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Earnings call: Broadwind reports record 2023 results, eyes future growth

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 03/06/2024, 01:50 PM
© Reuters.
BWEN
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Broadwind (BWEN) has announced robust full-year financial results for 2023, marking a year of record margin realization, net income, and adjusted EBITDA. The company, navigating a transitional phase in domestic onshore wind developments, experienced organic sales growth in core markets, buoyed by new contract wins and increased demand for its proprietary Pressure Reducing System technology.

While forecasting good order flow in 2024, Broadwind remains alert to the softness in the oil and gas gear market. The company's forward-looking statements indicate optimism for the second half of 2024, especially in onshore wind development, with a focus on expanding into higher-margin markets and diversifying its product mix.

Key Takeaways

  • Broadwind achieved record margins, net income, and adjusted EBITDA in 2023.
  • Organic sales growth was supported by new contract wins and demand for proprietary PRS technology.
  • The company plans to launch the Broadwind clean fuels L70 low-flow PRS unit in 2024.
  • Pursuit of AS9100 certification opens doors to aerospace and defense opportunities.
  • Total revenue for 2023 stood at $203 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $21.5 million.
  • Consolidated backlog at the end of Q4 2023 was approximately $183 million.
  • Q4 2023 saw significant year-over-year growth in revenue, gross margin, and EBITDA.
  • Despite a decrease in Gearing revenue, Heavy Fabrications and Industrial Solutions segments experienced increases.
  • Broadwind expects Q1 revenue between $34 million and $38 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $1 million to $2 million.

Company Outlook

  • Broadwind anticipates gradual acceleration in domestic onshore wind development in the latter half of 2024.
  • The company is expanding its position with industrial fabrications customers and in the defense industry.
  • Broadwind is focusing on steady, profitable growth and capitalizing on improved future demand.

Bearish Highlights

  • Softness in the oil and gas gear market is expected to persist.
  • Production volumes at tower facilities have been lower due to repurposing for non-wind demand.

Bullish Highlights

  • Broadwind is positioned to benefit from long-term tax credit visibility and the long-term economics of wind.
  • The company has secured some capacity through long-term agreements, with discussions to expand these agreements ongoing.

Misses

  • Gearing revenue decreased by 5% year-over-year due to reduced activity in oil and gas and mining sectors.

Q&A Highlights

  • Eric Blashford provided visibility into 2025, with an expected increase in demand for wind towers.
  • Factors such as inflation, interest rates, and interconnection queues have delayed, but not canceled, wind projects.
  • The company's 2024 earnings profile is expected to be more weighted towards the latter half of the year.
  • There are signs of increased orders in some areas of the oil and gas segment.

In conclusion, Broadwind's earnings call painted a picture of a company that is managing industry shifts while setting the stage for future growth. With a focus on diversification and operational efficiency, Broadwind is navigating market challenges with a clear strategy, looking to harness opportunities in the evolving energy landscape.

InvestingPro Insights

Broadwind's (BWEN) performance in the last twelve months as of Q4 2023 has shown resilience despite market volatility. The company's commitment to expanding into higher-margin markets is evident in its financial metrics and strategic initiatives.

InvestingPro Data indicates a market capitalization of $50.23 million, reflecting the company's current valuation in the market. A noteworthy aspect is the P/E Ratio (Adjusted) for the same period, standing at 6.48, which suggests that Broadwind is trading at a lower earnings multiple compared to industry peers. This could signal an undervaluation of the company's stock, presenting a potential opportunity for investors. Additionally, the company has experienced a robust revenue growth of 15.12% over the last year, indicating a strong sales performance and a positive outlook for future growth.

Two InvestingPro Tips that are particularly relevant to Broadwind's recent announcement are:

1. Analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, aligning with Broadwind's optimistic forward-looking statements for the second half of 2024. This sentiment is bolstered by the company's record margins and net income reported in 2023.

