Banner Corporation (NASDAQ:BANR) reported a net profit of $39.8 million, or $1.15 per diluted share for the second quarter of 2024, demonstrating resilience despite increased funding costs and a challenging interest rate environment. The company's core earnings stood at $52.4 million, reflecting a robust core return on average assets of 1.02%. Banner's loan growth and strong credit metrics, alongside strategic initiatives for organic and potential inorganic growth, position it as a stable entity in the financial sector, as recognized by Forbes and Newsweek.
Key Takeaways
- Banner Corporation reported a net profit of $39.8 million, or $1.15 per diluted share.
- The company's core earnings were $52.4 million, with a core return on average assets of 1.02%.
- Loan portfolio increased by 6% year-over-year, with total loans rising by $279 million in the quarter.
- Net interest margin decreased slightly to 3.70%.
- Non-interest income rose by $5.6 million, while non-interest expense increased by $487,000.
- Banner Corporation was named one of America's 100 Best Banks by Forbes and one of the most trustworthy companies in America by Newsweek.
- CEO Mark Grescovich highlighted the company's focus on organic growth and openness to strategic acquisitions.
Company Outlook
- Banner Corporation expects non-interest expense to gradually increase throughout the year.
- The company remains open to strategic acquisitions as market valuations become more attractive.
Bearish Highlights
- Increased funding costs due to rising interest rates impacted earnings.
- The net interest margin decreased by four basis points to 3.70%.
- Deposits decreased by $80 million, while total borrowings increased by $329 million.
Bullish Highlights
- The company's loan portfolio showed growth, with a 6% increase compared to the same period last year.
- Delinquent loans remained low at 0.29%, with a reserve for credit losses at 1.37% coverage.
- Non-interest income increased, primarily due to lower fair value write-downs on financial instruments.
Misses
- There was a notable decrease in non-interest-bearing outflows in the second quarter, mainly attributed to seasonal tax payments.
Q&A Highlights
- CEO Grescovich discussed the company's organic growth strategy and openness to M&A within their current geographic footprint.
- Grescovich clarified that any M&A would be strategic, potentially ranging from $1 billion to $3 billion, without seeking transformational changes.
- The company is not looking to expand into unfamiliar geographies or monoline businesses.
- Jill Rice provided insights into loan-to-value ratios and debt service coverage, with a weighted average loan-to-value in the CRE book of less than 65%, and debt service coverage north of 125.
Banner Corporation's performance in the second quarter of 2024 reflects its strategic focus on maintaining a robust balance sheet and a disciplined approach to growth. With a clear emphasis on organic initiatives and cautious consideration of M&A opportunities, the company continues to navigate the complexities of the current economic landscape while supporting its clients and exploring avenues for expansion.
InvestingPro Insights
Banner Corporation (BANR) has shown a noteworthy performance in the second quarter of 2024, and insights from InvestingPro offer additional perspectives on the company's financial health and stock trends. With a market capitalization of approximately $2.01 billion and an adjusted P/E ratio of 12.09, Banner Corporation stands as a significant player in the financial sector. The company's commitment to shareholder returns is exemplified by its impressive track record of maintaining dividend payments for 30 consecutive years, showcasing a stable dividend policy.
InvestingPro Tips reveal that while analysts have recently revised their earnings forecasts downwards for the upcoming period, the company's stock has experienced significant returns over the last week, month, and three months, with total returns of 10.59%, 23.34%, and 31.54% respectively. This suggests a robust short-term performance, possibly reflecting market confidence in the company's strategic initiatives and growth potential. Additionally, Banner Corporation's stock is currently in overbought territory according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which could indicate a need for investors to monitor the stock closely for any potential price corrections.
For investors seeking a deeper analysis and more InvestingPro Tips on Banner Corporation, including predictions on profitability and insights into gross profit margins, visit https://www.investing.com/pro/BANR. Remember to use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, and discover the 9 additional tips listed in InvestingPro that can further inform your investment decisions.
