Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (NYSE:AEM), a leading gold producer, has announced its third-quarter earnings for 2024, showcasing record financial performance and operational efficiency. CEO Ammar Al-Joundi highlighted the company's fourth consecutive quarter of record results, with strong operational performance and cost control measures leading to significant shareholder returns and reduced net debt.
The company reported gold production of 863,000 ounces at cash costs of $921 per ounce, aligning with their guidance. Agnico Eagle is on track to meet its full-year production and cost guidance, with a focus on operational efficiencies and shareholder returns against the backdrop of a favorable gold market.
Key Takeaways
- Agnico Eagle achieved record operating cash flow and adjusted net income, returning approximately $700 million to shareholders.
- The company reduced net debt by about $1 billion, bringing it down to $490 million.
- Gold production for the quarter stood at 863,000 ounces, with cash costs at $921 per ounce.
- Full-year production and cost guidance are on track, with targets of $8.75 to $9.25 per ounce.
- Record throughput was achieved at various sites, particularly in Nunavut and Detour.
- The company celebrated a win at the International Mine Rescue Competition for safety achievements.
- Revenue increased by 31% to approximately $2.2 billion, and adjusted EBITDA rose by 64% to about $1.26 billion.
- Agnico Eagle is committed to operational efficiency, cost control, and maintaining high ESG standards.
Company Outlook
- The company produced 76% of its full-year gold production guidance year-to-date.
- Meadowbank is on track to meet its 2024 production target with lower costs due to improved trucking.
- The Odyssey mine development is on schedule to become Canada's largest underground gold mine by 2028.
- Exploration efforts in the East Gouldie Zone at Odyssey and Patch 7 zone at Hope Bay show promise.
Bearish Highlights
- Planned shutdowns and lower grades at Canadian Malartic and LaRonde impacted production.
- Labor costs are expected to rise by about 3% in line with the Canadian CPI.
- Consumables are experiencing around 5% inflation, although down from previous levels.
Bullish Highlights
- Nunavut operations achieved record throughput, with Meadowbank producing its fifth millionth ounce.
- Macassa and Fosterville set records in ore tons mined and mill throughput.
- Detour exceeded its throughput target, reaching approximately 77,000 tons per day.
Misses
- No significant misses were reported in the earnings call.
Q&A Highlights
- Labor contracts are being renewed monthly with no significant inflation expected.
- Fosterville's updated mine plans are to be provided in early 2025.
- The company remains an employer of choice in Ontario despite labor tightness in the market.
Agnico Eagle's commitment to operational efficiency and strategic growth, while maintaining high ESG standards and delivering shareholder value, continues to be the cornerstone of its success. The company's disciplined approach to capital investment and focus on regions with geological potential and political stability are pivotal in navigating the challenges of the industry. With a solid track record of safety performance and consistent operational strategy, Agnico Eagle is well-positioned to sustain its performance in the global gold market.
InvestingPro Insights
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited's (AEM) strong third-quarter performance is further supported by data from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at an impressive $43.23 billion, reflecting its significant position in the gold mining industry.
InvestingPro data shows that AEM's revenue growth for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 was 25.0%, with quarterly revenue growth in Q3 2024 reaching 31.25%. This aligns with the company's reported 31% increase in revenue to approximately $2.2 billion for the quarter. The robust revenue growth underscores AEM's operational efficiency and the favorable gold market conditions mentioned in the earnings report.
The company's profitability is evident from its gross profit margin of 60.51% and operating income margin of 30.25% for the last twelve months. These figures support CEO Ammar Al-Joundi's statement about strong operational performance and cost control measures leading to significant shareholder returns.
InvestingPro Tips highlight that AEM has maintained dividend payments for 32 consecutive years, demonstrating its commitment to shareholder returns. This is consistent with the company's report of returning approximately $700 million to shareholders in the quarter.
Another InvestingPro Tip notes that AEM is trading near its 52-week high, with a 6-month price total return of 37.68%. This performance reflects the market's positive reaction to the company's record financial results and operational achievements.
For investors seeking more comprehensive insights, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for Agnico Eagle Mines, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.
Full transcript - Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM) Q3 2024:
Operator: Good morning. My name is Vincent, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Agnico Eagle Q3 2024 Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. Mr. Ammar Al-Joundi, you may begin your conference.
