our results for the third quarter of 2024. Our third quarter 2024 revenue was $0.1 million compared to zero revenue in the prior year period. Given the transition to our 200 kW platform and trial activity, our revenue this quarter primarily reflected continued recognition of five previously delivered trucks that are treated as an operating lease for accounting purposes. Cost of revenue came to $0.3 million in the third quarter of 2024 versus $3.3 million in the prior year period. Cost of revenue in the prior year period was elevated by inventory write-downs in Europe under the 2023 restructuring program. R&D expenses came to $8.1 million in the third quarter of 2024 versus $10.9 million in the prior year period, primarily reflecting lower spend on R&D activities given the advancement to fuel cell SOP and general spend reduction efforts. SG&A came in at $29.7 million in the third quarter of 2024 versus $21 million in the prior year period. SG&A in the current quarter includes a non-cash $11.1 million impairment charge. Excluding the impairment charge, SG&A declined by approximately $2.4 million year-over-year, primarily driven by a charge taken in the year-ago quarter for the SEC settlement, partially offset by higher legal fees incurred in the current quarter. During the third quarter, we recognized restructuring and related charges of $1.6 million versus $4.9 million in the prior year period. Restructuring charges this quarter consist primarily of retention programs to drive alignment with Hyzon's new strategic focus. We also recognized the gain on lease termination of $2.1 million in the third quarter of 2024. The gain arises from the closure of our European facilities and a negotiated settlement with the landlord. Our average monthly net cash burn for the second quarter of 2024 was $8.2 million, for a total $24.7 million for the quarter. This reflects continued spend discipline, initial cost benefits from the Australia and Europe wind-down, and net proceeds from the July capital raise, offset by approximately $8 million in some significant non-operating items such as the annual D&O insurance premium and elevated legal and consulting spend in the quarter. As mentioned earlier, we continue to anticipate that our average recurring monthly net cash burn will reach approximately $6.5 million by year end. As of September 30, 2024, our cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investment stood at $30.4 million. Moving to our capital raising efforts and as mentioned on the last call, after we became shelf eligible in June, we worked quickly to put in place a shelf filing enabling us to execute a small equity raise and begin laying the groundwork for better trading liquidity, a critical element for us in this market. Subsequently, just before quarter end, we also put in place an aftermarket program and have been selectively using it to support our cash position, having raised approximately $5 million in proceeds, primarily in the fourth quarter. This helps to extend the runway for our trial program to convert into potential commercial agreements, a critical funding catalyst. We continue to remain focused on raising capital and also on the potential for strategic investment, which we believe only gets stronger as we continue commercialization. With that, I'll hand it to Parker for closing remarks.
Parker Meeks: Thank you, Steve. We are invigorated by the recent progress and are excited about the future ahead of us. There is significant demand in industries like Refuse and Class 8 trucking for zero emission truck solutions. With Hyzon's fuel cell electric trucks clearly showing that they can do the work of combustion with material advantages over battery electric and fuel cell truck competitors in weight, range, and overall performance. Our industry leading platforms are actively in commercial activation today and we are excited to continue driving that commercialization, building on 10 successful trials to date, over 20 major fleet trials to come, and our first commercial agreements with major fleets in hand. I would like to thank the whole Hyzon team for their continued dedication. Finally, I would like to thank our customers and stakeholders for their continued partnership and for sharing our goal of reducing emissions across heavy-duty industries through hydrogen fuel cell technology. With that, operator, we are now ready for questions.
Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Steven Fox from Fox Advisors. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Steven Fox: Hey, good morning, everyone. I had a few questions if I could. First of all, I think at one point, Parker, you mentioned during your prepared remarks that the performance of these trials is exceeding estimates and I was curious if you could sort of give us a sense for what is doing better, either relative to your expectations in the trials or to the customers? And then I had a couple of follow-ups.