Full transcript - Banner Corp (BANR) Q2 2024:
Operator: Hello, all, and welcome to Banner Corporation's Second Quarter 2024 Conference Call and Webcast. My name is Lydia, and I'll be your operator today. After the speakers' prepared remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] I'll now hand you over to your host, Mark Grescovich to begin. Please go ahead.
Mark Grescovich: Thank you, Lydia, and good morning everyone. I would also like to welcome you to the second quarter 2024 earnings call for Banner Corporation. Joining me on the call today is Rob Butterfield, Banner Corporation's Chief Financial Officer; Jill Rice, our Chief Credit Officer; and Rich Arnold, our Head of Investor Relations. Rich, would you please read our forward-looking safe harbor statement?
Rich Arnold: Sure, Mark. Good morning. Our presentation today discusses Banner's business outlook and will include forward-looking statements. Those statements include descriptions of management's plans, objectives or goals for future operations, products or services, forecasts of financial or other performance measures, and statements about Banner's general outlook for economic and other conditions. We also may make other forward-looking statements in the question-and-answer period following management's discussion. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those discussed today. Information on the risk factors that could cause actual results to differ are available from the earnings press release that was released yesterday and a recently filed Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31st, 2024. Forward-looking statements are effective only as of the date they are made, and Banner assumes no obligation to update information concerning its expectations. Mark?
Mark Grescovich: Thank you, Rich. As is customary, today, we will cover four primary items with you. First, I will provide you high-level comments on Banner's second quarter 2024 performance. Second, the actions Banner continues to take to support all of our stakeholders, including our Banner team, our clients, our communities, and our shareholders. Third, Jill Rice will provide comments on the status of our loan portfolio. And finally, Rob Butterfield will provide more detail on our operating performance for the quarter, as well as comments on our balance sheet. Before I get started, I wanted to again thank all of my 2,000 colleagues in our company, who are working extremely hard to assist our clients and communities. Banner has lived our core values, summed up as doing the right thing for the past 133 years. Our overarching goal continues to be to do the right thing for our clients, our communities, our colleagues, our company, and our shareholders, and to provide a consistent and reliable source of commerce and capital through all economic cycles and change events. I am pleased to report again to you, that is exactly what we continue to do. I'm very proud of the entire Banner team that are living our core values. Now let me turn to an overview of our performance. As announced, Banner Corporation reported a net profit available to common shareholders of $39.8 million, or $1.15 per diluted share for the quarter ended June 30, 2024. This compares to a net profit to common shareholders of $1.09 per share for the first quarter of 2024. Earnings continue to be impacted by the rapid increase in interest rates in 2023, resulting in increased funding costs. This quarter, the earnings comparison is primarily impacted by the prior quarter security losses, and the current quarter having a higher provision for credit losses due to solid loan growth. Our strategy to maintain a moderate risk profile and the investments we have made and continue to make to improve operating performance have positioned the company well to weather recent market headwinds. Rob will discuss these items in more detail shortly. To illustrate the core earnings power of Banner, I would direct your attention to pre-tax pre-provision earnings, excluding gains and losses on the sale of securities and changes in fair value of financial instruments. Our second quarter 2024 core earnings were $52.4 million. Banner's first quarter 2024 revenue from core operations was approximately $150 million, the same as the first quarter of 2024. We continue to have a strong core deposit base that has proved to be resilient and loyal to Banner in the wake of a highly competitive environment and a very good net interest margin. Overall, this resulted in a core return on average assets of 1.02% for the second quarter of 2024. Although we are in a very difficult operating environment for commercial banks, our core performance reflects continued execution on our super community bank strategy. That is growing new client relationships, maintaining our core funding position, promoting client loyalty and advocacy through our responsive service model, and demonstrating our safety and soundness through all economic cycles and change events. To that point, our core