Ammar Al-Joundi: Thank you, operator, and good morning, and thank you for joining our call today. Before we begin, may I ask you to please take note of the forward-looking statements. I'd like to start this morning by thanking our entire team at Agnico Eagle at all sites and across all functions for delivering another solid operating quarter. For doing it safely, for doing it responsibly, all while contributing to the communities in which we operate. This consistent and reliable operational performance with an emphasis on cost control and capital discipline has allowed us to deliver tremendous margin expansion for our shareholders and to deliver record financial results for the fourth consecutive quarter, including record operating cash flow and record adjusted net income, all while strengthening the balance sheet, buying back shares and paying a strong dividend. We firmly believe the benefit of a rising gold price should go to our owners, not to increase costs, not to pour capital deployment, but to our owners. With this in mind, during this call, we will talk not only about our record financial results, but also about our record operational results at our mines, in our mills and throughout the organization, from exploration, to procurement, to treasury and beyond, all as a result of continued efforts to optimize our business. As you see on the chart to the left, 75% through the year, we are at 76% of the midpoint of our full-year production guidance. It's impressive to be within 1% of midpoint of guidance, as this demonstrates not only strong operational capabilities, but also strong planning and forecasting. We remain confident in meeting our production and cost guidance this year. I'm pleased, in particular, with our cost control. Our year-to-date costs are at $897 an ounce, which is $3 below the midpoint of our cost guidance. That's pretty good, considering that the increased royalty payments associated with the higher gold prices year-to-date versus our budget assumption of $1,800 has added approximately $20 to our reported cash costs. One of the best measures of cost control is cost per ton in local currency. I looked at this number this morning. Our company-wide average cost per ton in local currencies has not moved in over a year. That's impressive, and congratulations to the team. In a year of record gold prices and record financial margins, we have not grown complacent. Rather, we have reconfirmed and accelerated our efforts on operational improvements. Next page, please. You will all have seen our results in our press release, and we'll go through them in more detail over the next 25 to 30 minutes. But really, there are three key messages we want to leave with you. One, strong financial results and returns to shareholders; two, continued optimization of our operations; and three, exciting exploration and pipeline projects. On financial results, the increase in gold price, along with solid production and cost control, has led to expanded profitability and cash flow. Year-to-date, we've returned approximately $700 million directly to our shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. Year-to-date, we have returned approximately $1 billion indirectly to our shareholders through a reduction of net debt representing a roughly two-thirds reduction of net debt since the start of the year. Jamie Porter, our CFO, will go through some of those numbers in more detail in a moment. On continued operational optimization, we are not standing still. Dom and Natasha will discuss not only our operating results this quarter, but also some of the many initiatives our teams are working on to continue our focus on improving our operations. On exploration and pipeline, we are leaving significant amount of time for Guy to talk about some of the continued outstanding exploration results we are getting at Detour, at Odyssey and at Hope Bay, but also at Macassa, at Meliadine and at Fosterville. Outstanding exploration results, all at existing assets, leveraging off existing infrastructure and existing teams in safe jurisdictions. Next slide, please. But before I turn this presentation over to Jamie, I'd like to spend a moment on safety. Safety is always our most important priority. And on this call, I'd like to take the opportunity to congratulate our Nunavut mine rescue team, who last month won the 2024 International Mine Rescue Competition in Colombia against 21 other mine rescue teams from all over the world. Winning the title of overall champion is impressive on its own, but it's not just what you do, but how you do it. Our team shared a lot of specific rescue knowledge with several teams from other countries, a share of knowledge that could well mean lives saved in some of those countries at some point in the future. Remember, these mine rescue teams are the teams that miners depend on when things get difficult. These are people who devote hundreds of hours of their own personal time to train and who are volunteering by definition to go into dangerous environments under dangerous conditions should the need arise to save the lives of their workmates and their friends. That's an important job. That's an important responsibility. So a big congratulations and an even bigger thank you to our mine rescue teams. And with that, I will now ask Jamie Porter, our CFO, to present our third quarter financial results.
Jamie Porter: Thanks very much, Ammar. Good morning, everyone. Our results this quarter really demonstrate a track record of reliable operational and cost performance that continues to translate into very strong financial results. If you recall earlier this year, the theme of our first quarter conference call was on cost control. In the second quarter conference call, we focused more on capital discipline, reinvesting and growing the business at a steady and measured pace. This focus on cost control and capital discipline is clearly paying off, with the third quarter being characterized by record financial results across the board. By keeping costs in check, we are ensuring that the benefit of higher gold prices translates into higher margins that ultimately accrue to the benefit of our shareholders. I'm pleased to report record adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.26 billion and record free cash flow for the fourth consecutive quarter of $620 million. Revenues increased by 31% over the third quarter of 2023 to approximately $2.2 billion. Importantly, our adjusted EBITDA increased by 64% and free cash flow increased nearly sevenfold compared to the prior year period. We are also reporting another record quarter of adjusted net income of $1.14 per share, which is another significant increase relative to the prior year period. Apart from the gold price, a key driver of our strong financial results is this continued focus on cost control and continued optimization. If you look at our cash costs, we came in at $921 per ounce in the quarter, within our cash cost guidance range. Cash costs were slightly higher relative to prior quarters, driven by lower production volumes, as was planned, and higher royalties as Ammar indicated in his comments. On a year-to-date basis, we remain below the midpoint of our cash cost guidance range at $897 per ounce. With respect to all-in sustaining costs, in Q3, we came in at $12.86 per ounce, driven by higher sustaining capital spending, again, as expected. We were $11.69 in Q2. And in our Q2 call, we discussed that we need to catch up on sustaining capital in the third quarter, and we did that. On a year-to-date basis, however, we remain within our guidance at $12.34 per ounce. Our all-in sustaining costs continue to be hundreds of dollars per ounce below those of our peers. During the quarter, our all-in sustaining cost margin was 48%, which is amongst the best in the industry. And on a year-over-year basis, the gold price has increased approximately 30%, while our all-in sustaining cost margin has increased 70%. That is exactly the leverage that our investors expect. With respect to operating costs, we definitely benefit from our regional approach. We are the employer of choice in many of the regions in which we operate, which helps to keep employee turnover low. Over 80% of our gold production is in Canada, where we benefit – we are currently benefiting from a relatively weak Canadian dollar. And we are very focused on continuous improvement to increase productivity and make our mines as efficient as possible, and Dom will touch on that shortly. These factors all contribute to very strong cost control. For the full 2024 year, we expect to be within our guidance range for cost, which is $8.75 to $9.25 per ounce and $1,200 to $1,250 per ounce for all-in sustaining costs. Overall, we've had excellent financial results for the quarter and first nine months of the year. If we move on to Slide 6. We significantly strengthened our balance sheet and reduced our net debt in the quarter to $490 million from $1.5 billion at the start of the year. So we've improved our net debt position by over $1 billion in the first three quarters of 2024, all supported by record operating margins and free cash flow. In July, we repaid $100 million of senior notes on maturity. We also made accelerated payments totaling $275 million on our $600 million term loan facility, bringing our total debt repayment in the quarter to $375 million. We also continue to prioritize returns to shareholders. For the first nine months of the year, we've returned approximately 45% of the free cash flow that we've generated through the dividend – we've returned that to shareholders through the dividend and share buybacks. We plan to continue this, to continue to strengthen our balance sheet, continue to reinvest in our business and be opportunistic with respect to buying back shares. If we move on to Slide 7. This slide presents a good overview of our continued disciplined approach to capital allocation. As can be seen on the pie chart, we are ensuring that the record free cash flow that we are generating ultimately accrues to the benefit of our shareholders, again, directly through dividends and share buybacks and indirectly through the strengthening of our financial position. With that, I'll turn the call over to Natasha, who will provide an overview of our consolidated operational results.
