Projected air travel growth runs counter to climate goals, study says

Published 01/12/2025, 06:04 PM
Updated 01/12/2025, 06:05 PM
© Reuters. American Airlines planes are seen at gates at LaGuardia Airport ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday, in New York City, U.S., November 21, 2023.  REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton/File Photo
BA
-

By Joanna Plucinska

DUBLIN (Reuters) - The number of air passengers is projected to more than double by 2050, causing surging fuel demand and undermining the aviation industry's steps to reduce its emissions, a study from climate advocacy group Transport and Environment showed on Monday.

As aviation industry leaders meet in Dublin this week at an annual finance conference where many plane sales are expected, the Brussels-based group called for the European Union to implement measures to limit the sector's growth.

"It's time to come back down to earth and put an end to this addiction to growth," Jo Dardenne, the group's aviation director, told Reuters.

Steps to tame fast-growing air travel could include limiting airport infrastructure growth and corporate travel while increasing taxation on the sector, the report said.

The airline industry, which accounts for about 2.5% of global carbon emissions, has vowed to use more sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) in an effort to cut emissions and to reach net zero by 2050.

But scant supply and prices that are up to five times higher than traditional jet fuel mean little of the greener fuel is in use.

Monday's report said fuel use by the industry was forecast to rise by 59% by 2050 from 2019 levels as passenger numbers increase.

With plane manufacturers Airbus and Boeing (NYSE:BA) both projecting high growth in the coming years and more planes in the sky, emissions are set to increase even with more efficient jets on the market and the use of SAF.

"The more they grow, the further away they move from it. At this rate, they will still be burning two billion barrels of oil per year in 2050, despite using SAF," said Dardenne.

© Reuters. American Airlines planes are seen at gates at LaGuardia Airport ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday, in New York City, U.S., November 21, 2023.  REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton/File Photo

Airbus and Boeing did not respond immediately to a Reuters request for comment.

The airline industry has repeatedly pushed back on calls to curtail growth, saying the sector is essential to economic development and global connectivity.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.