deposits represent 88% of total deposits. Further, we continue our organic generation of new relationships and our loans increased 6% over the same period last year. Reflective of the solid performance, coupled with our strong regulatory capital ratios, and the fact that we increased our tangible common equity per share by 13% from the same period last year, we announced a core dividend of $0.48 per common share. Earlier this month, we released our 2023 Environmental, Social and Governance Report, which reflects the continued maturation of our approach to ESG. Banner has always been committed to doing the right thing in support of our clients, the many communities that we serve, and our colleagues. The accomplishments highlighted in this report are meant to reflect the deep connection that we have with all of our stakeholders, and our commitment to creating positive change in the communities we serve. Finally, I'm pleased to say that we continue to receive marketplace recognition and validation of our business model and our value proposition. Banner was again named one of America's 100 Best Banks and one of the best banks in the world by Forbes. Newsweek named Banner one of the most trustworthy companies in America again this year and just recently named Banner one of the best regional banks in the country. S&P Global Market Intelligence ranked Banner's financial performance among the Top 50 public banks with more than $10 billion in assets and the digital banking provider Q2 Holdings (NYSE:QTWO) awarded Banner their Bank of the Year for Excellence. Additionally, the Kroll Bond Rating Agency affirmed all of Banner's investment grade debt and deposit ratings. And as we have noted previously, Banner Bank received an outstanding CRA rating in our most recent CRA examination. Let me now turn the call over to Jill to discuss the trends in our loan portfolio and her comments on Banner's credit quality. Jill?
Jill Rice: Thank you, Mark, and good morning, everyone. Banner's credit metrics continue to hold up well and with negligible change in the composition and performance of the portfolio, my comments today will be relatively brief. Delinquent loans ended the quarter at 0.29%, down from 0.36% as of the linked quarter and compared to 0.28% as of June 30, 2023. Adversely classified loans increased by $6 million in the quarter and represent 1.09% of total loans, up two basis points when compared to March 31. Non-performing assets increased by 3 million in the quarter representing 0.21% of total assets and consist of $30.7 million in non-performing loans and $2.6 million in REO. The $2.1 million increase in REO is one undeveloped residential real estate parcel in the San Francisco market obtained via foreclosure. The net provision for credit losses for the quarter was $2.4 million and includes a $2 million provision for loan losses and a $430,000 provision for unfunded loan commitments. Loan losses in the quarter were a modest 991,000 and were partially offset by recoveries totaling 746,000. After the provision, the reserve for credit losses loans totaled a 152.8 million and provides 1.37% coverage of the portfolio and 498% coverage of our non-performing loans. By way of comparison, the reserve for loan losses provided 1.39% coverage of the loan portfolio as of the linked quarter, and 1.38% coverage as of June 2023. Both loan originations and outstandings rebounded in the second quarter, with portfolio loan balances up $275 million, or 3% year-to-date, and a healthy 6% when annualized. As we have seen in prior quarters, construction advances on previously committed multifamily projects continue to fuel growth. This quarter, we also benefited from solid commercial, small business, and owner-occupied real estate loan growth, which was in part due to clients deciding to move forward on previously delayed capital investment projects. Additionally, we ran a very successful small business campaign in the quarter, adding both new clients and loan totals. In aggregate, C&I utilization increased 1% quarter-over-quarter. Residential construction exposure remains moderate at 4% of the portfolio, down 1% from the linked quarter, and has split approximately 65% for sale housing and 35% one-to-four family custom construction residential mortgage loans. The residential markets in which we are providing speculative for-sale housing, like most of the nation, remain undersupplied in terms of available inventory. This has enabled timely absorption of the spec inventories despite the higher interest rate environment. When we include multifamily, commercial construction, and land, the total construction exposure is 15%, up 1% from the prior quarter, the result of the continued funding of affordable and to a lesser extent, middle-income multifamily projects. The 5% increase in agricultural loans reflects an increase in the size of operating lines necessary to cover the growing season, with utilization rates in line with that reported as of March 31st and as of June 30, 2023. And