Natasha Vaz: Thanks, Jamie, and good morning, everyone. Today, I have the pleasure of covering the operational highlights on behalf of Dominique and myself. So in the third quarter, our regions delivered another solid operating and cost performance, which, along with the higher gold price, led to record operating margins of $1.4 billion for a fourth consecutive quarter. Now you can see on the table here that our operating – our gold production was 863,000 ounces for the quarter, and the total cash costs were $921 per ounce. Both are in line with our expectations. And they reflect the planned shutdown and a lower grade sequence at Canadian Malartic and at LaRonde. Now in terms of the operations, I'll start with Nunavut. They performed really well this quarter, again, with record throughput at both sites and the costs that came in lower than expected. Meadowbank also reached an impressive milestone. They produced their fifth millionth ounce of gold in September. So a big congratulations to Meadowbank, and in fact both operating teams in Nunavut for a solid quarter. Moving to Macassa and Fosterville. They were also strong performers this quarter. Macassa had another solid quarterly production of 71,000 ounces of gold, largely driven by productivity improvements at the mine. The focus now at Macassa is to transition to mill optimization. Fosterville, they set another record for quarterly ore tons mined. Very proud of the team here as well. They also had one of their best quarterly mill throughput in their operating history. This focus on productivity and cost control are paying off as the site continues to work on its full potential model. Last but certainly not least, I just want to say a few words about Detour. They set a record quarterly throughput rate of approximately 77,000 tons per day. This is ahead of the targeted rate of 76,700 tons a day. This performance was largely due to a stable mill run time at around 93% for a second consecutive quarter and also due to a number of small optimization initiatives conducted during the planned shutdown in August. If you look back at the first nine months of 2024, our sites continue to show a strong operational and financial track record. And as Ammar mentioned, year-to-date, we have produced 76% of the midpoint of our full-year gold production guidance, and our cash costs remain within guidance range. As a result, we feel confident to meet our gold production and cost guidance for 2024. So to conclude, I just want to highlight and I want to recognize again the multiple performance records set at multiple sites. These records are a direct result of the continued focus and commitment on increasing operational efficiencies and cost control at all of our sites. So thank you. Thank you to all our sites for your efforts in achieving our objectives to date, but also your focus on business improvement, not just on costs, but on all fronts, including safety. And with that, I'll pass the call over to Dom to present some of our improvement initiatives.
Dominique Girard: Thank you, Natasha. Good morning, everyone. Today, I will present our approach to continuous improvement at our sites as well as some of the positive outcomes we've achieved. On the slide, you can see many examples, which are led by the sites that are positively impacting our costs. There are direct cost reduction initiatives like on procurement listed on our right, but the main gains are coming from productivity improvements, listing in the mining and processing columns. As you can see and you hear from Natasha, there is – many sites are improving productivity. Looking at some of our successes like Meadowbank is a clear success story. That start, as an example, in 2023. They identified the long-haul trucking as a bottleneck for the operation. For Meadowbank, long-haul trucking is like a shaft for an underground mine, transporting the ore from the mine to the mill located 480 kilometers away. With a team and focused approach involving truck drivers, mechanical maintenance team, road maintenance team and training department, they improved the trucking by 18% the first three months – or the first three quarter of 2024 compared to the same period last year. They also achieved a quarterly record production underground. And at the mill, they set a new record of 529 tons per hour this quarter. So more tons mined, more tons transported and more tons [milled]. All these initiatives are securing Meadowbank 2024 gold production target of 480,000 to 500,000 ounces at a better cost than planned. Our other Nunavut operation, Meliadine, is also performing very well, both on mining and milling front. In Q3, the Nunavut platform generated over $0.25 billion after tax free cash flow. Our Nunavut success showcase our ability to mine in remote arctic conditions. It contributes to extending Meadowbank and Meliadine life of mine, and it is also positively impacting our Hope Bay project, which could become our next 400,000 ounces per year mine in Nunavut. Guy will provide an update on the recent positive exploration results later in the presentation. On procurement, by consolidating contracts across Canada, we've been able to leverage our size by entering the availability of materials and services and to control input prices. Finally, on workforce, we benefit from having low employee turnover, as well as a low contractor ratio. It is difficult to put an overall dollar value on this, but it provides more stability to our operation, helping our continuous improvement efforts. For instance, at Detour, with internalized work for equipment rebuilds, truck maintenance, tire service and tailing construction work, resulting in a saving of over $17 million. Thank you to our operating and technical teams for their commitment to realize the full potential of our assets through optimization. You make the difference as we continue to focus on delivering strong operational performance and cost control. Moving now to Odyssey and Canadian Malartic. Next slide. At Odyssey, the development rate continues to be better than expected. The ramp has now reached the depth of 873 meters. Shaft sinking is also advancing well, reaching the depth of 839 meters at the end of September. And in Q4, the shaft will pass the ramp to become deeper than the ramp. The work at the level 64 temporary loading station is on target and is expected to be commissioned in mid-2025. And on surface, construction is also advancing on schedule, with a focus on [indiscernible] and operational complex. Overall, the construction of the mine is on cost and on schedule to become the largest underground gold mine in Canada by 2028. But what gets me more excited is about this project is the huge geological potential. So I will now pass on to Guy to present some of the results from our largest exploration program ever at Odyssey and Canadian Malartic complex.
