Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Morning Bid: Bond selloff pauses on Powell, dollar wilts

Published 04/03/2024, 05:47 PM
Updated 04/03/2024, 05:51 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stands backstage before speaking at the 2024 Business, Government & Society Forum at the Stanford Graduate School of Business in Stanford, California, U.S., April 3, 2024. REUTERS/Carlos Barria/File Pho
HG
-

By Jamie McGeever

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets.

A pause in the global bond market selloff, stabilization on Wall Street and a softer dollar should all help support Asian markets on Thursday, as investors also turn their eyes to U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's visit to China. 

The Asia and Pacific economic calendar on Thursday is extremely light, with only Australian and Indian services purchasing managers index reports on tap, leaving investors to take their cue from global market moves and events.

Chief among them will be Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's reiteration on Wednesday that policymakers can take their time deliberating over when to deliver their first rate cut, and that it remains "too soon" to judge whether recent stronger-than-expected inflation is "more than just a bump." 

The recent whittling away of U.S. rate cut expectations - rates markets no longer fully expect a move in June or 75 basis points of easing in total this year - has recently begun to squeeze bond and stock markets around the world.

But Powell didn't scare the horses any further on Wednesday. In addition, figures also showed service sector prices pressures cooled significantly last month and the dollar had its steepest fall in a month, which should help Asian stocks on Thursday claw back some of the previous day's losses.

Yellen lands in China as evidence mounts that the economy may finally be emerging from its post-lockdown funk. The latest services PMIs strengthened that view, and Citi's China economic surprises index is at its highest level in almost a year.

The Caixin/S&P Global services purchasing managers' index (PMI) edged up to 52.7 in March from 52.5 the month before, above the 50-mark that separates expansion from contraction for the 15th consecutive month.

China's tentative recovery is also supporting the continued rise in global commodity prices. Oil edged closer to $89 a barrel on Wednesday, copper hit a 13-month peak and gold printed yet another record high. 

Gold has risen in 26 of the last 35 trading days, in which time it has surged 15%.

Investors will be wary of further aftershocks following a 7.2 magnitude earthquake that rocked Taiwan on Wednesday, the island's biggest in 25 years. Shares in global chipmaking giant TSMC fell 0.9% after it said some facilities were evacuated following the quake, though workers have since returned.

India's services PMI figures, meanwhile, will be closely watched to see if they match the strength of the manufacturing PMI earlier this week. Manufacturing in March expanded at the fastest pace in 16 years and hiring increased at the strongest rate in six months.

Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Thursday:

- Australia services PMI (March)

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stands backstage before speaking at the 2024 Business, Government & Society Forum at the Stanford Graduate School of Business in Stanford, California, U.S., April 3, 2024. REUTERS/Carlos Barria/File Photo

- India services PMI (March)

- U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen visits China

(By Jamie McGeever; Editing by Josie Kao)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.