Black Friday Sale! Save huge on InvestingProGet up to 60% off

FOREX-Euro slips from 2-month high vs US dollar

Published 07/20/2010, 02:36 PM
Updated 07/20/2010, 02:40 PM
GC
-

* Euro reverses gains after hitting $1.3029

* Bank stress tests, auction jitters weigh on euro

* Yen down on intervention risk (Updates prices, adds comment, details, changes byline)

By Steven C. Johnson

NEW YORK, July 20 (Reuters) - The euro retreated from a 10-week high against the dollar on Tuesday as weak U.S. earnings dulled risk appetite and investors took profits on euro gains ahead of European bank stress test results.

Traders pushed the euro to $1.3029 overnight but were reluctant to take it higher for fear stress test results due Friday would show some banks need to raise more capital.

The euro traded at $1.2903, it's 100-day moving average and 0.3 percent below its level late on Monday. Disappointing quarterly results from Goldman Sachs Group Inc and some other companies hurt U.S. stocks earlier and took the euro as low as $1.2840 but it pared losses by mid afternoon

"We've had three recent attempts above $1.30, and the euro's come back each time," said Camilla Sutton, senior FX strategist at Scotia Capital in Toronto. "Markets are looking for a catalyst to take it back up or push it down, and as long as the stress tests come out as expected with no big surprises, we could make a temporary new high above $1.30."

Some analysts say test results could soothe concerns about how European banks would cope with a deterioration in the region's economy and financial markets. Some in the market say banks may not pass the test.

Though nationalized German lender Hypo Real Estate is expected to fail, a source said on Monday, analysts said results may still be positive for the euro because signs of weakness would demonstrate the test's validity.

"If all of the banks passed, the market would say the tests were unrealistic," said Lutz Karpowitz, currency strategist at Commerzbank in Frankfurt. [ID:nLDE66I20V]

DOLLAR'S DWINDLING YIELD ADVANTAGE

The dollar rose 0.6 percent to 87.26 yen after hitting a seven-month low of 86.27 hit on EBS on Friday.

Recent yen strength has prompted market investors to consider how Japanese authorities may deal with a firmer currency. Traders suspect they may not want to see the 85-yen level breached, though many doubt Tokyo is ready to intervene.

Traders said dollar weakness, including against the yen, is partly a function of fading expectations for a U.S. interest rate hike in 2010.

The euro has rallied more than 5 percent so far this month on easing concern about the euro zone debt crisis and after weak U.S. economic news eroded the dollar's yield appeal.

The yield on the two-year Treasury note touched a record low on Tuesday after the government reported U.S. housing starts hit their lowest level in eight months in June. The data was further evidence the economy has lost steam.[ID:nN20249501]

The Canadian dollar rose about 0.7 percent to C$1.0472 per U.S. dollar on Tuesday after the Bank of Canada raised interest rates for the second time in two months.

However, the bank cautioned that the domestic and global recoveries will be slower than previously expected, and traders said that makes future hikes less certain and could take some shine off the Canadian dollar [ID:nBCLKIE60X]

Euro declines picked up speed after Hungary sold a smaller amount of three-month Treasury bills than originally planned. [ID:nBUD005418]

This contrasted with smoother debt auctions elsewhere. Ireland sold 1.5 billion euros in bonds on Tuesday, weathering a ratings cut by Moody's, while Spain and Greece found buyers for shorter-term paper in further signs of recovering demand for peripheral euro zone debt. See [ID:nLDE66J10W]

(Additional reporting by Wanfeng Zhou in New York and Naomi Tajitsu in London; Editing by Andrew Hay)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.