the 11% decline reflected in the multifamily real estate portfolio is almost entirely a segmentation shift related to the small balance affordable loans, loans with balances under $2 million, being reassigned to the small balance CRE segment. As noted earlier, our overall credit metrics remain solid. That remains true when isolated to both the office and multifamily segments of the commercial real estate book, areas that continue to be watched closely for adverse trends. As reflected on pages 21 and 22 of our investor presentation, there has been no material change in any of the highlighted segments. Adverse classifications within each of the segments are modest, delinquencies negligible, and the portfolios are diversified both in size and by geographic location. Additionally, the real estate secured loans are generally lowly leveraged. The repricing risk within the office and multifamily book continues to be closely monitored, less than 15% of each are set to reprice within the next two years, and current revenue streams appear adequate to sustain the effects of an increase in their interest rate in almost all cases. Lastly, I will note that our credit underwriting criteria has not changed materially over the course of the last decade, which is to say that the vast majority of our loan book has solid sponsorship, personal guarantees, and properly margined collateral support. With that, I will wrap up as I have the last several quarters reiterating that Banner's credit metrics continue to be strong, our reserve for loan losses remains solid, and our capital base continues to be robust. We will not be immune to isolated credit issues. However, we remain well-positioned for the future. With that, I'll turn the microphone over to Rob for his comments. Rob?
Rob Butterfield: Great. Thank you, Jill. We reported $1.15 per diluted share for the second quarter, compared to $1.09 per diluted share for the prior quarter. The $0.06 increase in earnings per share was primarily due to the prior quarter, including a $4.9 million loss on the sale of securities, partially offset by a higher provision for credit losses in the current quarter due to higher growth in loan balances. Total loans increased $279 million during the quarter with growth in several categories, multifamily construction, primarily due to affordable housing projects, owner-occupied CRE, C&I, and small business score. Total securities decreased $63 million, primarily due to normal portfolio cash flows. Deposits decreased by $80 million during the quarter, as the $119 million decrease in core deposits was partially offset by a $39 million increase in time deposits. The decrease in core deposits during the quarter was primarily due to normal seasonal outflows related to client tax payments. Core deposits ended the quarter at 88% of total deposits. Total borrowings increased $329 million during the quarter as FHLB advances were partially used to fund loan growth and the seasonal decline in deposit balances. Banner's liquidity and capital profile continue to remain strong with a robust core funding base, a low reliance on wholesale borrowings, and significant off-balance sheet borrowing capacity. In addition, all of our capital ratios are in excess of the regulatory well-capitalized levels. Net interest margin decreased 413,000 from the prior quarter as the reduction in net interest margin was mostly offset by growth in earning assets. Compared to the prior quarter, average loan balances increased 159 million and loan yields increased nine basis points due to adjustable rate loans repricing higher as well as new production coming on at higher interest rates. The average rate on new production for the quarter was 8.47%, identical to the prior quarter. Total average interest bearing cash and investment balances declined by $68 million from the prior quarter, while the average yield on the combined cash and investment balances increased three basis points. Total funding cost increased by 13 basis points to 1.66 -- 166 basis points rather, due to an increase in the cost of deposits and higher average powering balances. The cost of deposits increased 13 basis points to 150 basis points, primarily due to an increase in rates on interest bearing deposits and also due to a shift in deposits with a portion of non-interest bearing deposits moving into interest bearing deposits. The cost of deposits for the month of June were 154 basis points. Non-interest bearing deposits ended the quarter at 35% of total deposits. On a tax equivalent basis, net interest margin decreased four basis points to 3.70% as the pace in decline of net interest margins slowed compared to the prior quarter. The decrease was driven by the increase in funding, cost and interest bearing liabilities, outpacing the increase in yields on earning assets by a few basis points. Based on the current trends, it appears net interest margin is nearing the trough. Ultimately, this will be dependent on deposit flows in the third quarter. Total