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Earnings call: Lincoln Tech sees robust growth in Q2 with revenue up 16%

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 08/09/2024, 06:28 AM
© Reuters.
LINC
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Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (NASDAQ: LINC), known as Lincoln Tech, has reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the second quarter ending June 30, 2024.

The company announced a 16% increase in revenue, reaching $103 million. This growth was accompanied by a 12.3% rise in student starts, marking the third consecutive quarter of double-digit growth. Lincoln Tech's new East Point campus has exceeded enrollment projections, contributing to the revenue surge.

Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter saw a substantial increase to $6.2 million, more than doubling from the previous year's figure. The company's operational efficiency was boosted by the implementation of their Lincoln 10.0 hybrid instructional platform. With a strong balance sheet and liquidity exceeding $100 million, Lincoln Tech has raised its full-year financial outlook and aims to achieve $550 million in revenue and $90 million in adjusted EBITDA by 2027.

Key Takeaways

  • Lincoln Tech's Q2 revenue increased by 16% year-over-year to $103 million.
  • Student starts grew by 12.3%, with the East Point campus performing exceptionally well.
  • Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to $6.2 million, driven by operational efficiencies.
  • The company raised its full-year financial outlook and set a target of $550 million in revenue by 2027.
  • New partnerships and campus expansions are key components of Lincoln Tech's growth strategy.

Company Outlook

  • Lincoln Tech is optimistic about its future growth, with increasing demand for its programs in skilled trades and healthcare.
  • The company plans to open new campuses in Nashville, Levittown, and Houston, and is developing a fifth campus.
  • Lincoln Tech is focusing on replicating successful programs and expanding corporate partnerships.
  • The company expects healthcare starts to experience positive growth in the second half of the year.

Bearish Highlights

  • The rollout of the Houston campus has been delayed due to longer-than-expected building permit approvals.

Bullish Highlights

  • The new East Point campus has exceeded enrollment expectations.
  • Lincoln Tech has expanded its relationship with corporate partners like Peterbilt Corporation and Container Maintenance Corporation.
  • The company's Lincoln 10.0 plan promises operational efficiencies and savings.
  • Strong demand is anticipated for skilled trades and automotive programs.

Misses

  • There were no significant misses reported in the earnings call.

Q&A Highlights

  • Executives discussed the efficiency gains from improved student-to-teacher ratios and better classroom utilization.
  • Marketing investments have not significantly impacted the cost per start, which remains relatively flat.
  • The company discussed the strong demand in skilled trades and blue-collar jobs and its impact on marketing spending.

Lincoln Tech's strategic initiatives, including the expansion of its campus footprint and partnerships with industry leaders, are central to its growth plans. The company's focus on skilled trades and automotive programs, in addition to healthcare, is responding to macroeconomic trends such as an aging population and the need for cleaner energy solutions. The appointment of Marta Newhart and Anna Cabral to the Board of Directors also reflects Lincoln Tech's commitment to leadership and governance that can steer the company towards its ambitious 2027 targets. Despite the delay in Houston, the overall outlook for Lincoln Tech remains strong as it continues to capitalize on the growing demand for career-focused education.

InvestingPro Insights

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (NASDAQ: LINC), also known as Lincoln Tech, has demonstrated strong financial growth in the second quarter, with a 16% increase in revenue and significant rises in both student starts and adjusted EBITDA. This positive performance is also reflected in the real-time data and insights provided by InvestingPro.

InvestingPro Data indicates a robust market capitalization of $383.3 million, and a healthy P/E ratio of 14.22, which suggests that the stock is trading at a reasonable valuation relative to its earnings. The company's revenue has grown by 11.65% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, underlining the solid upward trajectory Lincoln Tech is experiencing. Additionally, the company's gross profit margin stands at an impressive 57.58%, highlighting its ability to maintain profitability amid expansion.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that while Lincoln Tech's net income is expected to drop this year, the company is still predicted to be profitable. It's worth noting that the company operates with a moderate level of debt, which could be a factor in its ability to navigate growth while maintaining financial stability. Moreover, with liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations, Lincoln Tech demonstrates a strong liquidity position that supports its ongoing operations and expansion plans.

For more detailed analysis and additional InvestingPro Tips, readers can visit https://www.investing.com/pro/LINC, where 12 more tips are available to help investors make informed decisions about Lincoln Tech's growth prospects and investment potential.