2. The stock has taken a significant hit over the last year, with a one-year price total return of -51.4%. This could be a reflection of the challenges faced in the oil and gas gear market, as well as the broader industry shifts. However, this decline in stock price might also represent a buying opportunity for investors who believe in the company's long-term strategy and its positioning in the onshore wind development market.

For readers interested in a deeper analysis and additional insights, there are 11 more InvestingPro Tips available for Broadwind at https://www.investing.com/pro/BWEN. These tips provide a comprehensive view of the company's financial health and future prospects. Remember to use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, offering even more value to those looking to make informed investment decisions.

Full transcript - Broadwind Energy Inc (NASDAQ:BWEN) Q4 2023:

Operator: Greetings, and welcome to Broadwind's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Tom Ciccone, Chief Financial Officer. Thank you. You may begin.

Tom Ciccone: Good morning, and welcome to the Broadwind fourth quarter 2023 results conference call. Leading the call today is our CEO, Eric Blashford; and I'm Tom Ciccone, the Company's Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. We issued a press release before the market opened today detailing our fourth quarter results. I would like to remind you that management's commentary and responses to questions on today's conference call may include forward-looking statements which, by their nature, are uncertain and outside of the company's control. Although these forward-looking statements are based on management's current expectations and beliefs, actual results may differ materially. For a discussion of some of the factors that could cause actual results to differ, please refer to the Risk Factors section of our latest annual and quarterly filings with the SEC. Additionally, please note that you can find reconciliations of the historical non-GAAP financial measures discussed during our call in the press release issued today. At the conclusion of our prepared remarks, we will open the line for questions. With that, I'll turn the call over to Eric.

Eric Blashford: Thanks, Tom, and welcome to those joining us today. Broadwind delivered strong full year results, highlighted by record margin realization, net income and adjusted EBITDA. While 2023 was a transitional period for domestic onshore wind developments, we continue to drive organic sales growth within our core industrials, mining and energy markets through a combination of new contract wins, together with increased customer demand for our proprietary Pressure Reducing System, or PRS, technology. As we build momentum through our commercial strategy, our team has also continued to drive improved productivity and cost efficiency throughout the organization, consistent with an ongoing focus on sustained operational excellence. We delivered a strong fourth quarter performance as well as our revenue, operating income and profitability all increased meaningfully above prior year levels, driven by a combination of increased wind tower sales, together with solid demand across our diverse markets. Our plants executed well during the quarter, allowing us to deliver the strong results. We booked $20.2 million of orders in the fourth quarter as activity levels declined from the near record levels in the prior year period. However, order rates increased on a sequential basis across all three reporting periods, a trend which is continuing into this year. Entering 2024, we continue to operate on plan. At a commercial level, we're focused on expanding our product mix within higher-margin adjacent markets. The release of the Broadwind clean fuels L70 low-flow PRS unit, the third model in this product family, is on track for this year and will include a version designed to accommodate RNG, or renewable natural gas. We're expanding our portfolio of industrial fabrications to include new products, have finalized our ITAR registration and are pursuing an AS9100 quality certification to open more Gearing opportunities in aerospace and defense. Operationally, the lean operating principles, process controls and continuous improvement projects we've implemented at all locations are showing good results in asset utilization and productivity, with self-help savings totaling approximately $1.5 million in 2023. Our focus on team member safety, quality systems and flexible skills training has allowed us to continually meet the quality and delivery performance at varying volumes. From a safety perspective, our recordable injuries and lost time incidents are trending favorably as we implemented our safety skills program across the company. In fact, we're proud to have recently celebrated 16 years at our North Carolina facility without a lost time incident. For the full year 2023, we generated total revenue of $203 million, with a record-setting adjusted EBITDA of $21.5 million as all divisions posted strong performances. For the fourth quarter, we generated total revenue of $47 million with increases in the Heavy Fabrications and Industrial Solutions segments, offset a slight reduction in gearing. We generated $4.4 million of adjusted EBITDA in the quarter, an increase of more than $4 million versus the prior year period, continuing the strong performance we've seen this year so far. Our total consolidated backlog at the end of Q4 was approximately $183 million, down from $297 million in the prior year period. Holding activity in our non-wind markets was stable in Q4 but has been robust so far in 2024, and we expect good order flow this year, notwithstanding softness in the oil and gas gear market. Within our Heavy Fabrication segment, Q4 revenue was $29.5 million, a 24% increase year-over-year, led by increases in wind tower sales, mining equipment and our PRS systems, offset by reductions in our construction and industrial markets. Gearing revenue was $11 million, a 5% reduction year-over-year due to reduced customer activity in oil and gas and mining, partially offset by strength in the steel processing sector. Industrial Solutions revenue was $6 million, up 29% year-over-year, led by increases in new gas turbine content, continuing the positive trend for this business which began in 2022. In summary, I'm pleased with the operating performance of all divisions through the fourth quarter as we took quick cost actions in response to demand fluctuations in both our Heavy Fabrications and Gearing units to deliver favorable results for the quarter and for the full year 2023. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Tom for a discussion of our fourth quarter financial performance.

