Selloff or Market Correction? Either Way, Here's What to Do NextSee Overvalued Stocks

Treasury yields extend declines as markets eye soft inflation data, Fed policy

Published 11/17/2023, 06:32 AM
© Reuters
US2YT=X
-
US10YT=X
-

Investing.com -- U.S. Treasury yields slipped further on Friday, as markets tried to gauge if the Federal Reserve's recent campaign of interest rate hikes has reached its peak following a week of soft inflation data.

By 06:08 ET (11:08 GMT), the 2-year Treasury yield, which is highly sensitive to rate expectations, had dropped by 4 basis points to 4.805%. The benchmark 10-year yield, meanwhile, dipped by 5 basis points to 4.390%. Yields move inversely to prices.

"The market is clearly [eyeing] a change in the rate cycle," analysts at ING said in a note.

According to Investing.com's Fed Rate Monitor Tool, the chances that the Fed may choose to reduce borrowing costs as soon as March of next year have risen in recent days, although markets are betting that a cut at the central bank's May meeting is more likely.

The all-important Fed funds rate currently stands at a range of 5.25% to 5.50% following an unprecedented tightening cycle aimed at quelling elevated inflation.

Figures this week showed an unexpected decline in wholesale prices in October, while growth in consumer prices was slower than anticipated last month. The numbers fueled hopes that the elevated interest rates are working to bring inflation back down to the Fed's stated 2% target. Oil prices, a key portion of headline price growth, are also on track to fall for the fourth straight week.

However, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester noted in an interview with business news channel CNBC that "we need to see more" progress in cooling prices.

"The Fed does not appear ready to give in yet to somewhat softer data and the markets' speculation for earlier rate cuts," the ING analysts said.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.