Full transcript - Lincoln Educational Services (LINC) Q2 2024:

Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the second quarter Lincoln Educational Services Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker’s presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded. I would like now to turn the conference over to Michael Polyviou, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Michael Polyviou: Thank you, Michelle. Good morning, everyone. Before the market opened today, Lincoln Educational Services issued its news release reporting financial results in recent corporate developments for the second quarter in six months ended June 30, 2024. The release is available on the Investor Relations portion of the company’s corporate website at www.lincolntech.edu. Joining us today on the call is Scott Shaw, President and CEO; and Brian Meyers, Chief Financial Officer. Today’s call is being recorded and is being broadcast live on the company’s website. A replay of the call will be archived on the company’s website. Statements made by Lincoln’s management on today’s call regarding the company’s business that are not historical facts may be forward-looking statements as the term is identified in federal securities laws. The words may, will, expect, believe, anticipate, project, plan, intend, estimate and continue, as well as similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements should not be read as a guarantee of future performance. The company cautions you that these statements reflect certain expectations about the company’s future performance or event and are subject to a number of uncertainties, risks, and other influences, many of which are beyond the company’s control and may influence the accuracy of the statement and projection upon which the segmented statements are based. Factors that may affect the company’s results include, but are not limited to, the risks and uncertainties discussed in the Risk Factor section of the annual report in Form 10-K and the quarterly report in Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements are based on the information available at the time those statements are made and management’s good faith belief as of the time with respect to future events. All forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement and Lincoln undertakes no obligation to publicly revise or update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise after the date they’re out. One other housekeeping matter, during the Q&A portion of our call today, we would appreciate if questioners limited themselves to two questions and then recue to ask any additional questions. In advance, we thank you for your cooperation. Now, I would like to call over Scott Shaw, President and CEO of Lincoln Educational Services. Scott, please go ahead.