Tom Ciccone: Thank you, Eric. Turning to Slide 5 for an overview of our fourth quarter performance. We had a strong fourth quarter. We experienced significant year-over-year growth in revenue, gross margin and EBITDA. In Q4, we generated $4.4 million of EBITDA compared to $0.2 million in the prior year fourth quarter. The greater than $4 million EBITDA increase and improved margin realization is due primarily to the benefits attributable to the advanced manufacturing production tax credits, or AMP (OTC:AMLTF) credits, we have earned associated with our wind tower production, together with improved throughput and improved operational execution. We generated net income of $1.1 million or $0.05 per diluted share in the fourth quarter compared to a loss of $2.9 million or $0.14 per diluted share in the prior year. Turning to Slide 6 for a discussion of our Heavy Fabrications segment. Fourth quarter orders of $10 million are down sharply versus the prior year period as we entered into a significant supply agreement for wind tower purchases valued at $175 million in the prior year fourth quarter. This is not typical for us as we usually receive orders at more regular intervals. Fourth quarter revenues were $29.5 million, up $5.8 million versus the prior year. We sold 132 tower sections in the fourth quarter versus 96 in the prior year quarter. Sequentially, tower sections sold decreased as we had less activity in our Manitowoc facility due to project timing, and we slowed Abilene production late in Q4 in response to customer demand. During the fourth quarter, we recognized segment EBITDA of $3.7 million, an improvement of $3.4 million versus the prior year period, primarily driven by the increased tower sections sold and the AMP credits recognized in the current year period. It should be noted that while segment EBITDA was down sequentially, Q4 included $1.1 million of charges related to discounts and administrative fees recorded in December associated with the sale to monetize our 2023 AMP credits. Turning to Slide 7. Gearing orders slowed in Q4 versus the prior year. Q4 orders totaled $3.6 million, an $11.5 million decrease. The majority of the decrease was attributable to the reduction in oil and gas demand, given a decline in domestic development activity as producers are deploying relatively less capital for drilling. Segment revenue was $11.1 million, down $0.6 million compared to the prior year fourth quarter, but EBITDA increased $0.5 million to $1.3 million due to a more profitable mix of products sold and improved operational execution when compared to the prior year period. Turning to Slide 8 for a discussion of our Industrial Solutions segment. Industrial Solutions had another strong quarter with revenue in excess of $6 million. This represents the third consecutive quarter with a revenue total greater than $6 million, a quarterly revenue level only achieved once before 2023. Orders of $6.6 million were up both sequentially and versus the prior year fourth quarter, and our backlog of $16.1 million continues to remain at an elevated level and represents the third highest quarterly total since acquisition. We continue to see strong demand for our core natural gas turbine offerings. Fourth quarter segment revenues benefited from the relatively strong backlog we've been carrying throughout 2023. EBITDA increased to $1 million from $0.7 million in the prior year period, consistent with the increased revenue when compared to the prior year. Turning to Slide 9. At the end of 2023, we had cash and availability under our credit facility of nearly $23 million. As expected, we were able to deliver improved working capital efficiency during the fourth quarter with working capital declining $6.6 million sequentially. In December 2023, we sold approximately $15 million of AMP credits, less discounts, transaction fees and related expenses in conjunction with the tax credit transfer agreement made pursuant to Section 45X of the Internal Revenue Code. We recognized $6.5 million in cash proceeds from this initial sale in December 2023, and the remaining $7 million balance was collected in February. As part of the tax credit transfer agreement, we have sold all of the 2023 AMP credits, and we'll sell our 2024 AMP credits as they're generated. We expect to sell earned AMP credits and collect them more readily throughout 2024 and as such, expect to see a corresponding decline in our AMP credit receivable in 2024 when compared to 2023. Finally, with respect to our financial guidance. Today, we are introducing financial guidance for the first quarter 2024. Given current expectations and beliefs, we anticipate first quarter revenue to be in a range of $34 million to $38 million and adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of $1 million to $2 million. That concludes my remarks. I will turn the call back over to Eric to continue our discussion.

