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New Illumina launch seen to rejuvenate thawing sales: analysts

Published 01/10/2017, 09:17 AM
Updated 01/10/2017, 09:20 AM
© Reuters. The offices of gene sequencing company Illumina Inc are shown in San Diego, California
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(Reuters) - Shares of Illumina Inc (O:ILMN) rose 14 percent in premarket trading on Tuesday, after the maker of products used for genetic analysis launched its newest gene-sequencing platform, prompting a slew of analyst price target increases.

The company on Monday unveiled its NovaSeq sequencing platform, which is expected to deliver three-times faster and 20 percent cheaper sequencing than its existing models.

Gene-sequencing is used to analyze the human genome and can be used to identify inherited disorders, characterize markers of disease progression and for tracking disease outbreaks.

A complete replacement of sequencing instruments used by Illumina's current customers represents a $2 billion opportunity alone, and the company believes the lower price could drive further market expansion, Barclays (LON:BARC) analysts said.

It took government-funded scientists $3 billion and 13 years to sequence the first human genome by 2003. In 2014, the cost was closer to $1,500 per genome.

In the same way that Illumina's HiSeq X enabled the $1,000 genome, future systems derived from NovaSeq architecture could enable the $100 genome, Chief Executive Francis deSouza said.

Adding further capacity - even with a major upgrade - is unlikely to lift demand, especially from customers that are still struggling to meet margin targets and find it hard to fork out $985,000 for NovaSeq, Leerink analysts said.

Whether Illumina, which also disclosed a partnership with IBM's (N:IBM) Watson unit on Monday, could return to robust instrument growth has weighed on the stock through 2016.

In October, the company's stock plunged 25 percent on a weak third-quarter forecast. Overall, its shares lost a third of their value over the course of the year.

Last January, the company announced it was forming a new company called Grail to develop a universal blood test to identify early-stage cancers in people with no symptoms of the disease. http://reut.rs/2iAl0eJ

Coupled with Grail, as well as the ramp up of several new precision medicine initiatives, we believe Illumina has the pieces in place to return to mid-teens organic revenue growth by 2018, Bank of America Merrill Lynch (NYSE:BAC) analysts said.

They upgraded the stock to "buy" from "neutral" and raised the price target to $175 from $145.

© Reuters. The offices of gene sequencing company Illumina Inc are shown in San Diego, California

As part of the J.P. Morgan healthcare conference, the company forecast fourth-quarter sales of $619 million, about $6.5 million above Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S estimates.

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