Scott Shaw: Thank you, Michael, and good morning, everyone. For several quarters, our team has been generating strong operating and financial momentum, leading to consistent revenue, student start, and profitability growth. We continued these trends during our second quarter and we are well on our way to meeting our 2024 guidance metrics. In fact, we are adjusting our guidance in a positive direction, which Brian will review in his remarks. The investments we’ve made in our transformative strategies over the past several years are driving our growth. Additionally, we continue to capitalize on America’s expanding interest in career opportunities that avoid the cost and time of a four-year college degree and help the nation close the skills gap, inhibiting corporate growth. During the second quarter, without relying on acquisitions, we grew revenue 16% over the prior year period and student starts increased 12.3%. Our student retention rate continued to be strong and we ended the quarter with an average student population increase over last year in excess of 11%. Our topline performance, coupled with increased operating efficiencies, driven by the implementation of our highly scalable hybrid instructional platform, Lincoln 10.0, led to adjusted EBITDA of $6 million. I’ll let Brian address our adjusted EBITDA performance during his remarks, but I do want to note our second quarter result was approximately 2.5 times greater than what we generated during last year’s second quarter. Furthermore, our total SG&A expenses during the second quarter fell below 56%, as compared to 57.6%, and our educational services and facilities expenses as a percentage of revenue also declined, further demonstrating the operating leverage we are beginning to realize. When we complete the rollout of Lincoln 10.0 by the end of this year, the platform will be used in teaching approximately 65% of our students. We continue to see numerous indications that the platform improves our operating efficiencies while also playing a major factor in a student’s decision to enroll at Lincoln. The platform reduces the time to complete many of our programs, speeding up graduates to begin their careers. This enhanced training productivity is also attractive to our corporate partners who remain constrained by the lack of skilled employees. While I’ve mentioned before how Lincoln 10.0 has fundamentally changed how we teach our students and position the company for the future, its transformational impact on our company bears repeating. The platform is serving as the foundation for our focused growth strategies of opening new campuses and replicating successful programs and existing campuses. For example, the East Point, Georgia campus is our first new greenfield campus developed in some 18 years. This brand new state-of-the-art facility features 56,000 square feet of training space and includes 15 automotive service spaces and up to 60 welding booths, labs, classrooms and work areas. We welcomed the first class during the first quarter, and by the end of June, we had already enrolled more students at East Point than we had initially budgeted for for the entire year. The campus’s strong results prove the success of our site selection process and bodes well for our future new campuses and relocation. We designed East Point to be unique among trade schools, and for those who have visited the campus, it is apparent when you first enter the campus. We sought to create a setting that was both sleek and modern, elevating the student and teaching experience. Everything about the campus has been thoughtfully designed to deliver exceptional hands-on education and training with robust labs and shops. Moreover, we are utilizing the best-in-class curriculum and training aids. For example, in our automotive program, we’re the only school group in the United States utilizing Electude curriculum and their integrated trainers. Electude is the global leader in automotive training in high schools and colleges. Electude’s cloud-based e-learning platform allows our instructors access to interactive and engaging foundational lessons, gamified formative and summative assessments, teaching resources, tools to build their own curriculum, analytical tools to identify learners’ needs, and coursework in multiple languages. Moreover, their proprietary trainers seamlessly integrate with the curriculum and provide students with a clear understanding of all the major systems in a car. At the heart of the program is the principle of discovery learning, which is how younger generations have become so adept in mastering today’s technology. Again, based on the robust response generated to-date in the form of leads, applications, and starts, we are off to an excellent start with East Point and the early results have increased our confidence in our new campus strategy. Our future Nashville and Levittown campuses are scheduled to open during the first half of 2025. As a reminder, both campuses are totally new from the ground up and replace existing operations in those markets and include additional programs at both campuses. Our fourth new campus in Houston is meeting its construction and build-out schedule, but local regulatory timelines are causing our startup of this campus to be pushed out. We now see starting our first class in Houston during the fourth quarter of 2025. A fifth new campus is in the initial stages of development, and our plan is to announce its location by our third quarter results conference call. This campus would open in 2026. In addition to the new campuses, replicating and expanding successful programs at our existing campuses remains a key growth strategy. Currently, we have related initiatives, which Brian will provide more detail on. However, we continue to expect that each of these programs will generate $1 million of profitability within three years of opening, if not sooner. Our focus on offering innovative, efficient student curriculums is enabling a growing number of graduates to enter rewarding in-demand careers. This focus is also attracting additional corporate partners and broadening our relationship with existing partners. Our corporate partnership development activity remained quite robust during the second quarter and we expanded our relationship with Peterbilt Corporation to our Denver campus after successfully starting up that partnership at the Nashville campus a year ago. On our last call, we reviewed the five-year workforce development agreement signed with Container Maintenance Corporation. In June, we began the curriculum development for this program at CMC’s Charleston, South Carolina facility. Over five years, the agreement is expected to generate approximately $6 million in revenue to Lincoln. While our company has successfully executed workforce development programs for organizations in the past, the CMC agreement represents a new scale and level for Lincoln. Rather than bringing employees to one of our campuses, we are leveraging our curriculum and training resources to upskill CMC employees at its facilities. This approach is an emerging opportunity for Lincoln and one we believe that has the potential to become a significant contributor to our business. We expect to be able to announce additional contracts before year-end. Meanwhile, we continue to have enormous opportunities with our campus-focused growth strategies. Through the end of 2026, we expect to layer on three greenfield campuses while relocating and expanding to others and have 10 program replications fully up and running. As each of these campuses and replications comes online, we consistently expand our opportunities to increase overall student starts. In addition, we remain focused on maintaining the solid, organic start growth at existing programs. Our marketing programs continue to generate a high return on investment as leads continue to increase at a strong, double-digit level. Additionally, our expansion of outreach efforts in the states of Connecticut and Maryland, in which we join forces with employers, government agencies, unions and community colleges to increase awareness of the opportunities available through skilled trades careers, has been a resounding success. In the case of Maryland, we’ve been engaged to coordinate a similar program next year with increased funding from the states. As you can see, we are achieving strong growth in revenues and profitability, and remain on track to achieve our long-term goals of $550 million of revenue and $90 million of adjusted EBITDA in 2027. Our opportunities have never been better. From 1980 until 2020, our country pushed the need to go to a four-year school, no matter the cost or the outcome. During this time, the value of career education was pushed to the side, despite the growing need for more highly trained middle skill workers. The discussion around the skills gap grew during the first two decades of the 21st century as employers began to struggle to find technicians, electricians, welders and healthcare workers. Then COVID hit, and the shortage of middle skills workers became abundantly clear to everyone, which is why, for the most part, our students remained employed during the pandemic, since we needed food and medical supplies to be delivered, which requires trucks and vans to remain operational. Electricians and HVAC technicians were needed to keep our homes, hospitals, supermarkets and other facilities up and running. Our healthcare system was stretched to almost the breaking point as the demand for nurses and healthcare workers skyrocketed. In short, Lincoln Tech trains the essential workers that allow us to live our lives in the manner to which we are accustomed. We see the need for what we are doing -- we see the need for what we do growing, despite the economic environment. There are un-refutable changes happening that are driving increased need for our students. For example, our population is aging and the need for healthcare and healthcare workers will only grow. Society’s demand for the internet, AI, connectivity and communication will only grow, as will demand for electricians, HVAC techs and other workers to maintain server farms, install networks and rebuild our power grid. The demand for cleaner energy will continue to increase, whether mandated by government or by citizens who see an opportunity to make a positive change for society. On this last point, I want to highlight a partnership that we have with Fujitsu, a world leader in HVAC systems, and in particular, split-unit systems utilizing inverter technology. These new systems are extremely efficient and can now be used in colder climates to very cost-effectively heat and cool homes and offices. Across the country, we are seeing mandates proposed that are discouraging installing heating and cooling systems that emit greenhouse gases and switch to mini-split systems. Our partnership with Fujitsu will help ensure that our students are acquiring the skills that can be used today and into the future. Part of our very successful company is a skilled and experienced Board of Directors. At Lincoln, we have consistently excelled at attracting excellent Board members and recently continued this tradition with the appointments of marketing executive Marta Newhart and former Treasurer of the United States, Anna Cabral. Marta is a highly recognized marketing expert and her professional experience will help broaden our Board’s perspective and enhance our ability to achieve our long-term strategy. Anna’s exemplary background in public service will be an enormous asset to our organization and diverse community of students. Her work in government, building coalitions from diverse points of view, will be a great benefit to Lincoln as we navigate through the highly regulated environment in which we operate. In summary, we are on our way to achieving our full year guidance and are well-positioned for growth in 2025 and beyond. We are transforming our company into an exceptional provider of educational services that meets the needs of America’s corporations, as well as America’s workforce. Finally, I’d like to note I’ll be in Chicago on August 28th for the Annual Midwest Ideas Conference, as well as partaking in Barrington’s Virtual Fall Investment Conference on September 12th to educate investors about the enhanced valuation potential offered through our shares. I’ll turn the call over to Brian Meyers so he can review some of our recent financial highlights and guidance. Brian?