Eric Blashford: Thanks, Tom. Now allow me to provide some thoughts entering 2024, beginning with our Heavy Fabrication segment. Domestic onshore wind development activity is expected to gradually accelerate beginning in the second half of 2024. Even still, a higher interest rate environment and raw materials inflation have impacted project economics for some developers, leading them to temporarily delay or defer the timing of their investments. In the interim, we've aligned our cost structure to reflect a period of lower production volumes at our tower facilities while re-purposing available capacity towards non-wind demand across our diverse end markets. We remain highly constructive on the long-term economics of wind, particularly with the decade-long tax credit visibility reported by the IRA of which we remain a key beneficiary. As mentioned in my earlier comments, we are expanding our position with several of our industrial fabrications customers to support multiple product lines for them. We requested and received our federal ITAR registration, which stands for International Traffic in Arms Regulations, from the Department of State, which opens new opportunities in the defense industry for us, an industry we are well-suited to support with the deep water port access we have at our Wisconsin facility, allowing us to deliver very large projects by barge. In our Gearing segment, efforts to broaden our sales mix into less cyclical markets remain ongoing, positioning us to realize a more balanced, stable revenue profile moving forward. In Q4, we took cost actions to align overhead expenses with demand and upgraded our commercial team to include stronger representation in our Central and Western regions. Following recent process improvement and CI actions implemented in 2023, we've been able to respond to new market opportunities more quickly. To that end, our customer response times improved by more than 50% in the fourth quarter, and we expect an additional 25% improvement in this metric by midyear 2024. In Industrial Solutions, we are pleased to be expanding our share of market in the gas turbine sector, notably in the aftermarket, where quick response is especially vital to our customers as they deal with outages in the field, both planned and unplanned. We've upgraded our in-house engineering capabilities, added CNC machining capabilities, plasma cutting and packaging automation to improve throughput and reduce costs. We've also optimized our facility to accommodate our expected growth in the wind repowering and solar markets. In summary, I am pleased with the strong operational performance from our team this year including the strong results we achieved in Q4. We were able to effectively pivot our cost structure during a transitional period for domestic onshore wind demand while continuing to retain our highly skilled workforce. We continue to build a firm foundation for steady, profitable growth, serving the energy transition in other key markets and look forward to capitalizing on improved demand in the years ahead. With that said, I'll turn the call back over to the moderator for the Q&A session.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Eric Stine with Craig-Hallum. Please proceed with your question.

Eric Stine: Hi Tom. Hi Eric. So maybe just could we start with the Q1 outlook and maybe just talk about some of the puts and takes. You did talk about your expected utilization in wind. I would presume that you'd expect some weakness in Gearing. It seems as if Industrial Solutions is actually - is trending positively. So I'm just trying to kind of match up that commentary with whether it's comparing it to last year's Q1 or Q4, however you'd like to do it, that would be helpful.