Parker Meeks: Great. Hey Steve, good morning. Thanks for joining and great question. I'd love to dive in and talk about the performance of our trucks, particularly those that have been in trial, because as you mentioned, the performance has been exceptional and far beyond both our expectations and the customers that we've trialed with. Across all 10 trials that have been completed thus far, five on the Class 8 200kW truck and five on the refuse truck, we set goals with our customers on performance. You can imagine given, several of those fleets actually trialed the 110kW Class 8 truck. They understand for the most part, zero-emission truck performance. They understand obviously their diesel or CNG truck performance, and they understand that the goal for this, which they tell us, is for these trucks to work as a complete replacement for combustion without compromise, that's what they need. In some cases, for instance, in Class 8, if you are a warehouse-based delivery business, you may have 30, 50, 100, 200 trucks going out from the same warehouse every day on a wide variance of routes, some shorter, some longer, some lighter load, some heavier load. But for the most part, every truck in a facility has to do every route, right. So, when you think about what's the standard for these trials, what's the expectation, it essentially is that our truck for that facility can do every route that that facility does. When you are in the LA basin for instance, if you are going anywhere longer than, say 60 miles, 70 miles radius from a facility, you are probably climbing some pretty steep hills. So the performance expectations that we set with our customers, that they set, which we accept, have to do with load, they have to do with range, they have to do with how long they operate during a day. In some cases, they have to do with doing double shifts. For the Class 8, for instance, a typical day on trial can be anywhere from 150 miles to 500 miles across these trials. We can be carrying anywhere from 60,000 pounds to in some cases close to 90,000 pounds, if they are carrying super heavy loads with permit loads. And in some cases, we're climbing 3,000 foot climbs, 6% to 8% grades. And again, the goal is to do all the work that diesel can do. On the refuse truck, to do all the work of combustion in refuse, it depends on the route, it depends on the type of waste that you are picking up. If you are a classic neighborhood bin pickup, the standard typically is somewhere between 1,000 and 1,500 bin lifts or trash can lifts per day. Some of these routes, you are picking up 20 to 25 tons of waste in a single day, right. Those are some of the standards that we set on top of even more critical standard that very few zero emission trucks can meet, which is on the cost to operate the vehicle, which comes down to fuel efficiency, and it comes down to the overall cost of that fuel. So, if you take the Class 8 for instance, our trucks across all five of those trials to-date have tackled 3,000 foot climbs, 6% to 8% grades, have completed some days with up to 500 miles in a single day with a 20-minute refueling at the base in between shifts. They are showing up to 50% better fuel efficiency than diesel, which is critical, right, because fuel as we mentioned many times before, is up to half of the total cost of ownership for a Class 8 truck. So when you're 50% better than diesel, let's say that diesel getting six – sorry, four miles per gallon and our truck getting six miles per gallon equivalent, that's a significant impact on proving to the customer, not only can this truck do the work, but the truck can also be cost competitive to diesel at a hydrogen price of, call it, $7 to $8 a kilo. On the refuse truck, it's even better. On the refuse truck, again, I mentioned in neighborhood waste collection, you are anywhere from 1,000 to 1,500 trash can lifts per day. Our trucks have consistently completed every route they have had put in front of them, every operating day, either without having to refuel or only having to top up to avoid range anxiety on extremely long routes that in some cases are longer than what combustion does. We've achieved over 1,300 bin lifts per day in actual operation on multiple days. Consistently across all of our trials, we look at how much work the truck did during a day, again, completing a full day's work without having to refuel. And based on the fuel that's left over, we project how much work the truck could have done, and we're consistently showing over 1,500 bins per day of potential range, which is tremendous. Compare that to battery trucks. Most battery trucks can only do about 800 bin lifts per day. So, we're literally doubling the work rate of battery electric. And by the way, if for some reason there's an extreme route where we have 2,000 bins to pick up in a day, because these trucks are typically coming back to base multiple times in a single day, we can refill those trucks in about 15 minutes. So you can basically get up to 3,000 bin lifts of range with a 15-minute fill, whereas battery electric does half a day's work and can charge for anywhere from four to eight hours. And then finally on the fuel efficiency for the refuse truck, it's just been tremendous. We're seeing up to 300% better fuel efficiency than diesel. I think the average for our U.S. trials has been about 250% better fuel efficiency than diesel