Guy Gosselin: Thank you, Dominique, and good morning, everyone. I would like to start by thanking all of the exploration team and drilling contractors across our site as we are advancing well into this very large 2024 exploration program. We have in excess of 100 diamond drill rigs in operation at our various sites. And we have recorded so far in 2024, our best health and safety performance ever since we started tracking those indicators. And also, thanks to our exploration team, our drilling excellence team and our procurement team, we have worked very closely with the drill contractor, and we are very pleased that we've seen an overall unit cost reduction of 8% compared to our budget and 16% lower unit cost compared to what we experienced in 2022 after COVID, demonstrating our ability to control cost while maintaining high health and safety performance. So thanks to all of you that are making it happen every day. Then moving to key specific driver project at Page 12 in Malartic. At the Odyssey mine, we continue to see strong exploration results. First of all, we have extended East Gouldie Zone in the Upper Eastern extension of the deposit. And we see those results having a potential significant impact for near-term resources and reserves. And the development of a new mining area, improving the ramp-up of the – in the upper portion of the East Gouldie deposit considering their proximity to the infrastructure. And in the Eastern extension at depth, we continue to see very strong exploration results up to 700 meters outside of the mineral resources. Actual case, by example, in [drill hole 316], where that returned 3.4 gram over 16 meters into the main East Gouldie Zone, but also very interesting results into a parallel zone that is continuing to shape up. That we turned three-gram over 51-meter estimated through thickness at around 1,400 meters, demonstrating the potential to continue to grow the main East Gouldie deposit and the potential to add significant additional mineral reserve and resources in those barrels zone to the east. At Page 13, at Detour Lake mine, we continue to see strong results in the area we are in filling that is part of the advanced underground exploration project that was communicated at the June update. Strong infill results up to 15 grams over 19 meters and 22 gram over 30 meters not only confirm the presence of wide, higher-grade mineralized corridor within the large mineralized envelope. I'm also very pleased to see how they confirm the continuity of the zone previously drilled at a larger drill spacing. As we continue to integrate those new results into updated mineral resources and mineral reserves, we see though the potential for those recent results and the overall underground project addition to the current open pit mine to bring the Detour Lake mine to our vision of the 1 million ounces of gold per year operation in the future. Then on Page 14, at Hope Bay project. In the Madrid deposit area, the Patch 7 zone continued to deliver some excellent results, up to 16 grams over 27 meters through thickness at 430-meter depth. We anticipate that those results will have a significant impact on the mineral resources at year-end. And we continue to see this new discovery at Patch 7 to be a real needle mover for the economic of the project. And with the support of our permitting team, I would also like to highlight the fact that we recently managed to complete the 2.3 kilometer exploration track towards Patch 7 that will now allow to continue to aggressively drill this area during Q4 at Hope Bay where weather transition to winter has historically limit the surface exploration capacity. We anticipate those results, along with the ongoing exploration work in Q4 and Q1, that they will allow to enhance the project development scenario currently being studied. And in light of those recent results at Patch 7, we continue to see a potential project update by the end of 2025 or early 2026. Finally, at Page 15. The positive results at several other operations such as Meliadine, Macassa, Fosterville, where we continue to see the potential to extend the deposit at depth and laterally. All of that shows the potential for a bright future for exploration upside as we are in the process of preparing our 2025 exploration program and developing a long-term strategy to maximize the value of those existing infrastructure in addition to our strong project pipeline presented in the previous slide. So thanks to all of our exploration team that continue to create a lot of value through the drill bit in a cost-efficient manner as part of an important reinvestment in our business, and even more importantly, with the best health and safety performance ever for our exploration group. And on that, I would like to return the microphone to Ammar.
Ammar Al-Joundi: Thanks, Guy. And thanks, everyone. And Congratulations, Guy, not only on the exciting drill results, but for the tremendous cost control efforts. And most importantly, on the safest quarter ever as we're measuring safety in our exploration team. So well done on that. I'll conclude by saying that at Agnico, we are going to continue the same strategy that has for over 60 years, delivered consistent, reliable operating performance with an emphasis on growing per share value. And we do that, one, by – with our regional focus. We focus on regions that a) have the geologic potential for multiple mines over multiple decades and b) have the political stability to allow us to operate multiple mines for multiple decades. And through that, to establish a competitive advantage in the areas we operate and to the extent possible, better cost control and less volatility, and we're seeing that in this environment. Two, we want to be the highest quality gold company that we can be. We are focused on quality, on per share metrics more than we are on size. For us, that means not just excellent operational performance, but the highest ESG standards. We all do the best job we can. But if you plan to be in a place for 60 years and build your second, third and fourth mine, you take a much longer-term approach to environment to the communities you're in into good governance. We have disciplined capital investment. That disciplined capital comes largely from a knowledge advantage. In the areas we operate, where we've been, we typically have a very good insight into the investment opportunities. It's much easier for a person like me to make a decision to invest in a place where I have people where we've been operating for decades than it is to invest in a country I've never been to, in a place where we really don't have any particular skills. We believe we are uniquely positioned. We are in good regions. We have good assets, good long-life assets, and we have demonstrated an ability to leverage off those assets to not only return good, return on capital, but excellent risk-adjusted return on capital. And then finally, consistently for over 41 years, we've paid a dividend. We believe in having a strong balance sheet, we believe in per share metrics, that's always what's driven us. So that's the strategy we've had since 1957, it works for us, and we're going to continue to do that. And so with that, operator, let's open it up for questions.
Operator: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Ralph Profiti with Eight Capital. Please go ahead.
Ralph Profiti: Thanks, operator. Good morning, everyone. Two questions. Maybe if I could start with Guy, just on Detour exploration. That long section showed some strong intercepts below the 600-meter horizon. My understanding was that future targeting for resource updates were going to be sort of above the 600-meter level. Just wondering, is that still the case? And how are you thinking about sort of the depth extent of the three-year program announced in June? Thanks.
Guy Gosselin: Yes. Excellent. Thanks for the question. I would say we are working on those. Obviously, from surface, we're going to be focusing on the [0-600 meter]. And as we're going to be progressing with the ramp, we're going to be moving forward at infilling the drill spacing to the desired spacing for indicated resource classification. So we are doing a little bit of the shallow portion and we're going to continue to do large drill spacing for the deep extension to the west. But for us, following the delivery of our study in June, we really want to increase level of confidence into the resources that were part of the PEA that was produced in June to support the underground project.