non-interest income increased $5.6 million from the prior quarter, primarily due to the prior quarter including a $4.9 million loss on the sale of securities. The current quarter also benefited from having lower fair value write downs on financial instruments carried at fair value. The $671,000 increase in income from mortgage banking operations also contributed to the increase in non-interest income. During the quarter, we sold 20 million of one-to-four family portfolio loans at a gain of $284,000. Total non-interest expense increased $487,000 from the prior quarter. The increase reflected higher compensation expense due to normal annual salary increases completed at the end of the first quarter. Higher REO expense also contributed an increase as the prior quarter included a gain on the sale of an REO property. These increases were partially offset by higher capitalized loan origination costs, lower occupancy and equipment expense, and lower professional expense. Legal expense for the quarter benefited from an $874,000 reversal of expense related to finalizing two legal matters. We would expect non-interest expense to gradually trend up through the remainder of the year. In closing, despite the market headwinds, our strong balance sheet continues to provide us with the capacity to further support our current clients, as well as to continue to add new clients in the many markets we serve. This concludes my prepared comments. Now I will turn it back to Mark.
Mark Grescovich: Thank you, Jill and Rob, for your comments. That concludes our prepared remarks. And Lydia, we will now open the call and welcome questions.
Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from David Feaster with Raymond James. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
David Feaster: Hey, good morning, everybody.
Mark Grescovich: Good morning, David.
David Feaster: Maybe just starting on the deposit side, I'm curious some of the trends you saw in the quarter, I know there's seasonality from tax payments, and we've got some C&I borrowers deleveraging that we're hearing about. You actually saw utilization increase in C&I. But I'm curious, especially on the NIB side, how have trends been throughout the quarter, especially in June and into early July? And just how you think about the growing NIB and what you're seeing on that front?
Rob Butterfield: Yes, David, it's Rob. Thanks for the question. So, yes, if you think about the quarter, the way I would describe it, early in the quarter, we actually saw balances increasing. I think that was partially clients bringing some balances that were off balance sheet, on balance sheet to make client tax payments. But then we saw that normal seasonal outflow that we would expect in the second-half of April, and even going into May. I would say, there was stabilization in May and a little bit of decline in June. And if we look forward, I mean, the third quarter is typically a good deposit quarter for us. What we see there is we see our ag clients primarily as crops come in and cash flows come in from those crops, that's when we see our balances build. So, I think that's really going to be the telling story is whether we see that normal seasonal increase in deposits from our ag clients in the third quarter, and I think that'll tell us a lot going forward.
David Feaster: Okay. That's helpful. And then, switching to the loan growth side, loan growth was trending better than expected, one of the strongest quarters of originations in the past two years. And I'm curious, some of commentary on what do you think drove that, is it primarily the small business campaign that you mentioned? Are you seeing any changes in demand or market share gains? And just how you think about the loan growth outlook as we look forward?
Jill Rice: Thanks, David. So, I'll start with the last part of that first and say that loan growth outlook as I look forward hasn't really changed. For the year, I think we're going to be low to mid single-digits. This quarter certainly was strong. It is a function, yes, of the small business campaign, but it's also a function of the muted demand and growth we had in the first quarter, and some of that pulling into Q2. It was an expansion of our existing relationships more so than market share gain, but we've had that as well. So, it is a mix. And that's why I looked at it as year-to-date growth as opposed to the quarter. 10% growth isn't sustainable. And again, I think we'll be at the low to mid single-digit growth rate for the year.
David Feaster: Okay, terrific. And then, I just wanted to dig into maybe a little bit on the margin side. I was hoping you could give a little color on the repricing dynamics in the loan and the securities portfolio just to help think about the margin trajectory. I know you talked about, we're nearing the trough, and the deposit flows in the third quarter are going to be key to that, and just kind of commentary on helping us think through the margin trajectory and some of the key drivers in that?
