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Market Watch: DWAC's Rapid Rise Fuels Options Trading Speculation

Published 01/23/2024, 04:31 PM
Updated 01/23/2024, 05:01 PM
© Reuters.  Market Watch: DWAC's Rapid Rise Fuels Options Trading Speculation
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Quiver Quantitative - In the dynamic world of stock trading, the latest buzz surrounds Digital World Acquisition (DWAC), the special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) linked to former President Donald Trump. This week witnessed a striking surge in the company's shares, soaring up to 100% since Monday. The surge has fueled an unprecedented options trading frenzy, with a notable focus on $100 call options expiring on Friday. These trades reflect a bold bet by investors on the stock's potential to nearly double within days.

Traders are buzzing with speculation, particularly on platforms like WallStreetBets and StockTwits, making DWAC one of the most-discussed stocks. Despite the inherent risk in such short-term, out-of-the-money options, traders seem driven by the possibility of a further rally, potentially spurred by Trump's political activities.

Market Overview: -SPAC Frenzy: Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC) surges again, fueled by options traders betting on a potential doubling of its price by Friday. -Volume Blitz: Record options activity sees the $100 call expiring this week become the most-traded contract, hinting at bullish bets despite a 92% climb needed for payoff. -Retail Roars: Online forums like WallStreetBets buzz with DWAC chatter, showcasing intense retail investor engagement. -Short Squeeze Potential: Analysts suggest a potential squeeze scenario driven by options buying and speculation about a strong New Hampshire showing for Trump.

Key Points: -DWAC options volume has skyrocketed, reflecting heightened speculation on a continued rally. -The $100 call option expiring Friday, signifying a near-impossible 92% gain, saw the highest trading volume, indicating aggressive bullish bets. -Online chatter on platforms like WallStreetBets demonstrates significant retail investor excitement surrounding DWAC. -Analysts see potential for a short squeeze, fueled by options buying and the prospect of further price hikes driven by news or market sentiment.

Looking Ahead: -Can DWAC maintain its momentum and double again by Friday, exceeding the most bullish options bets? -Will retail investor enthusiasm hold, or will profit-taking and potential short-covering spark volatility? -How will regulatory scrutiny and news surrounding Trump's political ventures impact the trading frenzy? -Could this be a fleeting meme-like rally, or can DWAC establish a foothold in the SPAC landscape?

However, the market's reaction has been mixed. While some traders remain optimistic, buying small chunks of the call option at varied prices, others seem to be exercising caution. The fluctuating price of the call option late in the session indicates a growing skepticism among some investors about the viability of such a rapid increase.

This situation exemplifies the volatile nature of SPAC-related stocks and the speculative fervor that can drive market movements in the short term. As always, such market dynamics offer a blend of opportunity and risk, drawing in traders looking for quick gains while cautioning against the potential for significant losses.

This article was originally published on Quiver Quantitative

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