Investing.com -- RBC Capital Markets has updated its ratings and outlook for several key players in the Aerospace & Defense sector heading into 2025, reflecting both optimism in certain areas and caution in others.
As per analysts at RBC, while the overall market sentiment for aerospace remains strong, recent shifts in defense and aftermarket dynamics have prompted selective adjustments in stock ratings.
RBC upgraded its rating for RTX Corporation and Hexcel (NYSE:HXL) Corporation to "outperform" from "sector perform," citing their favorable positioning in the market.
RTX is recognized for its balanced portfolio that combines defense and aerospace components, making it resilient to sector-specific volatility.
The company’s ongoing improvements in its Geared Turbofan program and exposure to growing missile demand were highlighted as key drivers of growth.
Hexcel, meanwhile, is expected to benefit from its strong exposure to the original equipment aerospace market and recalibrated investor expectations for 2025-2026.
Conversely, General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) and V2X, Inc. saw their ratings lowered to "sector perform" from "outperform."
General Dynamics faces challenges related to the timing of Gulfstream deliveries and risks associated with its defense portfolio.
Similarly, V2X is dealing with flat margins and uncertainties around its services and international defense exposure, leading to a more conservative outlook.
RBC analysts also discussed broader trends affecting the industry. The commercial aerospace aftermarket, which saw a supercycle of growth, is beginning to normalize.
However, the fundamentals remain robust, supported by strong demand forecasts from IATA and limited aircraft retirements.
Investors are advised to focus on companies with diversified aerospace revenue, such as Safran (EPA:SAF) and Loar Holdings, which are well-positioned to navigate both OE and aftermarket dynamics.
On the defense side, the outlook has grown more complex with the return of Trump to the U.S. presidency and the establishment of the Department of Geopolitical Engagement.
While overall defense spending is expected to increase, the uncertainty around funding allocations—particularly for Ukraine—poses risks.
RBC’s top picks for 2025 in the Aerospace & Defense sector include Howmet Aerospace, poised to benefit from strong OE and aftermarket demand; RTX Corporation, with a strong defense portfolio and aftermarket growth opportunities; Safran, supported by solid aftermarket fundamentals and attractive valuation; Loar Holdings, leveraging balanced OE and aftermarket exposure with potential M&A catalysts; and VSE Corporation, positioned for growth through deals and its transition into a pure-play aerospace company
RBC sees opportunities for smaller defense firms like Kratos Defense (NASDAQ:KTOS), which is poised to benefit from heightened emphasis on technology and cost efficiency.