Eric Blashford: Yes, you're spot on, Eric. We ended 2022 with a pretty strong backlog in those divisions, both in industrial fabrication product line and in Gearing. Our bookings late in the year 2023 were soft. And so we're entering this year with a softer backlog in Gearing in industrial fabrications. Now that's changing because as I mentioned in my remarks, things are looking up sequentially and actually in this year. But that's what you're seeing in Q1 versus last year Q1.

Eric Stine: Okay. All right. That's helpful. And then so it was helpful that you gave the 25% utilization for wind in Q1. Any thoughts - I mean I know a lot of factors go into this, but thoughts as to what that looks like kind of trending throughout the year? And I know that a big portion of that will be what is the timing of the kind of step back up in the big order that you and your customer jointly delayed. Maybe - I don't know if that's something that you're able to do, but just maybe what that looks like throughout the year.

Eric Blashford: Yes. Well, as indicated, that's a nice ratable order. The remainder - that specific order is ratable through '24 and '25. We certainly have capacity that we can fill and we're actively looking to fill that with other customers. But as a reminder, we also have capacity using those same plants to do other industrial fabrications, which is why this higher quoting activity is going to manifest itself in the higher utilization for those plants. The 25% that I mentioned is just the tower capacity utilization, which is typical what you analysts are interested in. But the actual capacity utilization of those plants is a bit higher than that.

Eric Stine: Got it. And then maybe last one for me and just a follow-up. It's the - so the wind, I mean, 25%, I would assume that, that is made up of this large contract and its ratable radical execution. And so you would think then that Q2, there's not a whole lot of time to add, so maybe Q2 will look similar. And then Q3 and Q4, it really comes down to do the conversations you're having to fill that capacity. Do those come to fruition? Do those turn into orders? Is that a fair way to think about it?

Eric Blashford: You're correct. And that's why we said that we believe our earnings profile is going to increase in - throughout the year. So the second half will be stronger than the first half, not because of what I mentioned about wind or what we discussed about wind, but because of the other businesses that we have that have such strong quoting. Now what I will say is what's not included in that because we don't guide on it would be adapter projects, and those would be wind. But typically, when I'm talking about capacity wind tower capacity, that's what we're talking about with the 25%.

Eric Stine: Got it. Okay, thank you. Thanks, Eric.

Eric Blashford: Thanks Eric.

Operator: Our next question is from Sameer Joshi with H.C. Wainwright. Please proceed with your question.

Sameer Joshi: Thanks for taking my question. Just a little bit of clarification on the second half activity that you are expecting on the wind front, is this - are you expecting some kind of quoting activity and receiving orders at that time? Or do you see initial discussions about new towers - new wind plants coming up and then subsequently, you're getting orders for 2025 and beyond.

Eric Blashford: Yes. I would think the industry, in general, considers 2024 a transitional year as it heads and ramps up into '25, '26 and '27. And that's indicated by the graph we have in our presentation and also supported by just general industry beliefs. So your question, I would love to have orders received in 2024 that we could still produce in 2024, but I think the more likely scenario is we're receiving orders in 2024, which we would begin to build in 2025 and beyond. With the exception, as I mentioned earlier, of adapters, which we can respond a lot faster to adapter orders because of the length of - the lead time length is shorter.

Sameer Joshi: Understood. Just switching gears, the PRS system that you have, can you give us some sort of a qualitative - like how is it being received? And what is the demand over the next couple of years for this that - or contribution to your revenues from this?

Tom Ciccone: Yes. What I can tell you is we anticipate PRS is becoming a bigger part of our overall value mix. We were just over about $10 million in '23. We anticipate that being closer to $20 million for '24. So that's our goal for '24. It does provide nice strong margins for us and it is a growing part of our business.

Sameer Joshi: Understood. And then the last one for me. On the AMP credits that were sold, have you disclosed what kind of a discount was given? And now that you're going to do it on an ongoing basis as you receive those credits, do you expect any discounting there? Or should we look at accounting for that?