in the exact same routes. Having 2.5x better fuel efficiency means that we can support the same operating cost as diesel with up to a $15 per kilogram price of hydrogen, which is available now, right. So with the refuse truck tackling 27% grade hills in the city of San Francisco, showing it can do up to 1,500 bin lifts per day, showing it can carry up to 30 tons of trash in a single day, and in some route structures we're doing multiple days of work without having to refuel. It is a tremendously advantaged truck versus all other zero-emission trucks that are out there in North America that we've seen. It's the only fuel cell-powered truck in North America on the road now, and the battery trucks just really can't come close. So that's why these 10 trials we've completed, half on each platform, have gotten us and our fleet customers so excited, as it's proven -- and for some of them, for the very first time, it's the first zero-emission truck they've tried that actually can do the work, and that the economics are actually better than they expected, given the fuel efficiency advantages that we are showing.
Steven Fox: Great. That's really interesting and very helpful. And then just a couple quick follow-ups. On Slide 9, there's only two check marks missing for the rest of ‘24 around fleet agreements and advancing to second-order tranches. Can you just sort of handicap the ability to get that done by the end of the year and any kind of preview on what that could mean? And then just along with that, can you just remind us on the revenue opportunity per 100 trucks or however you want to sort of gauge it for us longer term? Thanks.
Parker Meeks: Absolutely. Thanks, Steven. And again, we're thrilled to be at the stage today where we believe we're showing that the high-zone fuel cell technology and the high-zone fuel cell powertrain is proving in the field it can do the toughest jobs in the heaviest and the longest-running trucks in zero-emission. And we have customers with a market backdrop that is if anything, accelerating in many ways. So we see funding programs, like out west in the state of California, that are continuing and that are well-funded for zero-emission trucks. We have federal programs that we're excited to be supporting, whether it's the DOE, H2 hubs, or the core programs that were just awarded under the Clean Ports Program and the Inflation Reduction Act and several others are now being put forward. And alongside that, our customers, particularly in refuse, have cities and counties who are now requiring zero-emission trucks as a part of the application at the end of RFPs to award refuse collection services. So if you're a large city in California, and many times they are awarding 2026, 2027, five to 10 year contracts, where for some of the large fleets, it's an incumbent contract that they don't want to lose. And for other fleets, large and small, it's an opportunity for them to step in and actually win a contract, where part of that RFP response includes advantages to zero-emission trucks given how well our garbage truck in particular is performing. So with that backdrop of a strong market backdrop and accelerating in some cases in refuse, customer view of the opportunity, to not just have our trucks be a decarbonization enabler for their ESG goals, but also a revenue enabler and a market share enabler, either defensive or offensive, given the RFPs that are coming out from the cities and counties. We're actively in negotiations on the majority of the ten trials that have been completed on the first contracts or in some cases the second order for all of our trucks. I mean, you can see on Slide 9, we say that they are both – both those goals, a new large fleet multi-year customer agreement and a large fleet advance to a second order are in negotiations. And while I can't tell you exactly the timing of when we might get those done, given the performance of our trucks, we are optimistic that we have put everything in place to show the trucks work, to show the economics can work, there's subsidy in place today to support today's truck being deployed [ph] and the customers are excited to get going. So we certainly will look forward to updating the market as appropriate, as we're able to push these customers across the line. And again, we've spoken about where we are today and putting check marks next to those final two. To your question on revenue potential, what I can comment on that we've released previously, we said last year that the 110kW truck round figures was roughly a $500,000 headline price, and of course that varies by customer. The 200kW we haven't commented publicly on the price of that truck and the economics to us from a powertrain point of view. You can imagine 200kW is a bit more expensive than a 110kW, although it's not dramatically so. So if you're talking about 100 trucks, if you did it on the 110 kilowatt economics that we put out before at a whole truck revenue, you are talking about $50 million of revenue if it is a full sale, full stop, no lease arrangement, no holdbacks, no accounting concerns as to how that revenue is recognized. In some cases, with our contracts from 2023 that are now in 2024, we do have trucks that are commercially deployed under a contract where there may be a performance guarantee, there may be a buyback clause, there may be other restrictions that our finance