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Earnings call: Campbell's reaffirms guidance amid market pressures

Published 12/08/2023, 06:43 AM
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In a recent earnings call, Campbell Soup Company (NYSE:CPB) presented a mixed financial picture, with a slight dip in organic net sales and earnings, while maintaining a steady outlook for the year. The company reported a 1% decrease in organic net sales to $2.5 billion, with adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and earnings per share (EPS) falling by 9% and 11% respectively. Despite the decline, Campbell's reaffirmed its full-year guidance, citing expected improvements in top-line and volume trends and progress in margin in the latter half of the year. The call also covered updates on the company's initiatives, including the pending acquisition of Sovos Brands, expected to close in mid-2024, and the launch of new products like Goldfish Crisps.

Key Takeaways

- Organic net sales decreased by 1% to $2.5 billion, with adjusted EBIT and EPS down by 9% and 11%.

- Campbell's remains committed to product affordability, marketing, innovation, and disciplined spending.

- Full-year guidance reaffirmed, expecting modest earnings growth and margin improvement in the second half.

- The acquisition of Sovos Brands is anticipated to be finalized in mid-2024.

- The Snacks division showed strong performance with an 8% growth in organic net sales.

- A $2 billion credit facility was announced to support the Sovos Brands acquisition.

- Adjusted EPS guidance for the full year remains at $3.09 to $3.15.

- The sale of the Emerald nuts business is expected to slightly reduce net sales and earnings.

- Cost inflation is expected in the low single-digit range with improved gross margin and EBIT drivers in the second half of the fiscal year.

Company Outlook

Campbell's is navigating a challenging market with a focus on sustaining its top-line and volume trends throughout the year. The company's commitment to maintaining the affordability of its products while continuing its marketing and innovation plans is central to its strategy. With the expectation of modest earnings growth and margin progress, particularly in the second half of the year, Campbell's is confident in its full-year fiscal 2024 guidance.

Bearish Highlights

The company is facing headwinds with a 1% decline in organic net sales and a decrease in dollar consumption by 2%. Adjusted EBIT and EPS also saw a decline, following a robust increase in the prior year. Additionally, the sale of the Emerald nuts business is estimated to slightly dampen net sales and have a minor dilutive impact on earnings per share.

Bullish Highlights

Campbell's Snacks division is showing strong performance, with an 8% increase in organic net sales and a 12% rise in operating earnings. The company's gross margins exceeded expectations, aided by improved promotional tactics, and there's an optimistic outlook for the soup category, expecting better unit growth during the holiday period.

Misses

The company's organic net sales and adjusted EBIT and EPS experienced a downturn, which could be a point of concern for investors. However, the overall financial performance was slightly better than expected due to the timing of expenses.

QA Highlights

During the Q&A session, executives emphasized opportunities for cost savings and the robust performance of the soup and snack food categories. The enterprise-wide cost savings program is part of a larger initiative aiming to enhance business capabilities and drive efficiencies. Despite pressures in certain snack food segments, particularly from commoditized products and private labels, the company's power brands continue to show strength.

In conclusion, Campbell's Soup Company is working through market challenges with a clear strategy, focusing on innovation, cost savings, and acquisitions to drive future growth. The company's reaffirmed guidance reflects management's confidence in their ability to navigate the current economic landscape and deliver shareholder value.

InvestingPro Insights

Campbell Soup Company's (NYSE:CPB) recent financial performance has been closely monitored by analysts and investors alike. In the context of the company's mixed earnings report and future outlook, some key metrics and tips from InvestingPro provide additional insights:

InvestingPro Data shows Campbell's Market Cap stands at a solid $12.95B, with a Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratio of 15.3, reflecting a market valuation that factors in the company's earnings potential. The P/E Ratio adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 is slightly lower at 14.68, indicating a slight improvement in earnings relative to the company's share price. Moreover, the company boasts a Dividend Yield of 3.41%, a testament to its commitment to providing shareholder value through consistent dividend payments, which have been maintained for an impressive 53 consecutive years.

Among the InvestingPro Tips, two particularly stand out for Campbell Soup Company: the company yields a high return on invested capital, suggesting efficient use of funds to generate profits; and the stock is currently in overbought territory according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which could imply a potential pullback in the stock price in the near term.

For investors seeking a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips, including insights on revenue growth trends and analyst predictions on profitability. With a special Cyber Monday sale, now is an opportune time to subscribe to InvestingPro and receive up to 60% off. Plus, use coupon code sfy23 to get an additional 10% off a 2-year InvestingPro+ subscription. There are 7 more InvestingPro Tips available for Campbell Soup Company, which can provide further guidance to investors considering this stock.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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