Ralph Profiti: Got you. Okay. Yes, helpful. And then just following up for Dominique or Natasha on prepared comments on Macassa mill optimization as the constraints move from mine to mill. Just wondering, is this a debottlenecking effort looking at higher throughput? Are you looking to sort of increase baseline mill availability or increase of coverage? Just a little bit on that would be helpful?
Natasha Vaz: Hi. Thanks for the question, Ralph. Yes. So with the mill, so we are optimizing – we're continuing to optimize the mine. We have a new infrastructure at Macassa with the shaft, the ventilation. So now the bottleneck is moving more towards the mill. And with that, we're looking at maximizing or squeezing the tower with the infrastructure that we currently have at the mill. So the grinding efficiencies, we're working on the secondary – or sorry, the tertiary mills, looking at upgrading conveyors, crushers, just to see – tweak the system to see how much we can put through the mill at Macassa.
Ralph Profiti: Okay. There are no say, hard targets on recoveries or throughput in terms of what we could be looking at?
Natasha Vaz: No. No. We're still targeting [16.50].
Ralph Profiti: Okay. Thanks to the team. Thank you.
Natasha Vaz: Thank you.
Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Lawson Winder with Bank of America Securities. Please go ahead.
Lawson Winder: Thank you, operator. Good morning, Ammar and team. It's very nice to hear from you all and thank you for today's update. Could I ask on cost inflation? And just with respect to some recent cost inflation news in the industry, specifically on labor. Are you seeing any above average labor inflation? And then could you split out the labor inflation you're seeing between your employees and contracted labor? And it would also be very helpful if you could remind us what is the split at Agnico between employees and contracted labor? Thanks.
Jamie Porter: Hey, Lawson. It's Jamie here. Yes. So maybe I'll start and take the first part of the question with respect to our workforce, and I'll turn it over to Dom or Natasha to talk about what we're seeing on the contractor side. But we're in the middle of our budgeting process now. We're assuming around a 3% increase, which would be consistent with Canadian CPI on labor. And then I'll answer the question in terms of the percentage of our workforce that's labor versus contracted, we're about two-thirds are Agnico employees and one-third contractors.
Dominique Girard: Yes. Overall, let's say, on inflation, we see the same inflation on our employees and the contractor. In Canada, where we operate, there is no, let's say, significant increase on the contractor side. We always try to maximize or to – sometimes we're moving in the percentage of contractors at site depending on the site, how it's going. I mean, if we're, let's say, closing a site, we might increase more the contractors. But when we were in operation, it is lower. Overall, we're 35% of – in operation of a contractor base. And just on that, the contractor base we're having – a contractor for me, it is like an Agnico employee. It is the same people. And in fact, our contractors are often the kids of our employees. Because it's the way to start and to get into the business. And with time, with experience, where we hire them. So on the safety side and the way we treat them at the end of the day is to work together to be more productive and to get the results. So no issue with contractors.
Lawson Winder: Okay. Fantastic. And then, James, if I just clarify the point you made, the 3%, is that looking into 2025? Or is that what the realized experience has been for 2024?
Jamie Porter: Yes. So from 2023 into 2024, we were closer to 4.5% going into 2025. Again, we're currently budgeting 3%. That doesn't mean that we'll end up exactly at 3%, it could be 2.5% to 3.5%, but we're currently forecasting a 3% increase, 2024 going into 2025.
Lawson Winder: And that's just labor? Or is that overall inflation?
Jamie Porter: So that's labor. And as Dom said, we're seeing the same on the contractor front. So about 45% of our cost structure is labor and contractors. So on that 45%, we're forecasting again in around a 3% increase.
Lawson Winder: Okay. That's perfect. And if I could also just ask on Hope Bay. Really, really exceptional drilling results. I'd be curious to know how that's informing your latest thinking on the project. Are you seeing any change to the timing of construction could start or even the scope of the project? Thanks very much.
Dominique Girard: Yes, Lawson, Dominique speaking. Well, it's quite a positive news. The Patch 7 is a game changer. And now we just need to resize or refocus on the project, for example, now with this in place, should we move the mill to Madrid. It was not the plan. But the team needs a bit of time to reassess and to do some trade-offs on this. It is easier to mine. It's going to require less development for, let's say, more ounces. It is large zone, higher grade, slightly higher grade than the other one that we have. And as Guy mentioned, we're looking end of 2025, beginning of 2026 to get it into a formal study and an announcement on construction potentially.
Lawson Winder: Sorry, what was the timing of the construction there, just to be totally clear?
Dominique Girard: Late 2025, early 2026.
Lawson Winder: For start of construction. Okay. That's great. Yes, thanks for those comments, guys.
Dominique Girard: For study.
Lawson Winder: Oh, for study. Okay. Got you. Okay. That's great. Thank you so much for the color today. And solid quarter.
Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Tanya Jakusconek with Scotiabank. Please go ahead.
Tanya Jakusconek: Great. Good morning everyone. Thank you for taking my questions. Congratulations on the Detour coin that uses your gold for that coin, that's exciting. I have three questions, if I could. The first one, I just want to follow-up on Lawson's question on labor. So thank you for that. It looks like 15% of your cost structure is contracted. Just want to just review a few things on the late – on your cost. Number one, can you just remind me, Jamie, you've assumed 3% or thereabout inflation into 2025 cost for your budgeting. Can you just confirm with me that that’s – hopefully, you're not seeing any major changes in consumables and others I thought about 25% of the cost structure?
Jamie Porter: Sorry, Tanya, I just want to clarify first, your comment. I think you said that 50% of our workforce was contracted, that's incorrect.
Tanya Jakusconek: No, 15. 45% is labor and then 1/3 of that contract. So that puts you 15.
Jamie Porter: That's correct. That's right. So on that 45%, if you factor in labor and our contracted workforce on that 45% of our costs, we're, again, forecasting about a 3% increase. If you look across the rest of our cost structure, I mean, we have seen lower energy prices. So there's actually a bit of a decline with respect to diesel and power, which is another 12% of our overall costs. On everything else, the consumables, it's – inflation is running around kind of 5%. But again, we're in the process of going through our budgets currently. If you look back to what we did in 2024, inflation was running closer to 6% to 7%, and our guidance was up 3%. So that's our job, to try to make the mines as efficient as possible to combat cost inflation where we can. And we'll work to do that going into 2025 as well.
