🎈 Up Big Today: Find today's biggest gainers with our free screenerTry Stock Screener

Bankers prepare for globalisation 'reset' in second Trump presidency

Published 12/03/2024, 05:24 AM
Updated 12/03/2024, 12:06 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The sky is reflected in the glass windows at the head office of Standard Chartered bank in the City of London February 27, 2015.  REUTERS/Eddie Keogh/File Photo
SCBFF
-

(Corrects company name in last paragraph to Alvarez & Marsal, not Alvarez & Marshal)

By Lawrence White and Sinead Cruise

LONDON (Reuters) -Globalisation is being reset by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's trade tariff threats and worries about regulatory arbitrage between Wall Street banks and their international rivals, senior bankers said on Tuesday.

Trump said last month he would impose a 25% tariff on all products from Mexico and Canada, and an additional 10% tariff on goods from China, on the first day of his second term, raising concerns about global trading relationships.

However, Trump's proposed tariffs would not dramatically hurt BBVA (BME:BBVA)'s business in Mexico, the Spanish bank's Chief Executive Onur Genc told the FT Global Banking Summit in London.

"We are not at all concerned", Genc said.

"If the labour cost in the U.S. is 100, the cost in Mexico is 10 ... so you're putting 25% tariffs on 10(%)," he said, adding that meant the country would remain competitive.

BBVA is among the most exposed foreign lenders to any shift in Mexico's competitive standing and economic growth following the proposed tariffs, with BBVA Mexico the biggest bank in the market and delivering 47% of the Spanish group's income in 2023.

OPPORTUNITIES

Trump's proposed tariffs could disrupt supply chains worldwide but also open up opportunities for banks across Asia and the Middle East, Tanuj Kapilashrami, Chief Strategy and Talent Officer at Standard Chartered (OTC:SCBFF), said in response to a question at the same event.

Separately, European Central Bank board member Piero Cipollone said U.S. import duties could lower economic growth and inflation in the 20 countries sharing the euro.

Some commentators have predicted a wave of financial deregulation on Wall Street during Trump's second spell as president, adding to speculation that 'Basel Endgame' rules designed to shock-proof the global banking system will not be rolled out in the United States at the same pace as in Europe.

C.S. Venkatakrishnan, CEO of Britain's Barclays (LON:BARC) said he was still hopeful the rules would be adopted at roughly the same time, which would support the efforts of European lenders to remain competitive with their U.S. rivals.

"It's realistic ... the world has invested a lot in this," he said, adding: "We get carried away and look at personalities, but the U.S. is a country of great and strong institutions, and it knows it has a very important role to play in the international world."

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The sky is reflected in the glass windows at the head office of Standard Chartered bank in the City of London February 27, 2015.  REUTERS/Eddie Keogh/File Photo

European bank executives are concerned that the superior returns enjoyed by U.S. banks in recent years could grow yet further if Trump's measures favour his home market.

North American banks are outpacing their European peers in revenue generation, with net interest margins of 1.8% compared to just 1.2%, research from professional services firm Alvarez & Marsal showed on Tuesday.   

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.