Brian Meyers: Thank you, Scott. Good morning, everybody, and thank you for joining our second quarter 2024 earnings call. This morning I’m pleased to share our financial results along with some key operational highlights. Starting with the quarter’s financial performance, total revenue was nearly $103 million, representing an increase of about $14 million or 16%, mainly driven by our robust start growth over the last seven consecutive quarters. During the second quarter, student starts grew by 12.3%. This marks the third consecutive quarter of double-digit growth in both revenue and starts. As a result, we had approximately 1,500 more students as of June 30, 2024, compared to prior year, propelling revenue growth for the second half and beyond. As Scott mentioned, the new East Point campus is performing exceptionally well, exceeding enrollment goals and contributing to the company’s topline. While the East Point campus contributed to our robust start growth, we also continue to achieve solid organic start growth from existing campuses. Excluding the new East Point campus, we grew our organic campus revenue by $13 million, with the incremental revenue contributing an operating margin of over 30%. Now turn to the expenses for the quarter, which, as a reminder for comparability purposes, exclude one expenses of our new East Point campus during its opening period, two pre-opening costs associated with the new and relocating campuses, three other non-recurring expenses, and four, the transitional segment in 2023. Further details on these items are available in the non-GAAP disclosures of our Q2 earnings release. Total operating expenses were close to $99 million, which is reflective of our growing population and in line with expectations. Education, service and facility expenses, as a percentage of revenue is down to 42% from 44.4% in the prior year. The majority of the decrease relates to instructional expenses, which increased over prior year due to costs associated with our larger student base, but decreased as a percentage of revenue as we begin to experience efficiencies and benefits from our higher population and our hardware and learning model. Adjusted EBITDA was $6.2 million for the second quarter, compared to $2.4 million in the prior year, representing more than 150% increase. We had an income tax benefit for the quarter of approximately $500,000, including a discrete item benefit associated with stock vesting. For the second half of the year, we expect our effective tax rate to be approximately 30%. Turning to the balance sheet, our balance sheet remains robust with total liquidity exceeding $100 million, cash and cash equivalents of $67 million, no debt, and working capital of around $50 million. Our CapEx for the three months was approximately $10 million, relating to multiple exciting projects which will drive growth next year and beyond. First, we continue to manage the build-out of 10 additional programs, which are either a program replication at an additional campus or an expansion of an existing campus. Based on the construction patient approvals, we expect six programs to be rolled out by year-end and the remaining to be launched in the first half of 2025. Second, we are working towards the opening of three new steady-the-art facilities in 2025, comprised of two campus relocations and one brand new location. We are seeing some delays in the timing of our capital spending, which will shift about $20 million to 2025, leading us to reduce our CapEx guidance for the year. However, we are slightly ahead of schedule in two of the three projects. Starting with the Nashville and Levittown relocations, both projects continue to make great progress and now are expected to be completed in the first half of 2025. The new Houston campus build-out has experienced some delays, driving the majority of the capex shift into 2025. As a result, we now anticipate the campus to open towards the end of 2025. Looking ahead to the remainder of 2024, based on these project statuses, we are reducing full year -- our full year CapEx guidance to $45 million to $55 million. Our second quarter operating financial results, as well as the remainder of the year, leads us to raise our outlook for revenue and increase the low-end range of adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income and student starts. The outlook for guidance has been updated to revenue ranging between $423 million to $430 million, adjusted EBITDA in the range of $39 million to $42 million, adjusted net income ranging between $14 million and $17 million, and student starts growth of 9% to 12%. As a reminder, our full year financial guidance for adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net income excludes the impact of East Point campus pre-opening costs related to new and relocated campuses, program expansions and non-cash stock-based compensation. Also, in terms of depreciation and amortization, we expect a slight increase in the second half of the year, resulting in approximately $7.5 million of expense recorded fairly even over each quarter. Lastly, interest expense is anticipated to be near $500,000 in the second half, evenly dividing Q3 and Q4. In conclusion, we are very pleased with our performance in 2024. We have solid growth plans in work and continue to explore new opportunities to expand and drive efficiencies. As we highlighted in our Q2 investor presentation under the strategic growth slide that we posted to our website later today, our long-term vision and goal is to generate revenue of approximately $550 million and adjusted EBITDA of about $90 million in 2027. Our team is working diligently together and we believe we are well-positioned to achieve this target. We sincerely appreciate the entire Lincoln team, especially our faculty, for making a difference each day in changing our students’ lives. Now I’ll turn the call back over to the Operator for any questions. Operator?

Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Alex Paris with Barrington Research. Your line is now open.

Alex Paris: Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. I want to congratulate you on the beat and raise.

Scott Shaw: Thanks, Alex. Appreciate that. We’re excited about it as well.

Alex Paris: A couple quick questions. And both you, Scott, and Brian said at the end of the call that your targets for 2027 are $550 million and $90 million for revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Is that around anything or are you increasing it? Because I think you said it at investor day, $540 million and $88 million?

Scott Shaw: Right. It was actually increased slightly because the start of that strategic growth plan starts with the mid-range of our guidance. So, as we increase that, it increases the 2027 as well.

Brian Meyers: Yeah. So, we did make an adjustment up since the investor meeting.

Alex Paris: Is this the first time you’ve said it or did you say it previously? I don’t recall.

Scott Shaw: No. I think this is the first time and it will be out on our website later today.

Alex Paris: Great. Well, congratulations on that. Here are my two questions. First of all, I wanted to focus on starts. Starts were up more than we had expected. We expected 4,600 starts. You came in closer to 5,000 starts at 12%. What do you attribute that to? I’m assuming the increase in marketing. And then, has that momentum continued into the third quarter? What’s your experience in July and August?

Scott Shaw: Sure. Well, definitely, we achieved greater success than we were thinking. However, to support that, we are seeing continued success moving forward. There definitely is increased demand at a double-digit level for our programs across the Board. And it really comes down to a lot of execution to achieve those, as well as just timing of when some of the starts take place within the quarter. But the basic trend or the basic fact is we see strong demand continuing. That’s why we raised the midpoint of our guidance is 10%, 11%, I guess, closer to 11%, and that’s where we anticipate we’ll come out for the year.

Alex Paris: Above and beyond the renaissance in skilled trades, the appeal of these blue-collar jobs that can’t be outsourced or replaced by AI, you’ve increased marketing year-over-year. I think you said in the press release it was up $2 million year-over-year.

Brian Meyers: Yes.

Scott Shaw: Yeah. There is enhanced -- I’m sorry, Alex, you didn’t finish.