Tanya Jakusconek: And just on your labor contracts. Can you just remind me at some of your key mines, do you have any up for renewal in 2025?
Dominique Girard: Yes. In fact, Tanya. Dominique speaking. We are renewing contract every month. It's not the one-shot deal. So depending of the contractors. Last year, it was – or two years ago, it was more to put together, including four [indiscernible]. The division, this year, we see more, including Canadian Malartic division. But there is no specific date. Each contract are different. And for example, this month, I saw two of them coming on my desk and nothing major in terms of inflation.
Tanya Jakusconek: Okay. And I guess just a final off that, just on – because obviously, another thing that impacts cost, of course, is cutoff grade. So I have to ask on the reserves and resources, as you think about the year-end oil price and cutoff grades and input costs, just maybe from a high level, how are we looking at in terms of the grades going in? Are we keeping our cut-off grade constant?
Guy Gosselin: Yes, that's the plan. I would say, we are, as discussed with Jamie and Dominique, fine-tuning our operation costs. So the OpEx and our plan is to maintain cutoff grade stable. Obviously, in our gold price environment, should we have spare milling capacity at some of the operations, we may take the advantage of adding. But the plan – our plan remain always the same, maintain cutoff grades and the right ton, the right grade to the mill. And when we have excess capacity, try to leverage maybe opportunity.
Tanya Jakusconek: Okay. And just to conclude on the cost, if I could, and then I'll just ask one more question, which is on tailings. So Jamie, if I was to think of it from a very high level and assume, let's say, a cost of $900 an ounce total cash cost and you've got that 3%, 4% inflation on that sort of cost structure into 2025 and make adjustments on the gold price for every $100 at $3 per ounce on your royalties. Would I be – a reasonable assumption, assuming no change in cutoff grade, no volume and no Canadian dollar change? Would that be a reasonable assumption?
Jamie Porter: Yes. Tanya, I'd say, again, we're right in the middle of our budgeting process. The way I look at it, similar to what we did last year, right? Inflation was running 6%, 7%, and we did better than that. So we're seeing – if you factor in the higher royalties and everything else, our costs are up maybe 5% year-over-year, and we'll try to meet that or do better.
Tanya Jakusconek: Yes. I appreciate it. Thank you. And just my final question is just on tailings, if I could. Just – someone could just review with me. Just as you look at your tailings, I know you spent $1 billion in CapEx or thereabout. Can someone just remind me how much of that is just for your annual tailing? And do you have – do you see any of your operations coming above and beyond on the tailings expenditures in the next couple of years? I know that we were at Canadian Malartic and Detour, we have enough tailing capacity at both of those operations. But just wondering if you're seeing additional spending on your tailings? Thank you.
Jamie Porter: Yes, Tanya, on that, I don't have the specific breakdown in front of me, but I'll ask [Jean-Marie] or [Aria] to get back to you with that information.
Tanya Jakusconek: Okay. Perfect. Thank you so much.
Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Josh Wolfson with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Joshua Wolfson: Yes. Thanks. First question is on Fosterville. It looks like there's been some very good progress with these higher volume efforts. When I look at the production rate today, it looks like around an annualized over 250,000 ounces versus the guidance going forward for 150. At one point, there was discussion of updating a mine plan or providing kind of new information on what the forward-looking expectations are there. When can we expect that information? And would it be reasonable to extrapolate some of the results we've seen year-to-date?
Natasha Vaz: Hi. This is Natasha. Thanks for the question. So with Fosterville, yes, they're continuing to work on the full potential model or the study associated with it. And this is where some of the productivity improvements are coming in. So they're working to maximize what they can do with the mine and building that into their mine plan, latest and greatest life of mine plan. So we expect to see that – those results sometime in early 2025.
Joshua Wolfson: Okay. And then a question maybe on some of the recent equity investments and some of the media speculation on M&A in the third quarter. I'm wondering if there's some commentary that can be provided on what the criteria the company looks at for transactions, how that's evaluated against the suite of development projects Agnico already has? And then as it relates to the most recent deal, how the company frames that investment with its historical emphasis on its established mining regions, with this one being a new one? Thank you.
Ammar Al-Joundi: Hi, Josh. It's Ammar here. We're pretty consistent in our approach to capital investment, whether that's organic or external. Our capital investment is always, as you would for your own personal account, what gets you the best return on your investment with the least risk. And so for us, there's always an advantage, and we've said this and you can see by our strategy, there's always an advantage to organic growth in that you have, in most cases, already spent a lot of the capital, you can leverage off existing capital. And you have a much better level of confidence with regards to it. And so that's always worked for us. The other thing we always do – and this is tied to your second part of your question with ATEX is we – to the extent it's external, we have a long history of taking small strategic positions to learn more about what we've got. And sometimes we'll have a position for years. And it's a gain to get that knowledge advantage so that we can make a more disciplined capital investment. To us, a big part of discipline isn't just saying it's going to be a 15% return. It's actually doing the homework and getting the knowledge. So our investment at ATEX, think about what we do. We want regions. First of all, we look for high geologic potential. And then we look for political stability to be able to operate. Now we're a gold company, but we are focused on making our shareholders money. And in the space of copper, based on geologic areas that have a long history of being able to operate, let's face it, Chile is on top of the world. Well, literally up in the Andes. But it is the best place and has been for decades. It would be a new jurisdiction for us, but it is a good jurisdiction. But let me be clear. We are not building anything there. We don't plan to do anything. This is an early-stage investment, and we'll see where it goes from there. But I just want to be clear, it's not like we're rushing in to build a project at the top of the Andes.
Joshua Wolfson: Thank you very much.
Operator: Your next question comes from Mike Parkin with National Bank. Please go ahead.