team can speak to. But long story short, what's the cash potential for Hyzon and what's the potential cash generation for the company. These are today, call it $500,000 give or take, total cash generation potential for a truck. The refuse truck is a bit more expensive than that, given there's a body attached to it as well. And what we're excited to hopefully show is conversion of these trials to contracts, the GreenWaste Agreement being the first of those to be announced in the back of trials, and then to be able to talk more openly in 2025 about how that's translating to cash generation, to revenue potential, including potential concepts like deposits that we are hoping to land. Tough to do that in the U.S. market. It's not normal for truck companies to pay deposits on trucks. But our customers also understand that this is a different technology with a different cash profile. So all those are terms and concepts that we're excited to hopefully talk about in more detail as we push forward on the back of this trial program in Q4 and 2025.
Steven Fox: Super. That's all very helpful. Thank you.
Parker Meeks: Thanks a lot Steve.
Operator: Our next question comes from Craig Irwin from Roth Capital. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Unidentified Analyst: Hey guys. This is Andrew on for Craig and congrats on the operational progress. First one for me, you guys received an order very quickly after your trial from GreenWaste. It seems like those guys were ready and waiting. What does this mean for other customers out there with trials? Is it possible we see an accelerated timeline for orders?
Parker Meeks: Hey Andrew, thanks so much for joining, and that's a great topic to dig into. Because the most critical aspect of commercializing these trucks, once you are clearly comfortable with the performance of the truck, the quality of the truck, and its ability to perform in trial, it is how you prioritize your pipeline. How you look at the fleets that are out there, because there's a lot of fleets that want to try a zero emission truck. Look at Hyzon's history with the 110kW truck trial program which started back in 2021. We were doing a lot of trials just to get the truck out there, to get it into the environment to learn. Now we're confident in the performance of these trucks with all that three years of learning, over 300,000 miles globally on road for the Hyzon fuel cell powertrain and we're very focused on our pipeline. These are fleets that it's not just about fleet size. It's about what is the – certainly the buying opportunity and the buying capability of that fleet, which fleet size is a good indicator of, but also what's their motivation? What's their ambition? What's driving their buying decision? Certainly there's typically an ESG goal. There's typically a clear commitment by the company, either as a core part of their business, like GreenWaste, to be a sustainability leader. Or kind of be a core part of their value proposition to their employees, to their customers, that they are making a difference in transitioning their fleet from carbon to less. And when you put that together, you see a picture of these fleets that may change your view based on just a sort of rough ranking based on fleet size. So GreenWaste is a great example of that. They are a fleet that has a number of trucks in the hundreds, not the thousands. On a pure screen, if you are trying to sell trucks, you would never put them at the top of the list based on fleet size. But they have a very active ownership group who is eager to grow that business, focused on sustainability, focused on being a leader and a real innovator in sustainability. They are centered in the market out on the West Coast, where they are most active in San Jose to the Bay Area, looking to expand. And they have been quite excited about getting their hands on our refuse truck, because they see how their customers in cities that we touched during the trial, such as Palo Alto and Portola Valley and Woodside (OTC:WOPEY) and Atherton, both have the means to invest in their community for their citizens to put zero emission trucks into their refuse fleet, but that they are willing to also put that into the contracts in the RFPs that they are putting forward. So GreenWaste is a great example of exactly the kind of customer that we focus on into our pipeline. One that is motivated and driven to be a leader in sustainability, one that has real goals that they need to achieve, and one that sees the commercial opportunity in front of them based on how their customers and their stakeholders will react to being able to put leading zero emission trucks that can most importantly do the work into their fleet. So the rest of our trial program certainly has many large fleets in it. We've updated before. The average fleet size in our trial program across the now 30-plus fleets that are in it is 4,200 trucks. There's 10 fleets over 5,000 trucks. So some of the largest fleets in North America certainly are in our trial program, some will have completed trials. But it's a great example of how Hyzon looks at our customer prioritization and why we are hopeful that we can move as quickly as GreenWaste moves to contracts, because these are fleets that aren't just trying a truck to see how it works. They are fleets with a real thesis as to why, if this works, it could make sense for them.