Tom Ciccone: Sure. Yes, we've disclosed it, and you'll see that in the 10-K that comes out later today. We - the direct discount that we sold it for was 6.5%. When you factor in all the other administrative fees that we incurred, it's a little bit - it's almost 8% is what we've - the overall discount factor. So we took a December Q4 charge of $1.1 million, which represents the discount on all of the '23 credits that we've earned. As part of our agreement, we've also sold all of the '24 credits, and we'll be monetizing those on a ratable basis in '24. So that discount will remain the same throughout the balance of 2024. So after '24, we do not have an agreement to sell those assets yet. So that will be something we look into midyear.

Sameer Joshi: Understood. So the $7 million and the $6.5 million are sort of part of the same agreement. It's just that you received $6.5 million last year and $7 million in February.

Tom Ciccone: Yes. That's just how the timing worked out in terms of the cash settlement, yes.

Eric Blashford: Sameer, if I could go back to - if I could ask - add some color to your question about the PRS, you did - Tom talked about revenue and profitability, but you asked about the acceptance. It's been very well accepted in the marketplace. That's why we're coming up with these multiple models to fill out the family, which supports different flow rates and different applications. So we're very excited about that. And I think that market, we estimate to between - for just the PRSs, to be between $100 million, $150 million, part of a larger $700 million market in the overall compressed natural gas virtual pipeline. So we do see room to grow there. And it's been very well received so far, which is why we're expanding the line.

Sameer Joshi: Yes. No. It is great to see that Industrial Solutions that you're offering is able to replace existing solutions so quickly. I think that just speaks to the PRS technology, quality of that technology.

Eric Blashford: Yes, thank you.

Sameer Joshi: That's all I have. Thanks. Thanks, Sameer.

Eric Blashford: Thanks, Sameer.

Operator: Our next question is from Justin Clare with ROTH MKM. Please proceed with your question.

Justin Clare: Hi, guys. Thanks for taking our questions here. So first, I just wanted to start on the visibility you have into 2025. Just based on the conversations you're having with wind tower customers, are they planning for a significant increase in demand in 2025 relative to 2024? And are you seeing preparations for that? And what's the potential that they could look to secure capacity some - potentially in the near term here so that they're prepared for 2025.

Eric Blashford: Well, I'd say that the customers that we're speaking to are bullish, they're cautious, but they're bullish on '25 versus '24 and '26 beyond that. So I think there are active discussions, they are planning. Some of the capacity has been secured in long-term agreements like we have with our customers, but others - but those long-term agreements can certainly be expanded and added to. And those are the discussions that are active.

Justin Clare: Okay. Got it. And then you mentioned some of the factors that are impacting the demand for wind here, high rates, inflation. Wondering if you're seeing cancellations? Or is this just delays? And then wondering what it takes for many of these projects to kind of get back on track? Or are PPAs needing to be amended and renegotiated higher for the economics to make sense. And then also, are we waiting for treasury guidance here? Is that a key factor that is potentially holding projects back? Maybe you could share a little bit about that.

Eric Blashford: Sure. We haven't had - and speaking with our customers, we haven't heard that, that final 10%, that bonus, you think you're talking about, Justin, with the IRA has had any impact on the timing. At least we haven't heard that. If it has, it certainly hasn't risen to the conversations we've had. But the customers are pretty open when it talks about inflation pressures, interest pressures, infrastructure, interconnection queues. Those tend to delay projects. We haven't had any cancellations, but I know that there has been some projects or customer projects have been pushed to the right because I think the customers are waiting where they're potentially evaluating one project site over a different project site because of interconnection queue or the timing thereof. So I answered your question. I still feel that customers are bullish. We're all excited about the IRA and the impact. But again, in an inflationary environment with interest rates still high or higher than they'd be desired, I think that's causing the pause or temporary pause in some projects.