Rob Butterfield: Sure. David, it's Rob. So, the margin compression as I noted was limited at the four basis points, which we expected that just due to that normal seasonal outflow in deposits we experienced. But if you think about going forward, our loans have been repricing, I think 10 basis points for the prior two quarters ago and then nine basis points this quarter. So, we would expect that as long as the Fed is on pause, we would expect that we continue to see that eight to 10 basis points of loan yield increase quarter-over-quarter. Of course, as the Fed starts to cut, everybody's crystal ball is their own on that one, but assuming one rate cut a quarter or something like that, then we would expect that our floating rate loans, variable rate loans that those which is 26% to 27% of our portfolio, those would reprice down. But then we think for a while we would continue to see that offset of adjustable rate loans that still haven't repriced through the cycle, reprice up. So, I think once the Fed starts to cut, if it's kind of a gradual cut, I think we'll see loan yields flatten out at that time. On the deposit side, the retail CD book, it's really nearing its peak average rate on that book because the CDs that are rolling off in the third quarter and in the fourth quarter, the average rate on those CDs rolling off is essentially equivalent to what we're seeing, average CD rates come on. So, I think we're near the peak on the repricing of the CD book at this point. So, beyond that, it would just be exception repricing request, which I would say are tapering off, which suggests that most of our rate sensitive clients have been repriced at this standpoint. And then, any other changes in deposit costs would be tied to the movement between deposit products. Of course, we think once the Fed starts to cut, I think we'll see that stabilization in our deposit rates at that point in time. But there's going to be some lag, I think, before deposit costs begin to come down after that.
David Feaster: That's helpful. Thanks, everybody.
Rob Butterfield: Thank you, David.
Operator: Our next question comes from Andrew Liesch with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Andrew Liesch: Thank you. Hey, good morning, everyone.
Rob Butterfield: Good morning.
Andrew Liesch: Mark, it's been a while since you guys have completed an acquisition, but and certainly with bank stock valuations, where they are over the last couple of weeks makes deals pencil. How have your conversations with prospective targets been over the last few months? And is M&A something that you might be pursuing in the near-term?
Mark Grescovich: Thank you for the question, Andrew. Clearly, that is we are embarking on two core strategies. The first is our organic growth strategy, right? Taking advantage of the market disruption, taking advantage of the footprint in which we operate and our strong Commercial Banking and Consumer Banking teams. And we've rolled out our small business initiative, which is really helping to drive some organic growth. On the M&A front, that's the second piece, which would be inorganic growth for the company. And we have a number of folks that we think would be great partners with Banner, and we continue to have that dialog. Clearly, as valuations begin to move up, it becomes economically more feasible to do something and put something together. And I would characterize the conversations as being much more realistic in terms of having an opportunity to do something that's additive. I think it's more important to talk about things we're not interested in doing, which is there's nothing outside, we don't want to go outside of our current wheelhouse, right? We know we have a good value proposition, a strong franchise. There's no reason for us to reach into geographies we don't understand. There's no reason for us to reach into monoline businesses that have a nationwide footprint. So, we have the number of institutions on the West Coast that we continue to have dialog. And as you know, M&A comes down to timing. All of the transactions that we've accomplished have been opportunistic, and have been a very good fit. So, I just would view M&A as being the same as it's been in the past, which is when things begin to loosen up, valuations return to normalization, the credit marks and the interest rate marks become much more palatable to take, I think you'll see some combinations occur.
Andrew Liesch: Got it. That's very helpful. Rob, just your commentary on expenses kind of gradually trend upward from here, I guess, how much is inflation still driving that, or is it, investments in the franchise or maybe normalization of the legal fees? Just curious what might be driving some of this gradual increase.