Unidentified Analyst: Perfect. No, thank you for the color. And a quick follow-up from me. We're still in the early days of the production of the 200kW stack truck. Can you just kind of talk about what you guys have learned so far through early production?
Parker Meeks: On the fuel cell system itself?
Unidentified Analyst: Yeah. Sorry, just on the 200kW system.
Parker Meeks: Perfect. Thank you very much. Yeah, so again, we were thrilled to achieve a milestone that we've been working for, for some time in declaring commercial sort of production of the 200kW single stack fuel cell system. We believe it is the highest power output, the most compact mobile fuel cell system that's in trucks today. The facility here in Bolingbrook, Illinois, we believe is one of the largest, fully integrated MEA through a complete system assembly, fuel cell system assembly plants in the U.S., and one that we're quite proud, aligns we think, well, with goals that many cities, counties, and parts of the federal government have to take this kind of technology forward. And that SOP process was also culminated importantly with us receiving our ISO 9001 certification, which is a tremendous accomplishment for our team, to have a company like Hyzon who is only 3.5 years post our public listing on the NASDAQ to achieve an ISO 9001 cert shows our partners and our customers, the type of quality that we are not just designing into the fuel cell system, but in designing our supply chain and in our manufacturing process. So through that process, we learned a lot. We produced close to 50 units from the A Sample through pre-production phases. That A Sample, B Sample, C Sample, pre-production was about 50 units that we produced. And all those units had a number of things that we observed, both performance and different variants that were stronger and performance and different components and design factors that we said, oh, we can actually improve here. I think there were over 50 major significant design changes as we went through that process from A Sample to sort of pro-induction and that's a good thing. When you are making design changes to the process at that scale, you can be comfortable that you are thoroughly testing, that you are doing your durability testing well, that you are testing at all the right levels, both at the full system level, at the stack level, at the short stack level, and at the single cell level. So all that leads us to a first-generation post-SOP 200kW fuel cell design, that we have a lot of confidence in the quality and the durability. We have additional opportunities. We've already identified that we're working into the next-generation design for 2025 that will have even better durability and start us driving down the cost curve as well. Because again, while we believe we're two to three years ahead of all others outside of China in getting to a 200kW-plus single stack system for trucks, we have to maintain that edge. And the first step in that is that when they finally do come to market with a 200kW-plus single stack system, we're hopefully two to three years already up the durability curve and down the cost curve, right, and that we're at some point working on our 300-kilowatt-plus single stack system for stationary power. So a lot of learnings, a lot of great advancements, and we're very focused on an efficient path to keep that going to maintain our edge.
Unidentified Analyst: Great. Well, thanks for the details. Thank you for taking the questions, and I'll hop back in the queue.
Parker Meeks: Thanks Andrew.
Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our last question comes from Robert Wertheimer from Melius Research. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Robert Wertheimer: Hi. Good morning, everybody. Congrats on the progress you've made. I had a few questions just around that. Could you talk about the timeline from here to delivery of the GreenWaste purchase order? What are the steps? I mean, I don't know if there's further testing. Obviously, you have to get the trucks and convert them. I don't know if there's fuel issues. Just what's the timeline there, and what would a typical or hoped-for timeline be on any potential future orders?