Michael Parkin: Thanks for taking my question. Congrats on the solid quarter. Just a question for Guy. The Lower Phoenix zone, you've got it there in your presentation, a very high grade hit, quite deep. But is that in a zone, the cardinal structure that you're highlighting on Slide 15? Is that a zone is kind of new to you? Or what's your thoughts on that? Is that got you excited that there is smoke hit with a high-grade hit? And just kind of thinking around like this maybe the signs of another Swan Zone? Or any kind of commentary you can provide there would be appreciated.
Guy Gosselin: Okay. Thanks. Well, as you – I know if you know the deposit quite well. It's a structurally controlled deposit that goes along that plan, and there's places that are developing through the system. It was part of the reality into the upper part. And then at depth, while looking at the Lower Phoenix, the bottom of the Swan Zone at certain point down into the Swan, we started to see that parallel play that started to develop. That is couple of tens of meter away from the typical – our understanding of the typical card swan and extensions of the main deposit. But this is completely normal for that kind of deposit. There's kind of [indiscernible] structure down plunge. We're quite pleased to see those kind of results. And we see that. And at some point in time, you are understanding that [indiscernible] strong feature, maybe the main structure could ended up moving into that space. So therefore, our interest and obviously, that recent result with 10.72-gram over five meters is quite exciting. And within it, there was a wide – a narrow, I would say, a couple of tens of centimeter with super high grade at 1,300 gram. That has sort of similar look than the Swan. It's a bit smaller yet. So we continue to see here and then, some – here and there through the deposits, some smaller version of the Swan. And it's still early days and it just shows that the system remains open at depth, and we're going to continue to pursue the investigation of that going down the plunge of the ore body.
Michael Parkin: And is that the first kind of drill hole with that kind of grade in that? Or I forget off the top of my head what you did…
Guy Gosselin: No, we've been getting some time. We got some 10 grams over 10 meters in the previous quarter. So if you look backwards into our, I would say, six most recent press release, we've been reporting intercept that were specifically identifying into the cardinal’s play. And it's continued to shape up as we continue to go at depth and locally, there will be some higher grade hot spot into the system like that. It's one of the good one from a factor grade thickness standpoint, but there's been some other pretty good one.
Michael Parkin: Okay. Thanks very much, Guy. One last question, I guess, probably Ammar or maybe some of the more Ontario, Quebec-focused leadership. In terms of staffing, we've seen obviously a couple of new mines in Ontario come online and ramping up. We're hearing there is still fairly decent labor tightness. Recognizing you guys are winning from being the employer of choice. But can you speak to – is there any programs or discussions being had with government officials where we're seeing an immigration policy bring what seems like fairly vast numbers, but more into the urban centers and not – is there any kind of program to bring them north into the resource extraction industry? And if there is, what's the kind of barriers? Is it housing like it is down here, skilled or lacking? Any kind of comments there would be appreciated.
Ammar Al-Joundi: I mean, that's a very good question. What I'd like to do is I'd like to ask Natasha to talk about some specific things we're doing. And then maybe I'll talk about the latter part about because it's a good question. Are you also looking at urban areas to see if you can resource there? And the answer is yes, but I'll let Natasha go first.
Natasha Vaz: Yes. So yes, Mike, thanks for the question. So yes, we are still seeing a tightness in the market. And – but on the other hand, because we are the employer of choice, our vacancy rates are relatively low. We are – the market is particularly tight on trades. And so what we are looking at is, I think we had mentioned this earlier, but we have a pilot program ongoing. It's a targeted immigration program with our colleagues in Mexico. We've brought 12 families over earlier this year to evaluate how the conditions in Kirkland Lake and if they all integrate well. So far, it's going really well. We were on site a month ago talking to the team, really appreciate it. They come with a lot of skills, a lot of ideas, and it's really going well. On the government side, we're working with them actively on the critical infrastructure, like you mentioned. Focusing on housing, particularly in the [Kaken] area, in the Kirkland Lake area, medical care, specialized facilities on that end and just educational centers for children. The other side of it is earlier this year, we received a skilled development fund from the government in the order of $10 million to help with the development and training of individuals in the north.
Ammar Al-Joundi: And then on – Mike, just with regards to urban. It's not just the mining industry. It is a, by and large, trades deficit in Canada. And we are working with others in urban areas to look at opportunities to take young people who may not want to go down the post-secondary education track but are frankly kind of lost with what they want to do. We're working to see if we can get them interested in the trades, which would certainly help Agnico, but would help a lot of other industries in Canada.
Michael Parkin: Great. Happy to hear that things are happening. So thanks again, and congrats again on the good quarter.
Operator: Your next question comes from Daniel Major with UBS. Please go ahead.
Daniel Major: Hi there. Yes, thanks very much. Just a few from my side. So on the operational side, Fosterville is quite strong throughput, even though kind of grades are coming off. Can you give us a sense of profile Q4 and into next year in that operation?
Natasha Vaz: Hi, Daniel. So with Fosterville, as with the other sites, we were just working on our budget and life of mine plan. So we'll be in a better position early next year to provide more guidance.
Daniel Major: Okay. No worries. The second one, we talked quite a lot about labor and operating cost inflation. Can you make any comments on CapEx? Are you seeing any pressures there? And then again, if we think about the positive drilling results you've seen in the project pipeline, any steer on the directional shape of CapEx into next year?
Ammar Al-Joundi: Yes. It's – we're not seeing any particular unusual inflation on the CapEx side. It's more in line with everything else. We have had some good results on the drilling side. But we are going to be disciplined and spread out how we spend the capital. If you take a look at what we're doing with Detour underground and Upper Beaver, we're spending it for both total about $100 million a year over the next three years to kind of derisk those. The big issue for CapEx always is have you done enough engineering. And it's better, one, to have a good team; and two, take your time to get the engineering right. Otherwise, it will just cost you way more than any inflationary impact. And our team does a pretty good job of that.