Rob Butterfield: Yes. Andrew, I think it's all three of those. Yes, normalization and legal expense, I mentioned on the comments that we had the legal recovery related to two matters and that was expense that we previously had over the last probably three or four quarters and we were able to recapture it. But we're not going to recapture legal expenses every quarter. So, that's certainly part of it. Normal inflationary stuff as well, I mean, we did have our normal wage increase that we had at the end of the first quarter, so that's built into the second already. So, that run rate is probably there. But we are seeing that just vendors that we have as contracts come up, we are seeing pressure on those contracts because if it was a four year contract that we locked in four years ago and it's coming up for renewal, those vendors are wanting to price in the inflation that they've seen over the last three or four years. So, I think we're seeing pressure on that. And quite frankly, I mean, fraud losses are never ending battle right now. Fraud losses have been higher than our credit losses probably for the last three or four years, maybe longer now. And you got to stay ahead of the fraudsters on that stuff. So, we're continuing to invest in different fraud technology in order to combat that. And then, we've also are making investments of other investments in technology to really make the company more efficient. So, as we grow into the future, we don't have to add as many expenses into the future. So, it's really a combination of things there.
Andrew Liesch: Got it. That's very helpful as well. Thanks for taking the questions here. I'll step back.
Rob Butterfield: Thank you, Andrew.
Operator: Our next question comes from Andrew Terrell with Stephens. Your line is open.
Andrew Terrell: Hey. Good morning.
Mark Grescovich: Good morning, Andrew.
Andrew Terrell: Just maybe if I could follow back up on expenses, Rob, appreciate all your commentary there. I think last quarter or the quarter before, we were talking about kind of a 3% year-on-year expense growth rate in 2024. And apologies if I missed this, but any changes kind of with some of the commentary there about the percentage rate of expense growth you expect this year?
Rob Butterfield: Yes. I think it will probably be a bit higher than that. I don't have the exact percentage here, but it could be in that 3.5% range or maybe even a little bit higher. I think the run rate at this point is probably in that 99% range per quarter right now for expenses. So, whatever that is from a percentage standpoint.
Andrew Terrell: Yes. Okay, understood. And then, I had a question around some of the loan repricing dynamics. I appreciate that some of the kind of adjustable rate repricing tailwinds or fixed rate kind of repricing tailwinds are what's contributing to that kind of eight to 10 basis points a quarter at now barring any Fed moves. But it feels like with floating rate loans that just call it 27%, 28% of total, if you put a 25 basis point cut against that, you still should see kind of positive progression from a loan yield standpoint, even including maybe a couple of moves lower with the Fed. I wanted to see if you agreed with that. And then, curious to get thoughts on just how long that kind of repricing dynamic from the adjustable or fixed rate book can play out?
Rob Butterfield: Yes. So, a couple of things, right, I mean, it's pretty easy to do the math on the variable rate stuff. I mean, I think that will impact us about seven basis points. So, let's pretend there was a rate cut of 25 basis points in September, then that would mean that those we'd see seven basis points of a decline in loan yield related to that decrease in the fourth quarter. And if we get an eight to 10 basis point increase and then maybe you're up a basis point or two in the fourth quarter under that scenario. And keep in mind, I'm not suggesting that's what's going to happen from the Fed, but just trying to give you an example. And so, I think that I think we'll right now I think in our modeling, if the Fed was on pause, we continue to see that eight to 10 basis points. And I think it starts to go down. It's not 10; maybe it's over the next four quarters. We were 10% for two quarters in a row. We were 9% last quarter, which suggests it's just kind of coming down a little bit. But I don't, it doesn't go to 0 necessarily, but I think over time what happens is maybe it moves from nine to eight and then to seven and so forth assuming the Fed's on pause.
Andrew Terrell: Okay. That's very helpful. I appreciate it. And then, last one, I think we talked about last quarter, maybe the option for some further security sales in 2Q similar to -- similar in size to 1Q and obviously rates are what they are. It didn't seem like you guys did too much with the securities book this quarter. Just with rates backing off a little bit so far to start the third quarter, any increased appetite or interest in further bond book repositioning in the third quarter?