Parker Meeks: Hey, Rob. Great to hear your voice. Thanks so much for the question. Yeah, we'd love to talk about the path forward for the refuse truck. Obviously, it is performing even better than we hoped it would, in what is basically an alpha/beta truck. It is the sister truck to the first refuse truck deployed in Australia about a year and a half ago. This truck came to market for the U.S. market, and based on its performance we're starting on a very strong basis, if you think about that. This is basically, at best case, a B-sample prototype truck, which has had nearly 100% availability in five major trials thus far. Result you just don't expect, right, which I think builds on the quality of the powertrain, because it is a powertrain that's been in development now and testing for three years on the basis of the Class 8. Additionally, this is a truck that right now, that refuse truck has a 110kW fuel cell in it, right. And it's showing up to 300% better fuel efficiency than diesel, and able to perform full-day's work, up to 30 tons of refuse oil, 27% grade, without the 200kW in it. With the 200kW in that truck, we believe the fuel efficiency gets even better and the performance gets even a bigger separation from the existing battery electric trucks. So part of that timeline which we're already in, is developing the refuse truck towards its start of production, right. So the Class 8 has completed its 200kW start of production that we announced in September. The refuse truck has to go through that process now. It will be a faster SOP than the Class 8, given that we're building on a very similar set of components. It will include adopting the 200kW into that design. So some of the milestones to look out for in 2025, when we have our first trial truck available for display of the 200kW production intent, will be a big milestone for us. As we finalize the BOM and the design towards the end of the SOP process, and we're putting that truck in the customer trial as the final pieces of the SOP will be big milestones for us into 2025. And we did mention in the GreenWaste contract announcement that we could deliver initial vehicles to them commercially as soon as the fourth quarter of 2025. We're not committing to the fourth quarter of 2025, but that's how fast this theoretically could go, and it may obviously slip into 2026. With that, the majority of what we do in 2025 commercially will be on the Class 8 200kW. The refuse truck, we're quite excited to accelerate, start a production process on that as much as we can, building on the back of the Class 8. We're excited to put that truck out in the market with a 200kW power train at some point in 2025, and update on our timing for that SOP for refuse at some point next year.
Robert Wertheimer: Perfect. Thank you. I'm not sure how much you are going to want to comment on this, so I understand you may not, but any discussion of where you stand with potential strategic partners? I don't know if you are in active conversations or if you are waiting for potentially more orders to come in or the potential partners are. Then any comments on where your potential customers feel about the financing, whether they are potentially making orders contingent on you obtaining a partner on more financing or whether they could finance it? There's lots of options out there and I'm curious if you could explore any of them with us. Thank you.
Parker Meeks: Yeah, no, thanks Rob, both critical topics for us. On the strategic partners, what I can say is, when we talked about strategic partners in the past, who also could be partners both in the ecosystem supplying there, whether it's fuel or their base chassis as part of our truck or dispensing capital or lease capital, it's both, a potential place in the value chain on the back of our customer pipeline, which has only gotten better as we've proven the truck's in priority. We're now announcing the first contract with GreenWaste in the back of those trials and we're now negotiating with several fleets on the back of their successful trials, but also possibly to provide around a base load of capital as a part of that relationship. All those partners look to our commercial success as the foundation for a partnership, as a foundation for potentially providing capital as a part of that. Clearly today, we're in a stronger position in terms of our commercial positioning than we were even three months back, right. With 10 trials complete, all successful, with the first order announced, that's proof that we can transact, even to your point, in a very uncertain time. So our customers are certainly well aware of where we are as a company. The customers that experience our truck typically are very excited that they have a zero emission truck that actually works, and that they have a fuel cell truck with a powertrain that is clearly advantaged in all the ways that we speak to it, and that they have a truck that's based on a legacy OEM chassis that they know and that can be serviced well. So, on the partnership side what I can say is, we're in the strongest position we've ever been with these potential