Alex Paris: I was just going to say, and has that had any impact on the cost per lead or cost per start?

Scott Shaw: The good news is -- yeah, cost per start. The good news is we follow that very closely and the cost per start is relatively flat. It might be up a percentage or two, but nothing significant and it kind of changes quarter by quarter. Again, it’s kind of just timing of when we spend the money and when the students start. I think at the end of the day, though, there is this increased demand. Some people, though, think that people just naturally come to you just as people talk about it. We still have to be out there in front of people. But as long as we continue to maintain our cost per start, which we have over the last five years, we’re going to continue to make those investments and drive greater growth.

Alex Paris: Makes sense. And here’s my last one. I know we’re limited to two. By program -- population by program, starts by program. The starts -- overall starts number of up 12% was really driven by the transportation and skilled trade side of the business, up 21%. Healthcare and other professions were down 6% in the quarter. What do you would -- and it was up 9% in the first quarter. So it was definitely declining in the second quarter. What do you attribute that to?

Scott Shaw: A lot of it, again, is timing of when starts occur. In certain times, we can have two nursing starts in the quarter, sometimes only one. So in a couple of the campuses, they’re switching of when those starts were taking place year over year. At the end of the day, I’m still expecting growth in the healthcare sector for the full year. I’m not worried about growing that area.

Brian Meyers: Our biggest decline was in LPN and it was due to the timing of the starts.

Alex Paris: Gotcha. Do you still, though, think that auto and skilled trades will increase at a greater rate than healthcare and other professions for the full year?

Scott Shaw: Yes. Simply because that’s where we’re replicating our programs as of now. We have future opportunity…

Alex Paris: Okay.

Scott Shaw: … we believe, to replicate the healthcare programs. But right now, we’re focused on the skilled trades and auto programs. So the answer is definitely yes.

Alex Paris: Makes sense, guys. Thank you very much.

Scott Shaw: Thanks, Alex.

Brian Meyers: Thanks, Alex.

Operator: And the next question comes from Steven Frankel with Rosenblatt Securities. Your line is now open.

Steven Frankel: Good morning. Alex stole my thunder, but maybe we’ll dig into healthcare a little bit more. What’s the size of the funnel there relative to the prospect funnel on the skilled trade side? Is there still a very good funnel there or are you finding that people are less interested in this area post-COVID? I know there’s plenty of job openings, but what’s the interest level like?

Scott Shaw: Yeah. Interest still remains strong in healthcare. It’s definitely growing. It’s up over last year. As I said, I’m very comfortable that our full year healthcare numbers will be meaningfully up. Again, our skilled trades and auto are going to be up more because that is where we’re having more replications and expansions take place. But overall, demand is strong across the Board. I’m not worried, frankly, about any demand indicators shifting negatively or maybe they’ll shift more positively, but they’re definitely robust, I’d say, Steven, across the Board for us.

Steven Frankel: I appreciate the update on the cash pay programs in skilled trades and auto. Are there any prospects for replicating that kind of success on the healthcare side?

Scott Shaw: Absolutely. And the healthcare side of the house is an area that we’re putting increased focus on. We recently hired a new individual, a VP of Healthcare, frankly, to help us drive that business going forward. So I would anticipate certainly as we get into 2025, sharing more of what those new opportunities will be for us.

Steven Frankel: Great. Thank you.

Operator: And our next question comes from Eric Martinuzzi with Lake Street Capital Markets. Your line is now open. Eric, your line is now open. [Operator Instructions] And the next question comes from Raj Sharma with B. Riley. Your line is now open.

Raj Sharma: Yeah. Thank you. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to understand the starts color a little bit better. So, if I heard it correctly, the healthcare starts were down 6% and that’s largely explainable from timing. Is that right?

Scott Shaw: Yeah.

Raj Sharma: And my follow-on -- right? My follow-on question is the ex of Atlanta, the East Point, Georgia campus, what was the starts growth rate and was Atlanta almost all transportation, right?

Brian Meyers: Well, Atlanta is definitely all transportation skilled trades. Again, automotive, electrical, HVAC and welding. And the growth without it was about 5.5%. There’s a slide in our invest -- up on the website that shows you that. So we had good solid…

Raj Sharma: Yeah.

Brian Meyers: … growth without that new campus.

Raj Sharma: Right. And what are the -- what is the enrollment you’re expecting at the East Point campus?