Justin Clare: Got it. Okay. Okay. And then you did mention - so the earnings profile for 2024, expected to be more back half-weighted. And it sounds like that's actually not the wind business that's expected to pick up, but your other businesses here, so Gearing, Industrial Fabrications. So I was wondering if you could just speak to that a little bit more. What end markets are driving the anticipated uptick in orders? And is that really across Heavy Fabrications, Gearing, Industrial Solutions? And then maybe you could just speak to oil and gas. Is that part of it. Do you see the oil and gas order flow picking up here?

Eric Blashford: Yes. Good question. Thank you. Regarding - let's start with Gearing. Steel is strong. Coal pulverizers are strong. Cement is strong. The Industrial, the core industrials, material handling are strong. Oil and gas is predicted to remain soft. At least through 2024, we think. We're seeing some green shoots, some customer orders are coming through and some quotes are coming through, but we're cautious on that. So we think the demand from Gearing is going to come from these other markets. And we're also getting into other markets that are not Gearing that are more machining. I mentioned that this 9100 new quality certification we're going after, which will allow us to get into aerospace and defense. That's a market we think is untapped certainly for us, and we think it's attractive for us because we have the capabilities. That's exciting. Regarding Industrial Fabrications. We're seeing more demand in material handling, more customers are coming to us for increased material handling and some infrastructure bids. With regard to Industrial Solutions, that's power generation, that's global. We've seen - or the market has seen more utility scale combined cycle plants to be put up around the world, which is very good for us. So our content in that is increasing and the market is increasing for Industrial Solutions. Plus we're starting to tap into the solar market in terms of inverter skids, which we provide out of that space. And even wind repowering, we provide internals for the adapter projects we do from that division. So a lot of our diverse markets are up and wind is stable, which is why I said the growth that we have, Justin, is going to be in those non-wind markets. If wind picks up sooner than we think, that would be a benefit.

Justin Clare: Okay. Got it. Thanks for the call.

Eric Blashford: Thank you.

Operator: Our next question comes from Donovan Schafer with Northland Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

Donovan Schafer: Hi, guys. I have a question, kind of a follow-up to Justin's question about the oil and gas segment. I know you said that you expect it to be pretty flat in 2024. And I'm curious because kind of like how much of that is being driven by - I know there's been a bit of a downtick in CapEx spending by the upstream oil and gas, the drillers. At the same time, I think if I'm going off the EIA information, the rig count peaked just a little over a year ago and then kind of has trended down.

Eric Blashford: Correct.

Donovan Schafer: But the volume of production is kind of still like a record high level.

Eric Blashford: That's correct.

Donovan Schafer: And a lot of cases - yes. So the talk about a lot of that is being driven by efficiency gains. And so is there some sort of secular element here? I'm going to kind of separate the two things out, where is there a change in either like the completion - and I actually don't know the answer, I haven't followed this too closely, like have they - are they pumping less when they're doing completions in a way? Or I know they've gone to longer laterals, but that doesn't affect your gearings in the pressure pumping equipment. So has there been a change just from like a design or an approach standpoint that puts less wear and tear and lowers the demand on that gearing?

Eric Blashford: So there's a couple of dynamics. These - you mentioned the uncomplete - or completions. There's this concept called DUCs or drilled but uncompleted wells. Those - it's almost like a bank account that they're already drilled. And as they want to start pumping, the oil companies can tap that without having to drill new wells. And we participate mostly in gearing in the new wells. So that's one dynamic. As they get more efficient and they bring these uncompleted wells online, they're going to eventually need to drill more. So that's why I'm saying I think this is a temporary level. Oil and gas tends to have - be very cyclical. And when it's down, it's down maybe 18 months and then it picks back up again. With regard to the efficiency of the wells and drilling - the strength that we've seen over the last couple of years is because our customers through - Brad Foote have designed more powerful, stronger rigs, gearboxes. And so the horsepower of those is increasing and the efficiency of those is increasing. Now as they - as CapEx is toked off, what's happening is they'll eventually start to wear out these rigs, and so we'll start to see repairs increase, which we are seeing, some spare parts increase, which we're seeing. And eventually, they'll have to replace full gearboxes and that's when we'll see the lion's share of the revenue come back in that particular market.