partners. The fuel side continues to lead, right. So fuel providers are clearly to be able to sell trucks. Customers have to see where the fuel is going to come from. It's not that they have to have the fuel contract in place when they sign the truck order, but at the same time, they are not going to sign a truck order without having a clear view as to who's going to provide the fuel with pricing that is generally understood. So fuel providers are putting in their fuel proposals alongside our trucks. These include many of the larger players in that space and some of the newer companies that are trying to forge their way. We're very comfortable, as I mentioned in my comments, that the cost of fuel has come down dramatically from the $40 a kilogram that we saw six months ago with all the supply disruptions, to we're now getting bids for our customers in the $10 to $12 a kilogram range as soon as 2025. That provides an environment where these partners see the path. So, we do need to sign a few more contracts to build a pipeline, so that these partners see that this is commercially viable for them to commit. Hopefully, once that happens, with the 30 trials that we're conducting between July and February, even with a 40% success rate, that's 10 to 12 potential contracts, that given our target of 50 trucks minimum per contract for most of the larger fleets, we're hopeful that leads to a 500-plus soft backlog that could be confirmed as soon as the middle of Q01. If all that happens, that's going to show these partners a foundation that can create a lot of value for them, and we hope that means that they are going to participate in Hyzon's success. On the financing front, I'll comment and hand it over to Steve. What I can say to your question on our customers holding back for some reason based on wanting to see us make more progress from a financing standpoint. We are very open with our customers on where we are. Obviously, it's part of their diligence process. You see customers signing contracts, that's a good sign, right. Those customers have gotten comfortable with where we are. If we announce more contracts, clearly those customers, most of these are conservative companies who take things very seriously. So, to this stage, companies understand our plans, our strategies on how we're going to manage cash and capital. We're very open with them about how we're going to do that. They see our ability to raise capital recently and they understand that we are hopeful to have similar opportunities to continue to raise capital through the financial markets should that make sense. And then obviously, they also understand where we are with these strategic partners, who are proposing fuel and other things to them. That also, we hope, is part of our plan. So I can say thus far, our contracts and our negotiations have not included terms like that, holdbacks based on financing or things like that. And generally our customers are understanding and frankly supportive, given we're very transparent with them on our plans to make sure we do all we can to succeed. Steve, do you want to add to that?
Steve Weiland: Yeah. I think Parker really hit the main points. I'd just add, I think at the end of the day, it really comes down to now that we've proven our technical and operational capabilities, our ability to convince the market and our customers with commercial contracts. And I think we saw recently, when we announced the order with our fantastic first partner in refuse, GreenWaste, what we saw the stock do on that day. And we now have put in place the tools through our prior actions of being able to capitalize on equity fundraising opportunities when the price and the volume react. So, in terms of near-term comfort and being able to balance that capital-raising strategy with commercial progress, I think we feel pretty good that we've got a lot of the tools in place to do that. And then, on the back of that, we also believe as Parker said, that that only increases our attractiveness from a strategic standpoint. We have a very unique strategic asset here. I believe we're the only fully integrated U.S. producer of fuel cells here. And as we see large customers, large fleets advance with us, and you can imagine the ecosystems that are attached to that with their preferred vendors, for example, through the OEM system. In our stated pathway to become a fuel system OEM provider, a lot of opportunities and interesting things may pop up that we're actively pursuing.
Robert Wertheimer: Wonderful. Thank you for the answers. I'll talk to you later. Thanks.
Parker Meeks: Thanks, Rob.
Operator: We have no further questions. I'd like to turn the call back over to Parker Meeks for closing remarks.
Parker Meeks: Thank you, Operator, and thank you all for joining us. As we at Hyzon continue to drive our leading technology forward to achieve our commercialization goals, I certainly look forward to updating you all on our progress in the coming months. Thanks so much, and take care.
Operator: This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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