Scott Shaw: Well, I’ll just tell you what, we modeled the campus at getting to enrollment around 700, 750 students. At the end of this year, we originally thought there might be 300 students and we’re exceeding that.

Raj Sharma: Right. And that makes sense. And the healthcare starts you expect for the year to be positive growth, any sort of target on that?

Scott Shaw: I can’t, to be honest with you, I haven’t looked at it in that way. All I know is that there is positive growth. I know, Brian, if you have any more information.

Brian Meyers: Yeah. We’re flat for the six months and we’re expecting the second half to be positive. And again, for our two big programs, there is MA, which was up for this quarter, the second quarter over 30%. As Scott described, LPN was down, but that was all due to the number of slots we have, because it fluctuates from quarter-to-quarter there. So hopefully that’ll catch up in Q3. So we are anticipating to be positive. I don’t have the number there.

Raj Sharma: Got it. Well, that’s very helpful. And just my last question on Lincoln 10.0, I see that you have covered 65%. You said, if I heard that correctly, 65% of the students would be under Lincoln 10.0. And I understand that there are cost efficiencies to be seen. Are there cost efficiencies…

Scott Shaw: Yeah.

Raj Sharma: … to be seen? And where would you see them in the metrics next year versus this year? That’d be great, some color on that.

Scott Shaw: Yeah. You’d see them in the educational line, it’s because of the increased efficiency that we’ll have with faculty. We’re starting to see it now, but to your point, we’ll definitely see more of it in 2025 as we see the benefits of blended learning coming to fruition. It does provide some better student to teacher ratios and better utilization of the classroom, which all adds to the efficiency. But it’s basically in the instructional line that you’ll see the savings.

Raj Sharma: Got it. Thank you for taking my questions. Again, congratulations, solid results.

Scott Shaw: Thanks, Raj.

Brian Meyers: Thanks, Raj.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Eric Martinuzzi with Lake Street Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Eric Martinuzzi: Okay. We’ll try this again. Can you hear me?

Scott Shaw: We can hear you, Eric. Glad to hear you.

Eric Martinuzzi: Okay. I promise I was not on mute. Not sure what happened, but let’s dive in here. So the 2027 plan, is that based on the existing campus footprint that we have, as well as that new location that’s planned for 2026 or is there build out beyond the 2026 campus location that’s...?

Scott Shaw: No. It’s still the same thing we talked about on the Investor Day. So it’s the two relocating campuses and the one campus -- new Atlantic campus. So it’s just those campuses. Anything additional will be added to that and the new programs that we discussed.

Eric Martinuzzi: And that -- and so Houston is...

Brian Meyers: Yeah. It includes, I’m sorry, Houston as well. I’m sorry. The Atlantic campus, Houston, and the two relocating, but not the one that Scott described that we’ll be announcing shortly.

Scott Shaw: Yeah. So just to be clear, everything we’ve announced to-date, except for the new one that we anticipate we’ll be announcing in the next quarter, it drives us to those results.

Eric Martinuzzi: Gotcha. And then a follow-up on that, Houston, what specifically is the regulatory or the barrier to roll out there? Why did we have to kick the can on Houston?

Scott Shaw: Building permits. Everyone thinks of Texas as being very open and free with a lot of things, but for whatever reason, took us longer to get some building permits approved.

Eric Martinuzzi: Okay. And you said, so new students by the end of 2025, is that Q4 of 2025, Q3 or?

Scott Shaw: Yeah.

Eric Martinuzzi: Okay.

Scott Shaw: Yes. At some point within the fourth quarter of 2025, we’ll have our first starts at that campus.

Eric Martinuzzi: Okay. Thanks for taking my question.

Scott Shaw: No problem. Glad you were able to connect with us.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] I show no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back to Scott for closing remarks.

Scott Shaw: Thanks, Operator. And we just want to thank everyone for joining our call. As you can see, Lincoln has a lot of positive momentum and we really see that continuing into next year and I believe even the year after. There’s so much that’s happening that we serve and the need for what we do, we see increasing given the demand we hear from employers and given the trends we’re seeing in society, waking up to the fact that there are other opportunities for people to start their careers in a shorter, faster, more economical way, and that’s certainly what we’re all about at Lincoln Tech. We like to, as we say, we help students put their potential to work and we look forward to doing that with more and more students. We look forward to updating you at our next earnings call and we hope you all have a wonderful day. Thank you.

Operator: This does conclude today’s conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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