Daniel Major: Okay. Thanks. Just a couple more if I could. If you think about the quarter, the cash flow was relatively strong, benefited to some degree from some working capital, I think, particularly the $96 million of tax variance. Can you give us a steer on where you would expect that to head in the fourth quarter with respect to the working capital and the free cash flow?
Jamie Porter: Yes, it's Jamie here. It's really hard to predict what our working capital change is going to be for the fourth quarter. So often in the third quarter, working capital is actually a use of cash just given some of the spending required for our Nunavut operations. It worked out to be the other way in Q3, but hard to provide you with any specific guidance on where we'll be for Q4. It depends a lot on the timing of tax installment payments, accounts payable and everything else. So yes, we'll see.
Daniel Major: Okay. Thanks. And then just one more if I could. Is there any update on San Nicolás discussions – discussions there?
Natasha Vaz: Hi, Daniel. No, nothing new to update. We're still working on permitting and the feasibility study.
Daniel Major: Okay. Thanks a lot.
Operator: Your next question comes from John Tumazos with John Tumazos Very Independent Research. Please go ahead.
John Tumazos: Congratulations on all the good things. I noticed that the grades fell at 10 of the 12 mines, and five of the mines, the grades fell by over 10%. And instead of having a $100 cost hike from lower grades and a large production fall, you milled 18,000 tons per day more across the company, with five of the sites having mill throughput records. How much more can you raise the mill throughput at Fosterville or Meliadine or Macassa? How did you get 18,000 tons a day more without spending $0.5 billion or $1 billion for a new mill? Were the prior capacities understated? Or walk us through the process. It looks like you saved – you bypassed $100 cost like by milling more. And kudos for the good work. Thank you.
Dominique Girard: Hi, John. Dominique speaking. I will take a part and maybe Natasha could take the other one. But where we have capacity, as you know, the main one, the biggest one is Canadian Malartic, where throughput is now in the 60,000 tons per day, and we're going to get more capacity as we move to underground. We have won 2/3 of the mill capacity available, and we're working on that. It's a lot about the exploration. But the one may be at current operations, I would say Meliadine had some capacity that we're looking to – we just started the new [indiscernible] and the new filter press and we see that we've reached 6,500 tons per day. Now we just need to make it happen on the calendar day, but there's opportunity at that site. Meadowbank, well, since 2020, they are increasing year after year. So we're going to keep continue pushing on that. But the other one about Fosterville, Detour, we'll let Natasha talk.
Natasha Vaz: Sounds good. Thanks for the question, John. So with respect to Fosterville, in June, we had a great quarter in terms of throughput. But in June, we actually had a record about – averaging about 2,700 tons per day. Really strong on that end and more than what we had expected that that mill can do. It taught us a few things and we're learning a little bit more to see what we can do to sustain it. With Macassa, as I mentioned earlier, we're targeting the run rate of 16.50. But again, here, we're looking at what we can do to – with the existing infrastructure to squeeze it. So it's still early days, but the team is developing a plan to see if we can do anything more than that. And then at Detour, this was as per planned. We had targeted a run rate equivalent to 28 million tons a year towards the end of this year. We're here. We're getting there. Now we just need to continue to maintain these rates for more than just one quarter and we keep on working to increase it. So as we released in our technical report, we are working on increasing that to 29 million tons a year by the end of 2028. And so we're looking at modifying the VFD or installing VFDs on the secondary crusher, putting in Malartic cell discharge box for the SAG advanced process control that we have at our other mills. So there's still a little bit of work to do there. But again, we're progressing, and we see there's potential.
John Tumazos: Fosterville is particularly complex with the white quartz free gold and the black sulfides that require the heated bioleach. How did you get so much more capacity so quickly at all the different aspects of the Fosterville mill?
Natasha Vaz: Hi. So with respect to it, we did have a little bit of capacity. Overall, we're running at the rate that the mill – that the site did expect. Because June was a bit of an anomaly for us, we are investigating that further and understanding it. But if we were to potentially increase beyond the 950,000 tons a year at Fosterville, you're right, John, we would have to increase the capacity at the [bio-op] circuit.
John Tumazos: Get those bugs gone. Thank you.
Operator: Your next question comes from Martin Pradier with Veritas. Please go ahead.
Martin Pradier: Thank you. Very good quarter. My question is mainly on the capital allocation side. Would you be continue reducing debt? And where you think that will end at the end of the year? And now that you have almost $500 million just of net debt, are we going to see a higher dividend going forward? Are we going to see more share buybacks?
Jamie Porter: Yes, it's Jamie here. Thanks for the question. I do think we will continue to strengthen the balance sheet. We have $325 million outstanding on the term facility that's due in April of next year. We may consider repaying some of that on an accelerated basis in the fourth quarter. We'll work to – I think at current gold prices, we've got a shot at actually being in a net cash position at the end of this year. But the focus in the near-term is on continuing to strengthen the balance sheet. With respect to dividends and share buybacks, I mean, a significant portion of our cash flow is being returned to shareholders. Based on our forecast, it's about 45% of the cash that we're generating for the year will flow directly to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. We'll continue to pay a strong dividend, and we will look for opportunities with respect to the share buyback really intended on minimizing dilution.
Ammar Al-Joundi: The one thing I would add, and then maybe, I guess, we're running out of time, the money belongs to our shareholders. It belongs to our owners. And we are not going to take – even if there's excess money, we're not going to take our owners' money and spend it on something that doesn't make sense. We are going to continue to be disciplined. We're proud of 41 years of dividend payments. And at these gold prices, if it continues, I would expect an increase in return to our shareholders over time. And maybe – sorry, operator, maybe one more question and then we'll wrap it up.
Operator: Sure. Your next question comes from Anita Soni with CIBC World Markets. Please go ahead.
Anita Soni: Hi. Most of the questions have been asked. And I think the last one with capital allocation was my last remaining question. So congrats on a good quarter, that's all I had.
Ammar Al-Joundi: Thanks, Anita.
Jamie Porter: Thanks, Anita.
Ammar Al-Joundi: Happy Halloween, everyone. Thank you for joining us. And maybe operator, with that, we'll end the call.
Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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