Rob Butterfield: Yes, I mean, really, if you the second quarter, we didn't, we were considering something there. Ultimately, we didn't do anything. We've always used kind of a three year payback as our benchmark on whether we were willing to do something or not. And there's becoming less and less in the portfolio that would qualify for. And we really didn't do any security sales during the quarter. We had that $600,000 loss, but that was really related to a bond that was called early. So, there were really no security sales during the quarter. And I would say at this point, I mean, we're not currently considering any further security sales, but I'm going to preference that saying that we remain flexible. So, we continue to monitor the market conditions. And if the market conditions are right, we might do it another security sale, but it's currently not something we're planning on, but we'll continue to monitor it.
Andrew Terrell: Okay, understood. Thank you for taking the questions.
Rob Butterfield: Thank you, Andrew.
Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our next question is from Kelly Motta with KBW. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Kelly Motta: Hi, good morning. Thanks for the questions. Maybe I was hoping to close the loop on the M&A discussion. I appreciate your comments, Mark, about wanting to say with businesses that you know in your footprint and whatnot. I'm just wondering if you could refresh us on the size of potential targets you're interested in and if potentially they could go up to say an MOE for instance?
Mark Grescovich: Yes. I think, Kelly, thank you for the question, and good morning. I would view it this way. We do not believe at this point, given our operational trajectory and the -- some of the market conditions, which will allow us to continue to take market share that we don't need to do anything transformational. So, I would characterize any kind of M&A philosophy as being something that would be of decent sized additive to density in our current footprint, that would be the goal. I don't tend to quantify that based on asset size. But you can probably detect that it's somewhere between $1 billion and $3 billion. For us to do anything that would be considered close to an MOE, it would have to be incredibly strategic and would really have to be additive not only in the short term but the long-term. But I don't know that we need to reach for anything transformational given our current operating model.
Kelly Motta: Got it. That's super helpful. And I apologize if you covered this as having some technical difficulties earlier in the call, but I think you mentioned that most of your rate sensitive customers have -- you get the sense that they have already moved, which is an encouraging sign for stabilization. Did you cover the non-interest-bearing outflows this quarter. Was that partly seasonal? And would you expect a moderation or stabilization in that provided we don't get any movement in rates here?
Mark Grescovich: Yes, Kelly. So, just briefly on that, so yes, the decrease in Q2 was primarily due to normal seasonal tax payments that we see every year. So, that was expected. As we look at Q3, Q3 is a good quarter for us typically for deposits really as our Ag clients as crops come in and cash comes in on that. So, I think that will be the test on whether we're nearing a bottom in our non-interest-bearing what it looks like in Q3.
Kelly Motta: Got it. Thank you. Thanks for that. Last question for me is for Jill. If you could just refresh us what average LTVs are on various loan portfolios and how that and debt service coverage is holding up at this stage?
Jill Rice: So it varies based on portfolio certainly, but our average -- our weighted average loan-to-value in the CRE book at this stage. And keep in mind that we're using at origination appraisals, 99% of the time, but the weighted average loan-to-value would be less than 65%. And depending on the type of product would go lower than that. And then, the weighted average debt service coverage north of 125 in almost -- well, in all books and again, gets stronger depending on the "Riskier type of property."
Kelly Motta: Got it. Thank you so much for the color. I'll step back.
Mark Grescovich: Thanks, Kelly.
Operator: Thank you. We have no further questions in the queue. So, I'll turn the call back over to Mark for any closing comments.
Mark Grescovich: Thank you, Lydia. And thank you for your questions. As I've stated, we're very proud of the Banner team and our second quarter 2024 performance, given the current difficult hopper environment that we're facing. Thank you, again, for your interest in Banner and joining our call today. We look forward to reporting our results to you again in the future. Have a wonderful day, everybody. Thank you for participating.
Operator: This concludes today's call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.
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