Donovan Schafer: So that seems like - it's actually my mistake. And I had thought you did gearboxes for the pressure pumping trucks that do the fracking, but actually, it's more on the rigs themselves. Is that correct?

Eric Blashford: You're correct in that it's the fracking. It's the fracking.

Donovan Schafer: It's is the fracking. Okay. Okay. And then another question. So you mentioned the inverter skids, which is something - I was at Intersolar in January and came across companies doing some similar types of activities. And it seemed like there was an uptick in that activity for domestic manufacturers being driven in part by the desire to meet domestic content requirements in the U.S. Is that something having an impact shifting towards more activity there versus, say, before the Inflation Reduction Act, before the domestic content stuff? Or is that something you were doing before, and it's just steady?

Eric Blashford: So Don, I think this - I think what you're saying is having a desired impact because our customers want to have more domestic content, whether or not they're trying to meet a certain percentage. I think they want continuity of supply chain and a person that's willing to - a supplier willing to work with them to help design and optimize their design. And that's what we're offering to our customers because we're local and they're local and we can collaborate on designs to make it very efficient and quick to deploy in the field.

Donovan Schafer: Okay. Okay. And then my last question, this is - this could be - I mean I kind of pride myself perhaps too much and sometimes asking questions or trying to find things that could be material and could be overlooked, but the risk of that is sometimes it ends up being a totally irrelevant question. So this one is on - in the wind market, balsa wood is used in a lot of the wind blades. I can't remember which portion, but it's significant, it can matter. There are substitutes and alternatives to balsa wood. So I know there are some, I think, petrochemical-derived sort of foams or compounds or something that can be used instead. But with balsa wood specifically, Ecuador becomes like the major choke point because it produces more than 90% of balsa wood globally. And so it caught my attention when there is an increase in like gang violence, and I think there are some prison escapes and just kind of - it looks like that country has erupted into some chaos and some martial law things and so forth. So the first question is just, in general, like at a very general level, do balsa - if balsa wood prices get really high or anything, does that flow through into wind and eventually, maybe it takes a year or two, but does that eventually - does that become a material headwind or not with wind deployment, so that it could be worth paying attention to? Or if it's - and if yes, if it can be material, then are you seeing anything in this specific case currently? And then if it doesn't end up being material, then it's not material.

Eric Blashford: Yes. Yes. What I would say is in the general supply chain, our customers are trying to make sure that they optimize their inventory and their cash flow. And that means they have to have the towers, then the cells and the blades really come to site as near one another as they can. So any kind of this delay or disruption could have an issue. That's not something I follow because I'm not a blade guy. I'm a tower person, I follow steel. So I would say I haven't heard that. I know TPIC is another public company that - they're blade, so maybe they could shed some light on that for you. But I have not heard that, although this is a global supply chain. And like I said, the turbine OEMs are trying very hard to make sure they optimize their supply chain and optimize their inventory. So this could have an impact. But it's not something that I've heard of. So I can't really help you there, Donovan.

Donovan Schafer: Okay. Yes. And I'm familiar with TPIC. I know that they have - there's a capability to pivot. I just can't remember - in a hypothetical pricing situation, there's an ability to pivot. I just can't remember what the timing is on that if it takes a while.

Eric Blashford: Yes, it's not something that I can help with there.

Donovan Schafer: I appreciate that. All right. Thanks, guys. I'll take the rest of my questions offline.

Eric Blashford: Thanks Donovan.

Tom Ciccone: Thanks Donovan.

Operator: We've reached the end of the question-and-answer session. I'd now like to turn the call back over to Eric Blashford for closing comments.

Eric Blashford: Well, thanks, everyone, for listening today. We're pleased with our 2023 results and look forward to a great 2024 together and presenting our results to you on our next conference call. Thank you.

Operator: This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and we thank you for your participation.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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