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Foreign money is leaving Asian equities ex-China this month, LSEG data shows

Published 10/09/2024, 09:12 AM
Updated 10/09/2024, 09:16 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Bull statues are placed in font of screens showing the Hang Seng stock index and stock prices outside Exchange Square, in Hong Kong, China, August 18, 2023. REUTERS/Tyrone Siu/File Photo

By Gaurav Dogra

(Reuters) - Foreign money is leaving Asian equities, excluding China, this month as concerns about hefty stock valuations and conflict in the Middle East spur investors to book profits.

Some investors also appear to be moving money into Chinese and Hong Kong shares after Beijing's announcement of stimulus measures drove a rally in local shares, analysts said.

According to LSEG data, foreigners have so far divested a net $7.61 billion worth of shares in India, Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, South Korea, Taiwan and the Philippines this month, following net purchases of $759 million a month ago driven by optimism over a large rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

"We have seen further profit-taking pressure on Korea and Taiwan due to the shift in momentum on global AI/semiconductor investment theme," said Jason Lui, head of APAC equity and derivative strategy at BNP Paribas (OTC:BNPQY).

"Some of the capital from East Asia (Japan, Korea, Taiwan) may have been reallocated back to HK/China as well."

Taiwanese and South Korean stocks saw foreign net outflows of about $1.71 billion and $426 million, respectively, following $2.94 billion and $5.73 billion worth of net selling in September.

Overseas investors have, meanwhile, snapped up a net $5.81 billion worth of China-focused funds since the beginning of this month, LSEG Lipper data showed.

Indian equities have recorded about $5.35 billion worth of foreign net outflows in October, driven by disappointing corporate updates and caution over high valuations, contrasting with $6.89 billion in net inflows last month.

Indian equities trade at a price to 12-month forward earnings ratio (P/E) of 23.24 compared with a P/E of 12.63 for Asia. The P/E for Chinese shares is just 10.34.

According to Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG: "The India story remains compelling for foreign investors despite softer growth momentum, as economic fundamentals are still strong."

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Bull statues are placed in font of screens showing the Hang Seng stock index and stock prices outside Exchange Square, in Hong Kong, China, August 18, 2023. REUTERS/Tyrone Siu/File Photo

Thai and Indonesian stocks also saw $375 million and $176 million worth of net outflows, respectively, following $860 million and $1.42 billion worth of net inflows in September.

"We may expect a more cautious stream of inflows for the region as we head into the U.S. election, which adds a layer of uncertainty for global markets," IG's Rong said.

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